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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Thursday 17 Dec - Saturday 26 Dec

    Unsettled at first with a mixture of blustery showers and brighter spells for most of the UK, potentially falling as snow over mountains. The showers, accompanied by milder temperatures, will likely be heaviest in the west, whilst areas further east will experience drier spells. Windy conditions expected with potential coastal gales. Towards the end of the period, there is a greater chance of more settled conditions, mainly in the north and east, accompanied by increasing incidence of frost and fog. Rain or showers may become less frequent, but will tend to become focussed across southern and western parts. Wintriness is most likely to be confined to higher ground, but there remains a chance of snow temporarily to low levels. Temperatures mild at first, probably slowly trending downwards through the period.

    Saturday 26 Dec - Saturday 9 Jan

    Confidence is extremely low with a large range of possible outcomes. The most frequent bouts of wind and rain, with milder conditions, are most probable across southern areas, whilst northern areas are likely to be a little colder and more settled overall, particularly at first. Into January, the most likely scenario is that milder and more unsettled weather overall will become established across the UK.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

    Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

    In reply to this  My thoughts on this are that met 9 times out of 10 will go for the default outcome which is the milder weather or high pressure over the uk scenario!!its just easier for them co

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Friday 18 Dec - Sunday 27 Dec

    Unsettled conditions into Friday with heavy spells of rain clearing to a mixture of blustery showers and brighter spells. These unsettled conditions set to continue with showers likely heaviest in the west, whilst areas further east experiencing drier spells. Mild and windy across the UK, with coastal gales. Towards the end of the period, there is a greater chance of more settled conditions, mainly in the north and east, accompanied by increasing incidence of frost and fog. Rain or showers becoming less frequent and tending to become focussed across southern and western parts. Wintriness most likely confined to higher ground, but there remains a chance of snow temporarily to low levels. Temperatures mild at first, probably slowly trending downwards through the period.

    Sunday 27 Dec - Sunday 10 Jan

    Confidence is extremely low with a large range of possible outcomes. The most frequent bouts of wind and rain, with milder conditions, are most probable across southern areas, whilst northern areas are likely to be a little colder and more settled overall, particularly at first. Into January, the most likely scenario is that milder and more unsettled weather overall will become established across the UK.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Saturday 19 Dec - Monday 28 Dec

    Unsettled conditions into Saturday with a mixture of sunny spells and showers, some heavy, especially in the western parts of the country. These unsettled conditions set to continue with showers likely heaviest in the west, whilst areas further east experience drier spells. Windy at times, with coastal gales, and staying mild. Towards the end of next week, there is a greater chance of more settled conditions, mainly in the north and east, accompanied by increasing incidence of frost and fog. Rain or showers becoming less frequent and tending to become focussed across southern and western parts. Wintriness most likely confined to higher ground, but there remains a chance of snow temporarily to low levels. Temperatures mild at first, probably slowly trending downwards through the period.

    Monday 28 Dec - Monday 11 Jan

    Confidence is extremely low with a large range of possible outcomes. The most frequent bouts of wind and rain, with milder conditions, are most probable across southern areas, whilst northern areas are likely to be a little colder and more settled overall, particularly at first. Into January, the most likely scenario is that milder and more unsettled weather overall will become established across the UK.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    Flipped in the latest one to more unsettled n and e as oppose to s and w.

    I dont think nobody really knows that far ahead.

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    So Exeter now expect the Mid Atlantic ridge for Christmas !!

    Thats a decent starting point...

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    Posted
  • Location: Coggeshall, Nr Colchester, Essex
  • Location: Coggeshall, Nr Colchester, Essex

    Not a great update if snow is what you are after. All mention of the s word is gone from both periods.

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    4 minutes ago, snowblind said:

    Not a great update if snow is what you are after. All mention of the s word is gone from both periods.

    There is unlikely to be snow away from the elevated North as far as the eye can see.

    Best hope is fog and frost..

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Sunday 20 Dec - Tuesday 29 Dec

    There is the potential for outbreaks of heavy rain in the south at the beginning of this period. Otherwise, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build to the west of the UK with many southern and western parts becoming predominantly dry and settled. The greatest chance of showers is in the north and perhaps in the east. There is a potential for strong winds in the far south at first; at other times any strong winds are likely to be confined to the north and perhaps the east. Prevalence of overnight fog and frost is likely increasing, with fog potentially slow to clear during the daytime. Temperatures either close to or slightly below normal.

    Tuesday 29 Dec - Tuesday 12 Jan

    High pressure will probably be remaining the dominant pattern for the UK over the last days of December. This means a good deal of dry weather for many parts but with overnight frost and fog, with fog potentially slow to clear. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the east. Into January confidence is low, although a change to more unsettled conditions with Atlantic systems moving in from the west is looking likely to occur during the first half of January.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    A very well presented video of the next 10 days weather by Alex Deakin UK Met, clearly explaing the uncertainties and why.

    Well worth a watch

    link below

    holly-berries.jpg
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Alex Deakin presents the latest forecast information for the next 10 days

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Monday 21 Dec - Wednesday 30 Dec

    There is the potential for outbreaks of heavy rain in the south at the beginning of this period. Otherwise, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build to the west of the UK with many southern and western parts becoming predominantly dry and settled. The greatest chance of showers is in the north and perhaps in the east. There is a potential for strong winds in the far south at first; at other times any strong winds are likely to be confined to the north and perhaps the east. Prevalence of overnight fog and frost is likely increasing, with fog potentially slow to clear during the daytime. Temperatures either close to or slightly below normal.

