Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 4 June - Thursday 13 June

Tuesday and Wednesday see fresher conditions established across the UK, with most places seeing showers or some longer spells of rain interspersed by bright or sunny spells. The bulk of the rain will probably be in the northwest and here temperatures will be below normal, and it will be windy at times. The best of any sunnier periods will be across the southeast, where it may still become warm at times. These conditions are expected to continue through much of the rest of the period, with further showers or longer spells of rain which could be heavy in places, and with thunder possible anywhere. Towards the middle of the month some drier and more settled conditions may begin to become established across the UK.

Friday 14 June - Friday 28 June

Confidence is generally low through this period but it is likely that drier and more settled conditions will become more widely established across the UK. This change will be most marked across northwestern areas following the changeable start to June. However all parts are still likely to have further changeable spells through the rest of the month with a risk of thundery showers, more especially in the south. Temperatures will probably be above normal or warm overall for the time of year, with the warmest conditions most likely in the south and southeast.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 5 June - Friday 14 June

Wednesday should see a continuation of the fresher weather regime across the UK, with showers or some longer spells of rain, as well as some drier, brighter interludes. The bulk of the rain will probably fall in the northwest and here temperatures will be below normal. The best of any sunnier periods will be across the southeast, where it may still become warm at times. It may also become windy in places. These conditions are expected to continue through early June, with further showers or longer spells of rain, which could be heavy in places with thunder possible. Towards the middle of the month some drier and more settled conditions may begin to become established across the UK.

Saturday 15 June - Saturday 29 June

Confidence is generally low, but by mid June there are indications that generally drier and more settled conditions will become established across the UK. This change will be most marked across north and northwestern parts of the UK which are likely to have experienced quite changeable weather through the first part of June. Despite the generally more settled conditions there is still a risk for further changeable spells bringing a risk of thundery outbreaks, these most probable across southern parts. Temperatures will likely be somewhat above average with the warmest conditions likely in the south and southeast.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 6 June - Saturday 15 June

Sunshine and scattered heavy and possibly thundery showers are expected on Thursday, with the showers perhaps merging in the northwest to give some longer spells of rain. This showery theme continues into Saturday with light winds and with temperatures generally below average. By Sunday and during the following week it is likely that Atlantic weather systems will affect the UK bringing wet and windy weather at times, particularly to the northwest, but still with some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will be mainly below average, but with a chance of occasional warm spells in the east and southeast. Towards the middle of the month some drier and more settled conditions may begin to become established across the UK.

Sunday 16 June - Sunday 30 June

Confidence is generally low, but by mid June there are indications that generally drier and more settled conditions will have become established across the UK. This change will be most marked across north and northwestern parts of the UK which are likely to have experienced quite changeable weather through the first part of June. Despite the generally more settled conditions there is still a risk for further changeable spells, particularly towards the end of month. These will bring a risk of occasional thundery outbreaks, more especially in the south. Temperatures will likely be around average, but perhaps cooler in the north towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Friday 7 June - Sunday 16 June

Sunny spells along with scattered heavy and possibly thundery showers are expected on Friday, with a chance of some more persistent rain and strong winds affecting the south. This unsettled and largely showery theme continues into the weekend, but with a risk of some longer spells of rain in places. During the following week there are signs that high pressure will begin to build across the country, bringing periods of drier and more settled conditions, although there may still be occasional spells of wet and windy weather, probably in the west and northwest. Temperatures generally close to or a little below average, but with a chance of occasional warm spells in the east and southeast.

Monday 17 June - Monday 1 July

Confidence remains generally low through this period, but during the third week of June it is likely that generally drier and mostly settled conditions will have become established across the UK. This will bring some fine and dry days, but there will still be a risk of some periods of more changeable weather, particularly as we approach the start of July. These will bring occasional wet and breezy spells, with a risk of some thundery outbreaks, more especially in the south. Temperatures will likely be around average, but perhaps cooler in the north towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 8 June - Monday 17 June

The unsettled, cool and changeable theme looks set to continue into the weekend, with a mixture of sunny spells and scattered showers on Saturday, perhaps some longer spells of rain affecting northern parts. There is still the likelihood of some persistent rain and perhaps strong winds arriving from the southwest to affect some parts for a time, most likely on Sunday. Into next week and it will probably stay cool, changeable and showery, with some longer spells of rain at times. However, there are indications towards the end of this period for generally drier and more settled conditions to become established across the UK. Temperatures will generally be close to or a little below average at first, but with a chance of occasional warm spells in the east and southeast.

