Jump to content

Meto Uk Further Outlook


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 8.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Yes I have just spent some time comparing their forecast issued on their web site at 0025 with the two latest Fax charts for Tuesday. They seemed at odds and this forecast seems to suggest what I beli

So this is what Exeter actually published UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019: Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast

In all the years of model watching 12-15 years, I cannot ever remember UK Met trawling a deep cold spell so far ahead, so consistently, and for such duration after its arrival. Not even the late Novem

Posted Images

57 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

Who cares, they’ve been crap all winter. 

I don’t think they have been crap.  It’s been a very complex winter regarding background signals and most forecasters have struggled recently.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Monday 18 Feb 2019 to Monday 4 Mar 2019:

Very low confidence emerges through the rest of February as to whether a more blocked pattern redevelops or we maintain more of an Atlantic influence, with a more widely unsettled theme continuing through second half of the month. At this stage, it looks as though Atlantic low pressure systems will track further to the south, with high pressure situated to the north. This set up would bring slightly wetter conditions across the south of the UK, with some strong winds at times. Meanwhile, drier than average conditions are likely in the north, although with some coastal showers possible. There is the possibility that frontal systems may bring wintry hazards, particularly if a more east or northeasterly flow develops. Temperatures overall around the average. Low likelihood of widely cold conditions developing.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

The Atlantic dominated theme has to be favourite,,,quite confident of that 

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

The Atlantic dominated theme has to be favourite,,,quite confident of that 

If low pressure systems take a southerly track, that won't be too bad.

Link to post
Share on other sites
29 minutes ago, Don said:

I don’t think they have been crap.  It’s been a very complex winter regarding background signals and most forecasters have struggled recently.

They have been abysmal and there is no other way to describe it. Utterly pointless waste of time even putting them to print

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Neiller22 said:

They have been abysmal and there is no other way to describe it. Utterly pointless waste of time even putting them to print

100% agree ....Its pathetic really given the money and info they have . 

They just cover just about every possible outcome in every update

 

Edited by billy
Link to post
Share on other sites

I get that the Met Office has larger resources etc, but it's interesting how the same people on this forum who were predicting a new ice age for Jan/Feb, are the same people now blasting the Met Office for questionable long range forecasting and a desire to cover all bases. :unknw:

  • Haha 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, Thinon said:

I get that the Met Office has larger resources etc, but it's interesting how the same people on this forum who were predicting a new ice age for Jan/Feb, are the same people now blasting the Met Office for questionable long range forecasting and a desire to cover all bases. :unknw:

Have you got any evidence of that? I cant think of anyone, but I'll accept it if you have proof!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Speaking of the MetO "covering all bases", what has the actual weather been like for most of us these last 7 days?

Cold? Yes. 
Mild? Yes. 
Rain? Yes. 
Snow? Yes.
Fine/sunny? Yes.

Can you blame them for not offering more certainty? In fact it proves their outlooks have been spot on if anything.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2019 to Monday 18 Feb 2019:

Sunshine and showers will affect most areas through the weekend. Showers will be heaviest and most frequent through Saturday, easing through Sunday. It will be windy with a risk of coastal gales, with temperatures around average. The new working week will start largely dry before wind and rain spreads across northern and western areas later on Monday and through Tuesday. Areas further south and east should remain drier and brighter. Any snow is likely to be confined to higher ground in the north, with near normal temperatures for most. There is increasing uncertainty thereafter however it is likely to remain similar. Cloud and rain will spread eastwards across the UK, but this will be interspersed with drier and brighter spells. Overall temperatures will remain close to average.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Feb 2019 to Tuesday 5 Mar 2019:

Very low confidence emerges through the rest of February as to whether a more blocked pattern redevelops or whether we maintain more of an Atlantic influence with a more widely unsettled theme. What currently seems most likely is that there will be rain at times, particularly in the north and west where snow is possible over high ground, and a greater chance of drier, brighter and more settled spells across the south and east. There remains a low likelihood of colder conditions with east or south-easterly winds developing and an increased risk of snow. Temperatures overall are likely to be around average, possibly mild in the northwest at times, but there remains a low likelihood of widely cold conditions developing.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

  • Haha 4
  • Sad 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Feb 2019 to Tuesday 5 Mar 2019:

Very low confidence emerges through the rest of February as to whether a more blocked pattern redevelops or whether we maintain more of an Atlantic influence with a more widely unsettled theme. What currently seems most likely is that there will be rain at times, particularly in the north and west where snow is possible over high ground, and a greater chance of drier, brighter and more settled spells across the south and east. There remains a low likelihood of colder conditions with east or south-easterly winds developing and an increased risk of snow. Temperatures overall are likely to be around average, possibly mild in the northwest at times, but there remains a low likelihood of widely cold conditions developing.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

More downgrades. Notice the dropping of North Easterlies for South Easterlies, i think that's game over for both Winter and the Met Office.

  • Like 5
  • Haha 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Definitely game over now.

Oh dear, that really is a poor update.  Glad I made the most of the snow at the weekend which is now well on the way out.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, abbie123 said:

Game over I don’t think so .

Maybe not, but it's currently not looking good and the metoffice updates are downgrading each day!

  • Haha 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Don said:

Oh dear, that really is a poor update.  Glad I made the most of the snow at the weekend which is now well on the way out.

That's true; but, looking on the brights side, if it's as wrong as its predecessors, we might be on the cusp of something special??

  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Ed Stone said:

That's true; but, looking on the brights side, if it's as wrong as its predecessors, we might be on the cusp of something special??

Problem is, it's bound to be correct now!

  • Haha 3
  • Sad 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 10/01/2019 at 12:05, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Friday 25 Jan 2019 to Friday 8 Feb 2019:

During the last week of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather becoming established across all of the UK. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow and more widespread frost, particularly across northern parts. However, there is uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Although there have been changes, that wasn't a bad forecast from 3 weeks out. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...