Meto Uk Further Outlook

[Liam J]

Outlook into mid February. 

UK Outlook for Friday 5 Feb 2016 to Friday 19 Feb 2016:

The first weekend of February is likely to herald a change to slightly colder conditions as a north to south divide in the weather forms across the country. Northern areas are expected to remain unsettled, with further gales and hill snow possible in the northwest. Southern parts should stay drier, with lighter winds. Temperatures are likely to remain close to or slightly above average through much of the period, but may fall just below normal by the middle of February.

Updated at: 0307 on Thu 21 Jan 2016

 

[Lakigigar]

5 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Tuesday 26 Jan 2016 to Thursday 4 Feb 2016:

Tuesday should see sun and blustery showers, but with outbreaks of rain in the north of the country. Drier conditions are likely across southern parts, but even here showers are possible. This pattern is expected to persist through the rest of the week and into next weekend, with severe gales possible in the far northwest, along with some snow on northern hills. As we move into February, a northwest to southeast split may develop, with unsettled weather in the northwest and the best of any drier, brighter conditions in the southeast. Temperatures should be around average for much of the country, but slightly below in the more settled spells in the south with a risk of overnight frosts.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

What is UKMO seeing because i can't see anything that comes close to slight below average during settled spells.

[Summer Sun]

22 minutes ago, Lakigigar said:

What is UKMO seeing because i can't see anything that comes close to slight below average during settled spells.

Maybe they are taking into account any lingering fog patches which would cause temperatures to struggle which can often be an issue this time of year as the days still aren't long enough say if the sun broke through by 2pm sunset is around 16:30 so it wouldn't warm up much

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Feb 2016 to Saturday 20 Feb 2016:

The current indications are that the weather across the British Isles will remain changeable with unsettled, milder spells interspersed with colder, drier but possibly showery interludes. The most unsettled weather is likely to occur in the north and northwest while the south and southeast should have more in the way of settled conditions, although all areas will have both unsettled and settled weather during this period. It should be generally windy, with the strongest winds in the north and northwest where gales are likely. However in the southeast the wind will be lighter at times and this may allow frost and fog to form here on some nights. The temperature overall is likely to be close to or above average, except in any settled intervals where fog and frost form.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 27 Jan 2016 to Friday 5 Feb 2016:

On Wednesday there will be rain and strong winds in many areas but the rain will clear away southeastwards leaving a brief spell of colder, drier conditions leading into Thursday. Then further rain and milder air will return from the west later on Thursday. Some of the rain will be heavy and there will be wintry showers for a time in the northwest before the milder air returns. Thereafter the latest indications are that it will be changeable and often unsettled with spells of wet, windy weather interspersed with cooler, showery interludes. Northwestern areas are likely to have the heaviest rain, with a risk of hail and thunder, along with snow on hills, while the southeast will have the best of any drier, brighter intervals. Occasional overnight frosts are likely.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Lakigigar]

no cold. Well yeah.

 

Bye winter 2016 

Edited January 22, 2016 by Lakigigar

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 7 Feb 2016 to Sunday 21 Feb 2016:

Remaining changeable, with unsettled with milder spells interspersed with colder, showery interludes. The most unsettled weather is likely to occur in the north and northwest while the south and southeast should see somewhat drier conditions overall, though even here, some rain is likely. Often windy, especially at first, with a continued risk of gales at times, especially in the north and northwest. However, further southeast the wind will be lighter at times and this may allow frost and fog to form here on some nights. From mid month, there are signals that pressure may build in the mid Atlantic, bringing a more northerly flow to the UK, thus increasing the likelihood of colder conditions developing.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Thursday 28 Jan 2016 to Saturday 6 Feb 2016:

A colder, showery interlude looks likely to affect the UK on Thursday, bringing the risk of some snow for northern areas, especially, but not exclusively to high ground. Milder air, along with further bands of rain or showers is set to return on Friday. Thereafter, and running through into the first week of February, a broadly westerly flow originating from the Atlantic looks set to dominate our weather. This means changeable and at times unsettled conditions across all parts, with perhaps the wettest and windiest weather focussed towards the north and west, where gales are possible at times. Generally, temperatures are likely to be near or above average, though brief overnight frost and fog is still possible, especially in quieter interludes overnight.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Lakigigar]

Good news

[damianslaw]

First time Met Office have mentioned colder conditions possible thanks to a northerly airstream - they do have access to charts/models we don't and it rings with many of the long range forecasts for the winter i.e. cold most likely towards latter part, it chimes with other predictions- see strat thread. Indeed its a major positive for anyone hoping for something cold to surface before winter is out. The Met Office quite rightly is very reserved, and will only mention conditions deviating from the seasonal norm if they see strong signals..