Tuesday 18 June - Tuesday 2 July

Confidence remains generally low through this period, but during the third week of June it is likely that generally drier and mostly settled conditions will have become established across the UK. This will bring some fine and dry days, but there will still be a risk of some periods of more changeable weather, particularly as we approach the start of July. These will bring occasional wet and breezy spells, with a risk of some thundery outbreaks, more especially in the south. Temperatures will likely be around average, but perhaps cooler in the north towards the end of the month.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 9 June - Tuesday 18 June

The unsettled and cool weather looks set to continue on Sunday. There will be showers for many and the likelihood of more persistent rain and strong winds arriving from the southwest to affect many parts later in the day. Into next week and it will probably start cool, changeable and showery, with some longer spells of rain. However, there are indications through the week for overall drier and more settled conditions to become established, most likely across the northwest of the UK. Southern areas are still more likely to see outbreaks of rain or showers, and some stronger winds at times. Temperatures will generally be close to or a little below average at first, perhaps recovering to become warm at times, particularly in the north.

Wednesday 19 June - Wednesday 3 July

Confidence is low through this period, but it is likely that generally drier and mostly settled conditions will have become established across the north of the UK. Meanwhile, southern parts are likely to be more prone to showers, or perhaps some longer spells of rain with the possibility of occasional thunderstorms. Temperatures will likely be around average or a little above, with northwestern areas most favoured for warmer than average temperatures.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Monday 10 June - Wednesday 19 June

The unsettled and cool weather looks set to continue into next week. Monday will see sunny spells and further showers, with the risk of hail and thunder. Outbreaks of rain will also be likely for Scotland. The week will probably start cool, showery and changeable, but there are indications for later in the week that overall drier and more settled conditions could slowly become established. These will be most likely across the north of the UK. Southern areas will still be more likely to see outbreaks of rain or showers, and some stronger winds at times. Temperatures will generally be close to or a little below average at first, perhaps recovering to become warm at times, particularly in the north.

Thursday 20 June - Thursday 4 July

Confidence is low through this period, but it is most likely that generally drier and mostly settled conditions will have become established across the north of the UK. Meanwhile, southern areas are likely to be more prone to showers, or perhaps some longer spells of rain with the possibility of occasional thunderstorms. Temperatures will likely be around average or a little above, with northwest Scotland perhaps most favoured for warmer than average temperatures.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 11 June - Thursday 20 June

After an unsettled period of weather across the UK, there are signs that drier and more settled conditions could begin to develop from Tuesday. Many areas are likely to be dry on Tuesday, although isolated showers are possible in the north and east. Many places may have sunny spells, but it could turn cloudier in the west. Thereafter, there is significant uncertainty in the detail, but largely settled conditions are likely to continue, particularly in the north and west. Further showers or longer spells of rain are possible in the south at times with brisk winds. Temperatures will generally be close to or a little below average at first, perhaps recovering to become warm, particularly in the north.

Friday 21 June - Friday 5 July

Confidence is low through this period, but it is most likely that generally drier and mostly settled conditions will have become established across the north of the UK. Meanwhile, southern areas are likely to be more prone to showers, or perhaps some longer spells of rain with the possibility of occasional thunderstorms. Temperatures will likely be around average or a little above, with northwest Scotland perhaps most favoured for warmer than average temperatures.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 12 June - Friday 21 June

Wednesday is likely to be windy and rather chilly for the time of year. Rain in the south may spread further north during the day, with showers following behind from the south. Thursday and Friday could well be rather unsettled too, with the wettest weather in the east of the UK. Temperatures will remain a little below average. Next weekend will probably be on the wet and windy side in the south and east, but with more chance of dry and bright weather in the north and west. Into the following week, further showers or longer spells of rain are likely at times. However, there will be more in the way of dry spells too. Temperatures will perhaps recover to average temperatures for June.

