Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2019 to Saturday 23 Feb 2019:

Cold or very cold conditions are likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds dominating. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, although the incursion of these introduce a significant risk of snow should very cold conditions become established.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Scandinavian High.]

That’s Upgrade today for the south snow wise 

[Bristawl Si]

Upgrade.

Hopefully the worst/best will hold off 'til mid-Feb

[ICE COLD]

15 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

Upgrade.

Hopefully the worst/best will hold off 'til mid-Feb

Yer nice one bruva 

Thats an upgrade definitely. 

Edited January 25, 2019 by ICE COLD

[ALL ABOARD]

You couldn't ask for better on either update tbh. 

Lows scirting into biscay with hopefully cold air entrenched. 

[Don]

I would say a very good update, apart from perhaps the final sentence, where it has gone from 'still a chance that even colder conditions may develop in early February' in recent days to 'still a small chance that even colder conditions may develop in early February'.  An upgrade in the shorter term, though.

Edited January 25, 2019 by Don

[Don]

Can't complain about that update!

[kold weather]

That is sounding very much like a Scandinavian high they are forecasting, especially with regards to maybe occasional milder air coming into the south as you get battleground set-ups. Great update!

 

[bluearmy]

56 minutes ago, Don said:

I would say a very good update, apart from perhaps the final sentence, where it has gone from 'still a chance that even colder conditions may develop in early February' in recent days to 'still a small chance that even colder conditions may develop in early February'.  An upgrade in the shorter term, though.

The chance is predicated on a downwelling wave arriving before the extended period begins .....assume the timing is firming up on behold day 15

[bluearmy]

that sounds very much like the forecast wording  from early feb last year. I can only assume that glosea has firmed up on showing a reversal wave by mid feb 

[knocker]

Interesting that EC46 update this morning gets steadily warmer through February with a westerly flow after the flurry with the Scandinavian ridge

[DOdo]

I think we can call on this Easterly. It has been pushes back so much" Now its a small chance!! There is al ot of uncertainty

[northwestsnow]

Brill update..

[Jackski4]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Brill update..

Just now???

[northwestsnow]

14 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

Just now???

I dont understand ?

[Jackski4]

Just now, northwestsnow said:

I dont understand ?

Sorry, sleep deprivation kicking in!

 

Was METO update recent or still the one from this morning?

[Summer Sun]

23 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

Sorry, sleep deprivation kicking in!

 

Was METO update recent or still the one from this morning?

The one at the bottom of the last page is today's it only updates once a day

[Lloyds32]

4 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2019 to Saturday 23 Feb 2019:

Cold or very cold conditions are likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds dominating. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, although the incursion of these introduce a significant risk of snow should very cold conditions become established.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

4 hours ago, Bristle boy said:

Upgrade.

Hopefully the worst/best will hold off 'til mid-Feb

I have absolutely no faith in that outlook. The 9th Feb is 15 days away, let alone up until 23 Feb.

There will need to a massive turn around in modelling for the meto's 'cold or very cold'. I will just wait for that line to be gradually removed.

[Rambo]

2 hours ago, Lloyds32 said:

 

I have absolutely no faith in that outlook. The 9th Feb is 15 days away, let alone up until 23 Feb.

There will need to a massive turn around in modelling for the meto's 'cold or very cold'. I will just wait for that line to be gradually removed.

Now, I'm not saying I hold absolute faith in the MetO, far from it.....BUT, you're saying you dont have faith because of what the current models show........its that the models that dont go that far out, and aren't even reliable up to day 4???

I wouldn't hold any faith in any outcome past day 4 at the moment, so the best take away from these updates is that they arent showing above average boredom, just be happy about that!

[Lloyds32]

14 minutes ago, Rambo said:

Now, I'm not saying I hold absolute faith in the MetO, far from it.....BUT, you're saying you dont have faith because of what the current models show........its that the models that dont go that far out, and aren't even reliable up to day 4???

I wouldn't hold any faith in any outcome past day 4 at the moment, so the best take away from these updates is that they arent showing above average boredom, just be happy about that!

You have missed the point.

 

[Rambo]

9 minutes ago, Lloyds32 said:

You have missed the point.

 

So the point is lol?

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Thursday 31 Jan 2019 to Saturday 9 Feb 2019:

A widespread frost to start on Thursday, before cloud and outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow pushes slowly east or northeast, with some uncertainty. Friday will perhaps see further spells of rain and snow, before clearer, colder weather sinks south again across all parts. By the weekend, it looks like staying unsettled, with further spells of rain, sleet and snow, interspersed by brighter and showery interludes. It will be windy at times, with the risk of coastal gales. There is still a chance that even colder conditions may develop as we go through the early part of February with an east or northeasterly flow dominating, which could bring an increased possibility of disruptive snow in places.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Feb 2019 to Sunday 24 Feb 2019:

Cold or very cold conditions are likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds dominating. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, although the incursion of these introduce a significant risk of snow should very cold conditions become established.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Don]

Another good update, although I prefer yesterdays.  However, just highlights the amount of uncertainty for the end of next week.

[Weathizard]

An extremely uncertain update, looks like they are in the same boat as us, even with the multi million pound systems at their disposal.