    Wednesday 30 Dec - Wednesday 13 Jan

    High pressure will probably be remaining the dominant pattern for the UK over the last days of December. This means a good deal of dry weather for many parts but with overnight frost and fog, with fog potentially slow to clear. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the east. Into January confidence is low, although a change to more unsettled conditions with Atlantic systems moving in from the west is looking likely to occur during the first half of January.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Sunny Scunny. 52m (170ft) A.S.L.
  • Location: Sunny Scunny. 52m (170ft) A.S.L.
    2 hours ago, johnholmes said:

    A very well presented video of the next 10 days weather by Alex Deakin UK Met, clearly explaing the uncertainties and why.

    Well worth a watch

    link below

    holly-berries.jpg
    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Alex Deakin presents the latest forecast information for the next 10 days

     

    Great explanation and presentation from Matt there John 👏 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Tuesday 22 Dec - Thursday 31 Dec

    There is potential for outbreaks of heavy rain in the south at the beginning of this period. Otherwise, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build to the west of the UK, bringing cold conditions, and remaining the dominant pattern for the rest of the year, with many southern and western parts becoming predominantly dry and settled. North and east seeing the greatest chance of showers, with these falling as snow in places, especially on higher ground. A potential for strong winds in the far south at first; later, any strong winds are likely to be confined to the north and perhaps the east. Prevalence of overnight fog and frost is likely increasing, with fog potentially slow to clear. Temperatures either close to or slightly below normal.

    Thursday 31 Dec - Thursday 14 Jan

    High pressure patterns means a good deal of dry weather for many parts, but with overnight frost and fog, with fog being potentially slow to clear. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the east. Confidence is low, although a change to more unsettled conditions with Atlantic systems moving in from the west is looking likely to occur by the second week of January.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Wednesday 23 Dec - Friday 1 Jan

    There is potential for outbreaks of heavy rain in the south at the beginning of this period. Otherwise, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build to the west of the UK, bringing cold conditions, and remaining the dominant pattern for the rest of the year, with many southern and western parts becoming predominantly dry and settled. North and east seeing the greatest chance of showers, with these falling as snow in places, especially on higher ground. A potential for strong winds in the far south at first; later, any strong winds are likely to be confined to the north and perhaps the east. Prevalence of overnight fog and frost is likely increasing, with fog potentially slow to clear. Temperatures either close to or below normal.

    Thursday 31 Dec - Thursday 14 Jan

    High pressure patterns means a good deal of dry weather for many parts, but with overnight frost and fog, with fog being potentially slow to clear. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the east. Confidence is low, although a change to more unsettled conditions with Atlantic systems moving in from the west is looking likely to occur by the second week of January.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee

    The Atlantic has been put back to mid January!

    425C8C78-4CC1-42F1-81D6-29434368FE91.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts
    5 minutes ago, Norrance said:

    The Atlantic has been put back to mid January!

    425C8C78-4CC1-42F1-81D6-29434368FE91.png

    Yep I was a bit confused with the latest update on here , when someone mentioned earlier it had changed for the better  I went to the meto site and the update is a lot better 👍

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Most wettest weather in the east, suggests to me an easterly source, anything from the Atlantic would mean east driest. 

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    Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
    3 minutes ago, Snowfish2 said:

    I can't believe how they are going for wet and windy when all Models are clearly showing v. Cold and possible snow showers for some....?????????? 

    Tbh there isn't one model showing very cold. Cool Xmas then who knows. Zero snow on the models atm also within the reliable

    Edited by swfc
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    Posted
  • Location: Herne Bay Kent
  • Location: Herne Bay Kent
    2 hours ago, swfc said:

    Tbh there isn't one model showing very cold. Cool Xmas then who knows. Zero snow on the models atm also within the reliable

    Let's hope that updates and upgrades. We could do with some luck and that's an understatement!! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Thursday 24 Dec - Saturday 2 Jan

    There is potential for outbreaks of heavy rain in the south at the beginning of this period. Otherwise, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build to the west of the UK, bringing cold conditions, and remaining the dominant pattern for the rest of the year, with many southern and western parts becoming predominantly dry and settled. North and east seeing the greatest chance of showers, with these falling as snow in places, especially on higher ground. A potential for strong winds in the far south at first; later, any strong winds are likely to be confined to the north and perhaps the east. Prevalence of overnight fog and frost is likely increasing, with fog potentially slow to clear. Temperatures either close to or below normal.

    Saturday 2 Jan - Saturday 16 Jan

    Although confidence is low going into the new year, it looks as though high pressure will remain dominant over the UK, meaning dry but cold weather for many parts. This will increase the potential for overnight frosts and fog formation, with the fog possibly being slow to clear during the day. Some periods of wetter weather may develop at times, most likely in the south and east, and with temperatures forecast to remain colder than average, this precipitation could be wintry at times. Towards mid-January, a gradual change to more unsettled conditions is likely with Atlantic low pressure systems moving in from the west, bringing milder temperatures, rain and stronger winds to the UK.

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

     

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