Saturday 22 June - Saturday 6 July

Although the weather is very uncertain for this period, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of sporadic wet and windy weather, though there will probably be more in the way of drier spells too as we move towards the end of June. Winds should become relatively light, with a tendency to turn from cooler northerly or easterly winds to warmer southerly or westerly winds which would allow temperatures to rise to normal or slightly above normal for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Don]

June certainly not looking like anything to write home about from that update.

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 13 June - Saturday 22 June

Thursday will be unsettled for most with showers or longer spells of rain, and with the showers heavy and possibly thundery in the south and southeast. Some sheltered northwestern areas may remain dry, but there it will be windy. This unsettled theme is likely to continue into the weekend, with the wettest conditions most probably across the east and southeast. Temperatures below average, especially in the wetter areas. Through the following week there will probably be more in the way of drier spells, but still with outbreaks of rain or heavy showers at times. Winds will often be strong for the time of year, but as we approach the following weekend temperatures will perhaps recover closer to average.

Sunday 23 June - Sunday 7 June

Although the weather is very uncertain for this period, the most likely scenario is for a continuation of sporadic wet and windy weather, though there will probably be more in the way of drier spells too by the end of June and into the first week of July. Winds should become relatively light, with a tendency to turn from cooler northerly or easterly winds to warmer southerly or westerly winds which would allow temperatures to rise to normal or slightly above normal for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Friday 14 June - Sunday 23 June

It should be cool and cloudy with light winds across the majority of country on Friday. There will a be further showers, and perhaps a longer spell of rain, but the far west may be mainly dry with some bright spells. Moving into the weekend this unsettled theme is likely to continue with the wettest conditions most probably across the east and southeast. Temperatures below average, especially in the wetter areas. Through the following week there will probably be more in the way of drier spells, but still with outbreaks of rain or heavy showers at times. Winds will often be strong for the time of year, but through the week temperatures will perhaps recover closer to average.

Monday 24 June - Monday 8 June

The expected weather conditions in this period remain very uncertain, but at present the most likely scenario is that we will continue to see occasional spells of wet and windy weather, however there will probably be more in the way of drier spells too by the end of June and into the first week of July. Winds should become relatively light, with a tendency to turn from cooler northerly or easterly winds to warmer southerly or westerly winds which would allow temperatures to rise to normal, or perhaps slightly above normal for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[mb018538]

So basically their forecast of high pressure around mid month onwards was another bust. Not happening. These forecasts are essentially useless, we saw it all through the winter too. 

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 15 June - Monday 24 June

Saturday should see a mixture of sunshine and showers. There is a risk of heavy, thundery showers in the east or southeast at first. Thereafter, showers are likely to be heaviest in the west where they may merge to form longer spells of rain or give a rumble of thunder. Winds may be strong in the west with the risk of coastal gales. Temperatures should be normal for the time of year. The most probable scenario going forward is for a continuation of these changeable conditions, which will be most prevalent across eastern and southeastern parts. Many western and northern areas may well see more settled conditions, though still with occasional showers. Winds probably remaining strong at times, with temperatures no better than average, often below, with some cold nights.

Tuesday 25 June - Tuesday 9 June

The forecast through this period is very uncertain. Presently the preferred solution is for some spells of unsettled weather to effect the UK through the period, although probably interspersed with more in the way of drier, more settled spells than during the previous period. Winds should mostly be light, with temperatures generally recovering to around normal for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 16 June- Tuesday 25 June

Sunday is expected to be another day of sunshine and showers. Some of these could be heavy with a risk of thunder, most likely in the west or northwest of the UK. Temperatures will remain on the cool side, though in the southeast, warm sunshine is likely later in the day as showers ease. By next week, most winds will tend to blow from a warm southerly direction, which will make the UK warmer generally over the following days, and perhaps very warm in parts of the south. Occasional rain or showers will remain likely in western and northwesterly areas, and it will probably be rather windy here at times. However, south and southeasterly areas are more likely to stay dry, bright and warm.

Wednesday 26 June - Wednesday 10 July

Although rather uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK along with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is more likely in the northwest though there will be dry spells here too. Into July, there is more chance of showers and longer spells of rain across the country generally, though the south and southeast may still see the warmest and driest weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Don]

4 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Sunday 16 June- Tuesday 25 June

Sunday is expected to be another day of sunshine and showers. Some of these could be heavy with a risk of thunder, most likely in the west or northwest of the UK. Temperatures will remain on the cool side, though in the southeast, warm sunshine is likely later in the day as showers ease. By next week, most winds will tend to blow from a warm southerly direction, which will make the UK warmer generally over the following days, and perhaps very warm in parts of the south. Occasional rain or showers will remain likely in western and northwesterly areas, and it will probably be rather windy here at times. However, south and southeasterly areas are more likely to stay dry, bright and warm.

Wednesday 26 June - Wednesday 10 July

Although rather uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK along with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is more likely in the northwest though there will be dry spells here too. Into July, there is more chance of showers and longer spells of rain across the country generally, though the south and southeast may still see the warmest and driest weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

A bit of a u turn there from yesterday’s update!

[Summer Sun]

Monday 17 June - Wednesday 26 June

After a rather unsettled weekend, Monday will see warm sunny spells for many. However, showers are still possible, especially in the west and northwest where they could be heavy, with the risk of thunder. The south and southeast will likely see drier and more settled conditions through next week though. Here we will see the warmest temperatures and it could be even very warm for parts of the southeast. It will stay windy in the northwest though, with a risk of showers continuing here towards the end of June. The more settled conditions in the south are then likely to extend further north and west, with lighter winds and warmer temperatures than of late likely.

Thursday 27 June - Thursday 11 July

Although rather uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK, along with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is more likely in the northwest but there will be dry spells here too. Into July, there is more chance of showers and longer spells of rain across the country generally, though the south and southeast may still see the warmest and driest weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[northwestsnow]

More in the way of settled weather away from the north west

 

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday 18 June - Thursday 27 June

After an unsettled and cool first half of June, somewhat drier and more settled weather is likely to develop for many during the second half of the month. Although next week may still be rather changeable and showery, it will be warmer than of late with some sunshine and drier interludes. Southern areas may become very warm for a time, although with the chance of thundery rain spreading up from the south at times, perhaps affecting central parts, which will preclude any longer spells of dry weather. As we head into the final week of June, there are signs that high pressure may dominate, bringing a greater chance of more widely settled and warm weather.

Friday 28 June - Friday 12 July

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK, along with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is more likely in the northwest but there will be dry spells here too. Into July, there is more chance of showers and longer spells of rain across the country generally, though the south and southeast may still see the warmest and driest weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Wednesday 19 June - Friday 28 June

The changeable and showery theme looks set to continue, with low pressure situated to the northwest of the UK, and high pressure over the near continent. The main focus of the showers is likely to be in the north and west, with some strong winds at times. It will be warmer than of late with some sunshine and drier interludes in between the showers, especially in the south and east, where it may become very warm for a time. However, there will be the risk of some heavy and thundery showers moving up from the south at times, which may extend northwards. As we head into the final week of June, there are signs that high pressure may dominate, bringing a greater chance of more widely settled and warm weather.

Saturday 29 June - Saturday 13 July

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK, along with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is more likely in the northwest but there will be dry spells here too. Into July, there is more chance of showers and longer spells of rain across the country generally, though the south and southeast may still see the warmest and driest weather.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Thursday 20 June - Saturday 29 June

Low pressure likely to be dominant to the west or northwest, with frontal systems periodically affecting the UK. Windy conditions are likely at times, especially in the northwest. The changeable conditions are likely to bring bands of rain at times, these most frequently in the north and west. Brighter and showery periods are likely in-between. The south and southeast should have more in the way of drier and settled weather, but with the risk of thundery plumes being drawn northwards from the continent into southern parts of the UK at times. Temperatures will be mostly near normal, but warm at times in the east. Sometimes rather cool in the northwest. There are signs that high pressure may become more dominant by late-June, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather.