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Friday 29 Jan 2016 to Sunday 7 Feb 2016:

After a fine start in the east on Friday, conditions will deteriorate from the northwest, with rain affecting the bulk of the UK by the end of the day, and perhaps becoming slow-moving across central areas on Saturday. Also becoming very windy, with gales or severe gales possible almost anywhere. This looks to set the scene for a period of changeable and often unsettled weather, dominated by depressions running in from the Atlantic, bringing further bands of rain interspersed by cooler, showery conditions. Most areas will often be windy, with a continued risk of gales, especially, but not exclusively in the north. Generally, temperatures are likely to be near or above average, though brief overnight frost and fog is still possible in any quieter interludes overnight.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Monday 8 Feb 2016 to Monday 22 Feb 2016:

Remaining changeable, with unsettled, milder spells interspersed with colder, showery interludes. The most unsettled and at times windy weather is likely to occur in the north and northwest while the south and southeast should see somewhat drier conditions overall, though even here, some rain and strong winds are likely. Despite relatively mild conditions dominating, especially at first, in any quieter spells, some overnight frost and fog is quite probable. Towards the end of this period, there are signals that pressure may build in the mid Atlantic, bringing a more northerly flow to the UK, thus increasing the likelihood of colder conditions developing.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 30 Jan 2016 to Monday 8 Feb 2016:

On Saturday 30th there is likely to be an area of rain for a time across southern areas with brighter, colder, showery weather following across northern and central parts. These showers will be wintry at times, especially across Scotland. Then the latest indications are that another frontal system will arrive from the west at some point during Sunday, bringing further rain and a return to milder conditions. Thereafter it looks likely to remain changeable and often unsettled with various depressions running in from the Atlantic, bringing further bands of rain interspersed by colder, showery conditions. Most areas will often be windy and gales are likely at times. Overall the temperature should be near or above average, though brief overnight frost and fog is still possible between frontal systems.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 10 Feb 2016 to Wednesday 24 Feb 2016:

The start of the period looks likely to remain changeable with unsettled, milder spells interspersed with colder, showery interludes. The windiest and most unsettled weather is likely to occur in the north and northwest while the south and southeast should see somewhat drier conditions overall, though even here some rain and strong winds are likely at times. Despite relatively mild conditions prevailing some overnight frost and fog is quite probable in any quieter intervals. As we move into the second half of February there are signs that pressure may build in the mid Atlantic bringing a more north to northwesterly airflow to the British Isles, thus increasing the risk of colder conditions developing.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 31 Jan 2016 to Tuesday 9 Feb 2016:

A cold and showery start is expected for most on Sunday, showers falling as snow on hills, and possibly to lower levels at times in the north. A frontal system is then likely to spread northeastwards across the country through the rest of Sunday, bringing rain, strong winds, and a return to milder conditions. Thereafter it looks likely to remain changeable and often unsettled, especially in the northwest, with various depressions running in from the Atlantic, bringing further bands of rain interspersed by colder, showery conditions, with snow at times in the north. It will often be windy with gales at times, most frequently in the north and west. Temperature should be near or slightly above average, though briefly dipping below average with some night frost in any colder periods.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Monday 1 Feb 2016 to Wednesday 10 Feb 2016:

Most parts should start Monday windy and mild with outbreaks of rain. However, colder and showery weather already into the northwest, should transfer gradually southeastwards. These colder conditions are expected to persist into the middle of next week. There will be sunny spells but also occasional showers which could be heavy and thundery at times. Snow is likely over northern hills, and perhaps to lower levels at times. Later in the week it is expected to become milder with temperatures returning to near normal. It will also become wet and windy at times though, with a risk of gales. Changeable weather is expected to continue until the end of the period, with showers or longer spells of rain interspersed by some brief dry and bright interludes.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Friday 12 Feb 2016 to Friday 26 Feb 2016:

The start of the period looks likely to stay changeable, with wet and mild conditions mixed with some colder, showery spells. The north and northwest is expected to see the most unsettled weather, while the south and southeast should be drier, but still with outbreaks of rain possible at times. As we move into late February there is a signal for a northwesterly airflow to develop, resulting in drier, more settled conditions. Temperatures should start the period around normal, dropping to slightly below normal towards the end of February.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Tuesday 2 Feb 2016 to Thursday 11 Feb 2016:

