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AderynCoch

Tropical Storm Nicole

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...and away we go again. 96L has got its act together south of Cuba. It's heading north just east of the Isle of Youth and Havana and should brush southeast Florida before merging with a frontal zone.

Tropical Storm Nicole is expected before landfall in Cuba, but it's not forecast to get above 40kts.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...20.6N 82.5W

ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF HAVANA CUBA

ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

* THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM MATANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA

* THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS

* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE AND FLORIDA BAY

* THE FLORIDA KEYS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...

* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA

* NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

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Models shifted significantly eastward, now forecasting only a brush on eastern Florida as opposed to the original gulf hit.

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she's done, not with out causing widspread flooding

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010

500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

SATELLITE...AIRCRAFT...AND SURFACE DATA SHOW THAT THE CIRCULATION OF

NICOLE HAS BECOME ELONGATED THIS AFTERNOON. THE CENTER...

WHICH WAS NEVER VERY WELL DEFINED...HAS BECOME UN-TRACKABLE AND

THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THE 12Z GFS AND

ECMWF MODELS ONCE AGAIN FORECAST THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN

EXTRATROPICAL LOW OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES

TONIGHT. THIS NEW LOW...NOT CONSIDERED TO BE THE REMNANT OF

NICOLE...IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE

UNITED STATES AS A GALE CENTER DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF NICOLE ARE LIKELY TO

CONTINUE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE

CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

RAINFALL IN FLORIDA SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/2100Z 24.5N 80.0W 35 KT...POST-TROPICAL

12HR VT 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$

FORECASTER BROWN

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Toast already? I was only gone a day. :lol:

The mods haven't even had time to rename the thread.

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I still think it should be renamed

but yeah its gone very short lived

20100930.0045.goes13.x.ir1km.16LNICOLE.35kts-996mb-235N-806W.100pc.jpg

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This was always sub-tropical IMO and Dvorak estimates agree as they have consistently had it as an ST number rather than a T.

Definately a very aggressive Wave/LP system but little sign of any organised inner core.

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