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UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Oct 2013 to Tuesday 29 Oct 2013:

Sunday and Monday will remain unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, locally heavy, and some strong winds. However, there will be some drier and brighter interludes, the best of which will be in the east. Temperatures near average or rather warm, with milder nights than of late, although chillier in the north. Through next week, the unsettled weather continues to affect all areas, with periods of rain and cloud alternating with brighter, showery spells. It will be rather windy at times. Temperatures returning to near normal by the end of the period. Towards the end of the period the trend is for more drier and brighter periods, but accompanying this the chance of clearer, cooler nights with an associated risk of local fog, and perhaps rural ground frost.

Updated: 1142 on Tue 15 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Oct 2013 to Wednesday 13 Nov 2013:

The unsettled and slightly warmer than normal conditions expected at the end of October will probably carry over into the first week of November, leading to slightly above average rainfall amounts for some regions. Temperatures during this period may well remain close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that the second week of November may see drier than average conditions across some parts of the country with temperatures probably returning to average.

Updated: 1232 on Tue 15 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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Now I understand the difficulties and "broad brush" necessaties when producing MR and LR forecasts, but this has me a little uncertain.

The end of the above MR outlook says;

"Towards the end of the period the trend is for more drier and brighter periods, but accompanying this the chance of clearer, cooler nights with an associated risk of local fog, and perhaps rural ground frost."

and at the beginning of the LR outlook it says;

"Temperatures during this period may well remain close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year"

Perhaps I'm a little tired and it doesn't sound as confusing as how I am currently seeing it, but surely the overlap of the two forecasts could read a little smoother than that?

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UK Outlook for Monday 21 Oct 2013 to Wednesday 30 Oct 2013:

After an unsettled weekend conditions early next week should be a little better; still a few showers about on Monday, but fewer and further between than on Saturday and Sunday. Some sunshine too, and feeling quite pleasant with above average maximum temperatures. However, conditions soon go downhill with cloud and rain spreading eastwards across the UK by mid-week leaving the rest of the week unsettled and windy with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times. These unsettled conditions are then likely to persist through the weekend after next and onwards into the latter part of October. In spite of the unsettled weather conditions will be mild for the time of year, especially by night when any frost is likely to be confined to the far north.

Updated: 1135 on Wed 16 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Oct 2013 to Thursday 14 Nov 2013:

 

The unsettled and slightly milder than average conditions expected towards the end of October will probably carry over into the first week of November, leading to slightly above average rainfall amounts for some regions, especially in the north and west. Temperatures during this period are thought more likely than not to be close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that during the second week of November northern parts become most likely to be affected by unsettled weather whilst slightly more settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight frost and fog.

 

Updated: 1236 on Wed 16 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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The 6-15 was updated over an hour ago, still no 30 day update, could this be some good news, are they toying with the idea of mentioning the possibility of a cold spell right at the end of the forecast period?

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The 6-15 was updated over an hour ago, still no 30 day update, could this be some good news, are they toying with the idea of mentioning the possibility of a cold spell right at the end of the forecast period?

 

That would tie in with RJS's forecast!

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The 6-15 was updated over an hour ago, still no 30 day update, could this be some good news, are they toying with the idea of mentioning the possibility of a cold spell right at the end of the forecast period?

I take my hat off to your deadly straw clutching abilities Feb. :)Best so far. :)
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UK Outlook for Tuesday 22 Oct 2013 to Thursday 31 Oct 2013:

 

Rain across northern and western areas, pushing east through Tuesday, with brighter and showery conditions following into Wednesday. Rather windy, with risk of gales in the north and west. Remaining very mild, both by day and night, and rather warm in the sunny spells in the south and east. Through the rest of next week, remaining generally unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times. However, some brighter interludes, best across eastern and northeastern parts. These unsettled conditions are then likely to persist through to the latter part of October, but in spite of this conditions will be mild for late October, especially by night with frosts confined to the far north. Later in the month, drier and brighter conditions may become more prevalent in the southeast.

 

Updated: 1158 on Thu 17 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

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UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Oct 2013 to Thursday 14 Nov 2013:

 

The unsettled and slightly milder than average conditions expected towards the end of October will probably carry over into the first week of November, leading to slightly above average rainfall amounts for some regions, especially in the north and west. Temperatures during this period are thought more likely than not to be close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that during the second week of November northern parts become most likely to be affected by unsettled weather whilst slightly more settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight frost and fog.

 

Updated: 1236 on Wed 16 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 23 Oct 2013 to Friday 1 Nov 2013:

Sunny spells and showers through Wednesday and Thursday, some heavy with thunder and merging into longer spells of rain at times. Rather windy with gales in places, especially in the south and west. Remaining very mild, both by day and night, and rather warm in the sunny spells, particularly in the south and east. Through the rest of next week, remaining unsettled and windy with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times. However, some brighter interludes, best across eastern and northeastern parts. Unsettled or changeable conditions are then likely to persist through to the start of November, but with temperatures likely to return to near normal values in most areas. Drier and brighter conditions may become more prevalent in the southeast by then.

Updated: 1216 on Fri 18 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Nov 2013 to Saturday 16 Nov 2013:

The unsettled or changeable conditions expected towards the end of October will probably carry over into the first week of November, with slightly above average rainfall amounts at first. Temperatures during this period are more likely than not to be close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that from the second week of November northern parts are most likely to be affected by the changeable weather, whilst slightly more dry and settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight frost and fog, which may be slow to clear. Temperatures during this week will probably be close to the seasonal average.

Updated: 1231 on Fri 18 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 24 Oct 2013 to Saturday 2 Nov 2013:

 

After a dry start in the north on Thursday, strong winds and heavy rain are likely to spread north across many parts although tending to turn more showery on Friday. Many central and southern areas will continue to have above average temperatures. A brighter, drier, and less windy interlude is then likely for many parts with significantly colder weather possibly affecting northern areas for a time giving night frosts. However, during next weekend and into the following week more unsettled, windy conditions look set to return across all parts with further rain as well as gales in many places. The wettest conditions are likely across northwestern Britain, with the best of the drier and brighter spells in the south and east. By this stage temperatures should be near normal.

 

Updated: 1227 on Sat 19 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Nov 2013 to Sunday 17 Nov 2013:

 

The unsettled or changeable conditions expected towards the end of October will probably carry over into the first week of November, with slightly above average rainfall amounts at first. Temperatures during this period are more likely than not to be close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that from the second week of November northern parts are most likely to be affected by the changeable weather, whilst slightly more dry and settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight frost and fog, which may be slow to clear. Temperatures during this time will probably be closer to the seasonal average.

 

Updated: 1228 on Sat 19 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

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UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Oct 2013 to Monday 4 Nov 2013:

Cloud and rain, locally heavy, will clear eastwards on Saturday with sunny spells and showers following to the west and winds will remain strong across the UK. Overnight, further rain and strong winds will push into the west, clearing eastwards on Sunday with showers behind the rainband. It will remain mild for late October. The unsettled weather will continue thereafter with showers or longer outbreaks of rain, locally heavy, with strong winds and a risk of severe gales, mainly in parts of the north and west. The best of any drier and brighter interludes will be mainly across southeastern parts, particularly later in the period giving a fog risk. Temperatures will be nearer normal but it may be rather cold in the north at times with a frost risk.

Updated: 1215 on Mon 21 Oct 2013

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Nov 2013 to Tuesday 19 Nov 2013:

The unsettled or changeable conditions are expected to continue into the start of November, with slightly above average rainfall amounts at first. Temperatures during this period are more likely than not to be close to or a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that from the second week of November, northern parts are most likely to remain changeable, whilst slightly more dry and settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight frost and fog, which may be slow to clear. Temperatures during this time will probably be closer to the seasonal average.

Updated: 1232 on Mon 21 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Oct 2013 to Tuesday 5 Nov 2013:

It will remain very unsettled on Sunday and Monday with periods of rain, locally heavy, interspersed with drier spells but also the risk of further heavy showers. It will also be windy for most, with a risk of severe gales at times, especially in the west and southwest. Temperatures near average for the time of year. The unsettled weather will continue thereafter with showers or longer outbreaks of rain, locally heavy, with strong winds and a risk of gales, mainly in parts of the north and west. The best of any drier and brighter interludes will be mainly across southeastern parts, particularly later in the period giving a fog risk. Temperatures will be near normal but it may be rather cold in the north at times with a frost risk.

Updated: 1159 on Tue 22 Oct 2013

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

 

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 6 Nov 2013 to Wednesday 20 Nov 2013:

 

The mostly unsettled conditions are expected to continue for much of this period, with a trend for rainfall amounts to be slightly above average in the north and west but nearer to average in the south and east. Temperatures during this period are more likely to be a little above average throughout, especially in the south, leading to a lower risk of frost here than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that towards the end of the period, slightly drier and more settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight fog, which may be slow to clear at times.

 

Updated: 1239 on Tue 22 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

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UK Outlook for Monday 28 Oct 2013 to Wednesday 6 Nov 2013: Wet and windy weather sweeps across much of the country on Monday with the potential for severe gales in the south, although there remains marked uncertainty with regard to the precise track of the strongest swathe of winds. However, it may stay drier and brighter across northern parts. Brighter and showery on Tuesday, but it will remain windy and feeling much colder. After a drier, brighter and less windy interlude around midweek with some night frost, the unsettled milder weather resumes thereafter. Showers or longer outbreaks of rain, locally heavy, will affect many areas, especially the north and west, with strong winds and gales also likely in the west at times. The best drier and brighter interludes will be across southeastern parts, but this may allow occasional fog overnight.

 

 

Updated: 1222 on Wed 23 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 7 Nov 2013 to Thursday 21 Nov 2013:

The mostly unsettled conditions are expected to continue for much of this period, with a trend for rainfall amounts to be slightly above average in the north and west but nearer to average in the south and east. Temperatures during this period are more likely to be near, or perhaps, a little above average throughout, leading to a lower risk of frost than can usually be expected at this time of year. There are some indications that towards the end of the period, slightly drier and more settled conditions further south would bring an increased risk of overnight frost, with fog which may be slow to clear at times.

Updated: 1335 on Wed 23 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Oct 2013 to Thursday 7 Nov 2013:

 

Monday's storm will have pushed out into the North Sea by early Tuesday leaving the UK in a brighter and showery northwesterly airstream. However, it will be rather windy, and feeling much colder than of late, with a touch of frost across many parts overnight as the winds ease. After a dry and bright start on Wednesday, rain and strengthening winds will push in from the west and this will herald the change back to unsettled and milder conditions which will prevail thereafter. Showers or longer outbreaks of rain, locally heavy, will affect many areas, especially the north and west, with strong winds and gales also likely in the west at times. The best drier and brighter interludes will be across southeastern parts, but this may allow occasional fog overnight.

 

Updated: 1213 on Thu 24 Oct 2013

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

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