Sunday 30 June - Sunday 14 July

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the end of June could well be a continuation of mostly dry and warm weather for the southeast of the UK, with light winds. Windier and wetter weather is likely at times in the northwest but there will be drier spells here too. Into July, conditions will be similar, with showers or longer spells of rain at times, although the south and southeast will probably see the warmest and driest weather, with occasional thundery outbreaks. Temperatures will be near or slightly above the average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Friday 21 June - Sunday 30 June

Showers are likely in the north on Friday, some heavy and thundery, whilst it should remain drier further south. A ridge of high pressure should then bring a good deal of fine and at times sunny weather next weekend, before showery rain arrives in the west later on Sunday. Low pressure is likely to bring more unsettled and perhaps cool weather to the northwest of the UK through the following week, as further bands of rain push in from the Atlantic. Towards the south and southeast it will most likely stay drier, and warm at times, but there is the risk of some thundery showers spreading in from the south. There are signs that high pressure may become more dominant by late-June, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather.

Monday 1 July - Monday 15 July

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the start of July is for a continuation of the mostly dry and warm weather in the southeast of the UK, with generally light winds. However the risk of some thundery outbreaks remains. Windier and wetter weather is likely at times in the northwest but there will be drier spells here too. Temperatures will be near or slightly above the average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Mike Poole]

3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Friday 21 June - Sunday 30 June

Showers are likely in the north on Friday, some heavy and thundery, whilst it should remain drier further south. A ridge of high pressure should then bring a good deal of fine and at times sunny weather next weekend, before showery rain arrives in the west later on Sunday. Low pressure is likely to bring more unsettled and perhaps cool weather to the northwest of the UK through the following week, as further bands of rain push in from the Atlantic. Towards the south and southeast it will most likely stay drier, and warm at times, but there is the risk of some thundery showers spreading in from the south. There are signs that high pressure may become more dominant by late-June, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather.

Monday 1 July - Monday 15 July

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the start of July is for a continuation of the mostly dry and warm weather in the southeast of the UK, with generally light winds. However the risk of some thundery outbreaks remains. Windier and wetter weather is likely at times in the northwest but there will be drier spells here too. Temperatures will be near or slightly above the average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

This looks like a continued upgrade as far as I can see, and I will be holding my line that things are going to improve, when I comment on the 12z runs in the model thread later! 

[Summer Sun]

Saturday 22 June - Monday 1 July

Saturday should see a fair amount of settled and sunny weather as a ridge of high pressure builds across the south of the UK, with scattered showers becoming mostly confined to Scotland and Northern Ireland. High pressure will give way to another Atlantic low pressure through Sunday and into the following week bringing changeable weather with bands of rain crossing most areas at times, but more especially affecting northern and western parts. Towards the south and southeast it will most likely stay drier, and possibly become warm at times, but there is the risk of some thundery showers spreading in from the south. There are signs that high pressure may become more dominant by late-June, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather. Temperatures mostly near normal.

Tuesday 2 July - Tuesday 16 July

Although uncertain, the most likely weather for the start of July is for a continuation of the mostly dry and warm weather in the southeast of the UK, with generally light winds. However the risk of some thundery outbreaks remains. Windier and wetter weather is likely at times in the northwest but there will be drier spells here too. Temperatures will be near or slightly above the average for the time of year.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

Sunday 23 June - Tuesday 2 July

On Sunday most places will start fine, bright, and dry and remain so through much of the day, especially in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures will recover to normal or be locally warm. However, for southwestern and western parts heavy rain and some strong winds should arrive during the day as low pressure moves towards the UK from the southwest. Rain is likely to spread northward and eastwards into Monday bringing unsettled weather more widely for the start of the next week. As we head into late June there are signs that high pressure may become more dominant, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather with temperatures mostly near normal. However, by early July we may see a return to greater influence from Atlantic again, although confidence is low.

Wednesday 3 July - Wednesday 17 July

During the first half of July predictability becomes very low, with mixed signals. However, at present the favored solution is for increased Atlantic mobility through this period, bringing spells of unsettled weather to the UK, generally associated with low pressure systems, interspersed by more settled anticyclonic regimes. This will likely mean that showers or longer spells of rain will affect northwestern parts of the UK, whilst the south and southeast will see more in the way of dry weather: although some thundery outbreaks are likely in the south and southeast as is usual this time of year. Temperatures through the period will probably near or slightly above average.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast