Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

[Summer Sun]

"But in a couple of weeks' time, the temperatures will fall to about 3.5C"

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-forecast-colder-temperatures-and-snow-possible-as-end-of-month-nears-11605525?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

[Summer Sun]

Into the following week (after NEXT weekend)

Turning colder
Overnight frosts
Increased chance of snow

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46852763

[Summer Sun]

Considerable uncertainties later next week with no preferred solution to the less cold GFS and ECM easterly

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46886378

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Turning rather chilly and unsettled

Wednesday 16 January—Sunday 20 January

Turning chilly. Wetter over the weekend

The rest of the week looks to be generally unsettled with periods of rain and some dry spells. It will turn quite cold with some wintry precipitation possible in higher terrain, and even down to low levels in Scotland at times.

Wednesday looks to be rather cloudy and wet, with a cold front crossing the UK bringing some heavier outbreaks of rain for most through the morning and early afternoon. As the front clears to the east, winds will shift to the north and bring in some sharp or even thundery showers, mainly to northern and western regions. These may be wintry in higher spots. Overnight showers will drift in to the east coast bringing a wintry mix to some. Turning noticeably colder than of late.

Thursday will be brisk but dry, with some chilly winter sunshine in the afternoon. Overnight will become quite cold with most places seeing frost. The end of the week and weekend will see a return to more unsettled weather, with a low pressure system slowly pushing in from the west, bringing clouds and rain to most. The best of any dry weather will be in the east. Wintry showers are likely in Scotland, with snow or sleet present even down to low levels in places. However, snow accumulation at low levels is unlikely.

Monday 21 January—Sunday 27 January

Colder at times with a risk of snow for some

A mixed week of weather appears most likely with wet and breezy conditions giving way to colder but drier weather at times. As the week progresses, there is an increasing likelihood of some sharp night frosts in between any bands of rain. There will also be an increasing risk of a brisk easterly wind developing from mid-week providing a brisk cold snap for much of the country, with a chance of snow showers in the northeast. However, there is still a large degree of uncertainty in this forecast, and cold air may fail to reach as far west as the UK.

High pressure in the Atlantic with a low pressure system in Western Europe are the culprits behind the colder weather. The exact location and strength of the low in Western Europe is the main source of uncertainty for this week, and will depend a great deal on a winter storm leaving the United States on Monday 21st. Overall, a chillier week is expected than recently. However, there is a chance (about a 30% probability) that it remains less cold with somewhat milder and wetter conditions predominating.

Monday 28 January—Sunday 10 February

Colder than average with rain and snow at times

There continues to be the likelihood of some cold and perhaps wintry weather through the end of January and early February. In our previous outlooks we have looked at conditions in the upper atmosphere over the North Pole. At the start of the year, there was a dramatic rise in the temperature within the upper atmosphere over Siberia. Meteorologists call this kind of event a Sudden Stratospheric Warming or SSW. They happen several times per decade and are part of the natural variability of the global climate system.

The recent SSW event combined with other global scale weather patterns are now favoured to bring colder weather to the UK through the end of January and into February. However, indications are that this cold weather is more likely to come in pulses, perhaps with occasionally milder and wetter interludes in-between (unlike the extreme and prolonged cold we experienced during the 'Beast from the East' episode in February/March 2018). Nevertheless, temperatures are likely to be below the seasonal average more often than not with some sharp night frosts and a mixture of bands of rain and snow moving across the UK. However, it will likely be a bit drier than the seasonal average as well, so widespread snowfall does not appear likely.

There are chances of more severe, sustained cold developing (about a 25% probability) - a lesser chance is for much milder and wetter conditions to prevail.

Next Update

We will continue to monitor the duration and severity of the expected colder period of weather, and attempt to pin down the changeability next week.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Optimus Prime]

Very current understanding from the BBC is for temperatures to be slightly below normal through the rest of this week and into the weekend and next week. Very typical winter weather.

Next week sees a toppling area of high pressure nose down from the north introducing more fairly cold and frosty weather and perhaps some shower activity embedded in the NW flow;

Hopefully this won't be the outcome. Still plenty of potential for the following weekend.

https://www.bbc.com/weather/features/46900001

[Summer Sun]

Met office 10 Day trend

Next week

Staying cold
Wind direction - uncertain
Snow - too early to say

 

[Summer Sun]

UK weather forecast: Britain set for -12C temperatures as snow hits across country

Temperatures could drop into the minus figures with -12 expected in some parts of the UK bringing snow and ice.

https://news.sky.com/story/snow-and-ice-warnings-as-temperatures-could-fall-to-12c-in-parts-of-uk-11609501

[Summer Sun]

 

[Aleman]

Rare? They've had significant snow there a few times in recent years (admittedly after, I think, about 30 years without).

Jan 13

https://www.haaretz.com/live-blog-jerusalem-blanketed-with-snow-as-stormy-weather-batters-israel-1.5223880

Dec 13

https://www.haaretz.com/.premium-snowstorm-shuts-down-jerusalem-1.5298894

Jan 15

https://www.i24news.tv/en/news/international/middle-east/56952-150107-stormy-weather-hits-israel

Jan 16

https://forward.com/news/breaking-news/331661/snow-falls-in-jerusalem-19-inches-on-mount-hermon/

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Cold
Risk of snow
Frosty nights
Icy patches

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46913592

[Summer Sun]

Australia swelters through record-breaking heatwave

Australia has just sweltered through at least five of its 10 warmest days on record, authorities estimate. An extreme heatwave has afflicted the nation since Saturday, causing wildlife deaths, bushfires and an increase in hospital admissions.

Australia's Bureau of Meteorology said preliminary readings showed daily national temperature highs of 40C. The town of Noona in New South Wales meanwhile recorded a night-time temperature of 35.9C

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-46886798?ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter

[Summer Sun]

Later next week

Cold
Frosty nights
Risk of snow and ice
Sunny spells

It is no beast from the east

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46925661

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Turning rather chilly and unsettled.

Saturday 19 January—Sunday 27 January

Cold week with a chance of snow for some.

This week looks to be rather unsettled with low pressure diving south across the UK into Western Europe. It will generally be cloudy with rain coming in along fronts that are expected to arrive Sunday and again on Tuesday. Scattered sharp showers will drift in at times mainly for western counties, and these may be wintry of thundery in places.

Beyond Tuesday, high pressure will build in the Atlantic with a broad area of low pressure developing in the Western Mediterranean. The weather will be chilly but a bit dull for the UK until Thursday, when a ridge of high pressure will extend to the north of the UK and help to develop some easterly winds. There is still some uncertainty on the exact timing and intensity of these winds, with a chance of high pressure staying further west and keeping the winds northerly. In either case, however, it will be colder than average with a brisk wind at times.

If easterlies develop for the latter part of the week, expect scattered snow showers drifting in from the east across the North Sea, mainly impacting eastern and central Britain with western counties staying dry but cold with largely clear skies. Frosts are expected overnight for most places throughout the week with crisp afternoon highs. There is still a risk (~20%) that easterlies will struggle to develop later in the week. It will still be cold in this scenario, but snow showers in the east would be unlikely.

Monday 28 January—Sunday 3 February

Staying cold with further snow risks.

The end of January and the start of February see a continuation of the cold weather for the UK, with a period of even colder weather becoming increasingly likely. Model solutions are beginning to converge on a generally cold but dry week, with some pulses of colder air bringing in a risk for wintry weather.

High pressure in the Atlantic is expected to persist through the week, with generally lower pressure over mainland Europe and the Western Mediterranean, occasionally shifting north and closer to the UK. A rather complex weather pattern unfolding, is leading to a higher degree of uncertainty on the day-to-day specifics of the forecast, with minor shifts in the location of the low and high pressure areas leading to large swings in temperature and precipitation forecasts for the UK. There is a chance (~20%) of high pressure in the Atlantic breaking down and retreating further south, leading to a more progressive flow bringing fronts and milder but windier weather into the UK.

Monday 4 February—Sunday 17 February

Colder than average but with some mild weather too

There continues to be the likelihood of some cold and perhaps wintry weather through mid-February. Stratospheric weather patterns above the Arctic at a height of around 30 km have been much weaker and warmer than usual in January. However, these patterns are expected to strengthen again through February.

What this means for us down at the surface in the UK, is that at some point in mid or perhaps late February we should see the colder air retreat into Scandinavia and Russia and a return to milder weather with progressive fronts moving in from the west. There can be quite a delay in the low levels of the atmosphere responding to this stratospheric pattern, so the cold pattern is expected to linger for most of Northern Europe, including the UK, through to at least mid-February. However, we may start to see some milder breaks in the cold weather by mid-month, with occasional lows moving in from the north-west bringing some milder air for a day or two. Similar to previous weeks discussed above, the complex weather pattern is leading to some uncertainty in any day-to-day specifics.

Next Update

We will take a closer look at the risk for snow showers in the east later this month and just how long we will be in the grips of this cold spell.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Bristawl Si]

I wonder when that BBC forecast was written? Week 1 looks a bit 'suspect' after today's runs.

[Summer Sun]

19 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

I wonder when that BBC forecast was written? Week 1 looks a bit 'suspect' after today's runs.

Either last night or this morning

[Summer Sun]

Later next week

Cold
Frosty nights
Wintry showers
Sunny spells

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46933887

[Summer Sun]

If you're going to publish so much rubbish about cold and snow you'd think they'd at least get rid of the met office weather gadget at the top

[Summer Sun]

This week

Cold
Wintry showers
Harsh frosts
Less cold Friday

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46938377

[NL]

Blizzards,Thundersnow and -16ºC.

I hope Paul knows they've used snow risk % maps from netweather.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-forecast-blizzards-thundersnow-13885567

Edited January 21, 2019 by NL

[Summer Sun]

 

[Summer Sun]

Into next week

Rather cold
Widespread frosts
Chance of rain and snow

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46954592

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Rather cold
Often windy
Rain and snow at times

No sign of an easterly wind any time soon

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46967589

[Summer Sun]

UK weather: Schools closed and flights cancelled - with more snow to come

Schools have been closed and flights cancelled after snow fell across parts of the UK, with more forecast to arrive on Wednesday. In Buckinghamshire, several schools are closed for the day and others are opening later as a result of the disruptive conditions, although local bus routes have mostly returned to normal.

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-schools-closed-and-flights-cancelled-with-more-snow-to-come-11614719

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Chilly and unsettled with snow at times

Wednesday 23 January—Sunday 27 January

A generally cold end to the week

In our last update, we thought that this week would be colder than normal for the time of year and that there would be a chance of some wintry showers. Whilst the first half of this week has lived up to our expectations, with many areas of the UK already having had frosty nights and some snow, the end of the week now looks just a little different to our expectations.
Wednesday is expected to be a cold day across the country temperatures only reach low-to-mid single figures Celsius in many areas. There will be the chance of showers, mainly in the north and west but feeding further south and east at times.

The showers will be wintry on high ground and there could be a little sleet or snow to lower levels at times. Wednesday night looks to be cold and largely dry, and Thursday should also be mainly dry, although rain and hill snow will edge into the north-west of the UK later. The outlook for Friday and Saturday has changed. A warm front is expected to move in from the Atlantic on Thursday night, so Friday will be cloudier than previous days, but it will also be a little milder. Frost is unlikely on Friday night. The mild spell will be short-lived, because although Saturday will start relatively mild, a front will move southwards across the country re-introducing cold air to most areas by the evening.

Sunday looks likely to be cool and showery, with winds coming from the north-west, and with a chance of wintry showers in some parts of the UK.

Monday 28 January—Sunday 3 February

Staying cold with further snow risks

Low pressure will continue to be a significant factor in the weather for the UK, so we expect the weather for the end of January and start of February to remain rather chilly and unsettled. There are some signs that the low pressure systems will be a little further south though, which would expose the UK to occasional spells of cold north or north-easterly winds. We don't see any signs of any sustained easterly or north-easterly winds though, so there are only limited chances of us seeing another 'Beast from the East' similar to the one we saw last winter.

Apart from the increased chance of north-easterly or northerly winds, the weather is expected to be rather similar to what we are expecting for the coming few days i.e. unsettled and chilly with showers, some of which will be wintry, and perhaps some more persistent rain at times. The north of the UK is most likely to see any significant snow, although we can't rule snow out in southern areas. The most likely alternative to our expected forecast is for Atlantic low pressure systems to track further north across the UK. This would mean it will be wetter, windier and milder.

Monday 4 February—Sunday 17 February

A little less cold, but still a chance of snow

There continues to be the likelihood of some cold and perhaps wintry weather through mid-February, but if anything, it looks likely to become a little less cold by the middle of the month.
Temperatures are still expected to be a little below normal, but there will be some less cold interludes as low pressure systems move eastwards across the UK. The track of these low pressure systems will still be a little further south than normal, so central and southern England will be a little wetter and windier than normal, but northern areas will be a little drier and less windy.

There will be a chance of some wintry weather, with snow possible in all areas but most likely on high ground in the north. Again, the main alternative to our favoured forecast is for low pressure systems to track further north than expected. This would mean that the UK would be a little milder with temperatures near normal, but it would likely be wetter and windier in all areas.

Next Update

Next update: Will the threat of very cold weather re-emerge, or are we set for a more 'normal' end to winter?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[mountain shadow]

7 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Chilly and unsettled with snow at times

Wednesday 23 January—Sunday 27 January

A generally cold end to the week

In our last update, we thought that this week would be colder than normal for the time of year and that there would be a chance of some wintry showers. Whilst the first half of this week has lived up to our expectations, with many areas of the UK already having had frosty nights and some snow, the end of the week now looks just a little different to our expectations.
Wednesday is expected to be a cold day across the country temperatures only reach low-to-mid single figures Celsius in many areas. There will be the chance of showers, mainly in the north and west but feeding further south and east at times.

The showers will be wintry on high ground and there could be a little sleet or snow to lower levels at times. Wednesday night looks to be cold and largely dry, and Thursday should also be mainly dry, although rain and hill snow will edge into the north-west of the UK later. The outlook for Friday and Saturday has changed. A warm front is expected to move in from the Atlantic on Thursday night, so Friday will be cloudier than previous days, but it will also be a little milder. Frost is unlikely on Friday night. The mild spell will be short-lived, because although Saturday will start relatively mild, a front will move southwards across the country re-introducing cold air to most areas by the evening.

Sunday looks likely to be cool and showery, with winds coming from the north-west, and with a chance of wintry showers in some parts of the UK.

Monday 28 January—Sunday 3 February

Staying cold with further snow risks

Low pressure will continue to be a significant factor in the weather for the UK, so we expect the weather for the end of January and start of February to remain rather chilly and unsettled. There are some signs that the low pressure systems will be a little further south though, which would expose the UK to occasional spells of cold north or north-easterly winds. We don't see any signs of any sustained easterly or north-easterly winds though, so there are only limited chances of us seeing another 'Beast from the East' similar to the one we saw last winter.

Apart from the increased chance of north-easterly or northerly winds, the weather is expected to be rather similar to what we are expecting for the coming few days i.e. unsettled and chilly with showers, some of which will be wintry, and perhaps some more persistent rain at times. The north of the UK is most likely to see any significant snow, although we can't rule snow out in southern areas. The most likely alternative to our expected forecast is for Atlantic low pressure systems to track further north across the UK. This would mean it will be wetter, windier and milder.

Monday 4 February—Sunday 17 February

A little less cold, but still a chance of snow

There continues to be the likelihood of some cold and perhaps wintry weather through mid-February, but if anything, it looks likely to become a little less cold by the middle of the month.
Temperatures are still expected to be a little below normal, but there will be some less cold interludes as low pressure systems move eastwards across the UK. The track of these low pressure systems will still be a little further south than normal, so central and southern England will be a little wetter and windier than normal, but northern areas will be a little drier and less windy.

There will be a chance of some wintry weather, with snow possible in all areas but most likely on high ground in the north. Again, the main alternative to our favoured forecast is for low pressure systems to track further north than expected. This would mean that the UK would be a little milder with temperatures near normal, but it would likely be wetter and windier in all areas.

Next Update

Next update: Will the threat of very cold weather re-emerge, or are we set for a more 'normal' end to winter?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

If I was in Central or Southern England I would read that as cold,wet and miserable.