Tuesday and Wednesday are looking windy with sunny spells and showers, these wintry at times, especially in the north. Thursday onwards, the unsettled picture should continue, with showers or longer spells of rain, especially in the north and west. There may be some snow over northern hills and occasionally down to lower levels. Windy weather is also expected, with severe gales possible in the west. The changeable weather is likely to remain through next weekend, with unsettled, milder spells mixed with colder and sometimes showery interludes. Temperatures start off cold across most parts, but maybe becoming gradually milder, reaching normal or near normal by the end of the period. However there is the chance of some cold, frosty nights in any drier interludes.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 13 Feb 2016 to Saturday 27 Feb 2016:

Mid February looks like it may see a change from unsettled, often windy and wet weather interspersed with brief drier colder interludes, to generally colder, drier weather. This looks like it may manifest in change from a west or southwest airflow to a northerly or northwesterly airflow, which will bring some sunny days and cold, clear frosty mornings. Occasional showers will also be possible at times, mostly in the north, and they may fall as snow to low levels. Occasional cloudy, wet and windy interludes will still be possible however. Temperatures should start the period around normal, dropping to slightly below normal towards the end of February.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 Feb 2016 to Friday 12 Feb 2016:

The start of this period is looking windy with sunny spells and showers, these wintry at times, especially in the north. In the lead up to the weekend, however, further rain and cloud will arrive from the west, perhaps with some snow for northern hills. Thereafter the unsettled picture should continue, with showers or longer spells of rain, especially in the north and west. There may be some further snow over northern hills and occasionally down to lower levels. Windy weather is also expected, with severe gales possible in the north and west. Temperatures start off cold across most parts, but maybe becoming gradually milder, reaching normal or near normal by the end of the period. However there is the chance of some cold, frosty nights in any drier interludes.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Sunday 14 Feb 2016 to Sunday 28 Feb 2016:

There is an increasing likelihood that mid-February will turn colder and more settled for a time, which will bring some bright and crisp days with cold and frosty nights. A northerly breeze may bring a few wintry showers around exposed coasts. This quieter spell may be relatively shorted-lived, however, with a return to unsettled conditions later in the month with wet and windy conditions likely, primarily over western and northern areas. Temperatures generally near average, but on the cold side at first, and perhaps mild at times later.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Thursday 4 Feb 2016 to Saturday 13 Feb 2016:

Cold at first on Thursday, especially in the east, but a return to milder, wet and windy conditions is expected through the day. Western areas should see the heaviest and most persistent rain, with gales or severe gales in exposure. Turning colder again through Friday, with blustery showers, wintry in the north. Thereafter the changeable and often unsettled picture will continue. Atlantic weather systems will bring periods of milder, wet and windy weather, but in-between these there will be colder but brighter interludes with showers, falling as snow in places. Temperatures generally averaging near normal, but with milder periods interspersed with much colder spells. There is the chance of more widespread cold conditions developing towards mid-February.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Monday 15 Feb 2016 to Monday 29 Feb 2016:

There is an increasing likelihood that mid-February will turn colder and more settled for a time, which will bring some bright and crisp days with cold and frosty nights. A northerly breeze may bring a few wintry showers onto exposed coasts. This quieter spell is likely to be relatively shorted-lived, however, with a return to unsettled conditions later in the month bringing wet and windy conditions, primarily over western and northern areas. Temperatures near average overall, but on the cold side at first, and perhaps mild at times later.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Friday 5 Feb 2016 to Sunday 14 Feb 2016:

Very windy throughout Friday, and mild initially, with rain moving southeastwards through the day. Colder conditions follow into the northwest with blustery showers, falling as snow over higher ground and perhaps to lower levels at times. Generally colder on Saturday, with showery conditions persisting in the north and northwest, but milder, wet and windy weather will probably return from the southwest later. Thereafter the changeable and often unsettled picture will continue. Atlantic weather systems will bring periods of milder, wet and windy weather, but in-between these there will be colder and brighter interludes with showers, falling as snow in places. Temperatures generally averaging near normal, but with milder periods interspersed with much colder spells. There is the chance of more widespread cold but settled conditions developing towards mid-February.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[Summer Sun]

UK Outlook for Saturday 6 Feb 2016 to Monday 15 Feb 2016:

It will feel colder on Saturday, with showery conditions persisting in the north and northwest, but milder, wet and windy weather returning from the southwest later. There is a risk that we could see some snow later on Saturday and Sunday, most likely across northern areas of England and Scotland. Windy too with gales or severe gales for southwestern areas of the UK. Thereafter the changeable and often unsettled picture will continue. Atlantic weather systems will bring periods of milder, wet and windy weather, but in-between these there will be colder and brighter interludes with showers, falling as snow in places. Temperatures near normal overall with milder periods interspersed with much colder spells. There is the chance of more widespread cold but settled conditions developing towards mid-February.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast