Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

[MR EXTREMES]

2 blank days for now, but another Sunspot is trying to form.

http://www.solarcycle24.com/index2.htm

flux also gone up by 2 since yesterday morning,

something ive also noticed is flux has not dropped below 70 since the september spot activity,

there has been little bit of activity but still way below,

i think we could see the sun not much more active than it has been this year,

throught out next year aswell so maybe more activty than september but still way way below.

[SteveB]

flux also gone up by 2 since yesterday morning,

something ive also noticed is flux has not dropped below 70 since the September spot activity,

there has been little bit of activity but still way below,

i think we could see the sun not much more active than it has been this year,

throught out next year aswell so maybe more activity than September but still way way below.

There is bound to be activity, even in the Maunder & Dalton minimums there was activity.

A group of new sunspots has formed and given a number 1029

http://solarcycle24.com/

It is a pronounced group which may grow.

Edited October 23, 2009 by SteveB

[OldGreggsTundraBoy]

"Don't be fooled by the sunspot maximum years - a good CME (coronal mass ejection) can happen any time. SOHO data usually gives a day or so adavanced warning before it interacts with the Earth's magnetosphere.

I'm reasonably place at my location and have witnessed several good shows. This one was in January and developed into an even better show later on but I'd already maxed the camera memory. Believe me, that red 'flame' was intense. I now have a better camera and a fast lens so I'm just waiting for the long dark winter nights."

Not any more- ive been hoping for auroras for 2 years and i haven't seen anything because solar min is extremely low as i got interested.

[OldGreggsTundraBoy]

ive been hoping for auroras/ storm for 2 years and i haven't seen anything because solar min is extremely low just as i got interested, things arent really up at the moment, but there have been many tiny spots trying to form.

Despite nasa's predictions of 90 SSN (revised down from 140+) im increasingly thinking thing mightbarelytakeof at all, i'd be impressed if we got a monthly SSN of just 10 this year.

[Crepuscular Ray]

The sunspot group appears to be trying to grow, although it's still pretty weak. Typically, SOHO is about to go into manoeuvres that may limit the number of images available.

Does anyone have alternative websites that give daily updates/images of sunspots?

[Mondy]

Sunspot number: 30

[MR EXTREMES]

Sunspot number: 30

yep highest its been for awhile looks like the sun is ramping up now.

could this be the end of the spotless sun?

i bet a bottom dollar if it is we will hear from nasa.

Edited October 24, 2009 by badboy657

[SteveB]

Still a tiny spot though, and apparently not big enough to create a flare... yet.

[OldGreggsTundraBoy]

Whay nice big 9x spot growing and about 5 active regions been around for a good week, soloar flux up and activities growing, maybe the minimums over?????

[MR EXTREMES]

Whay nice big 9x spot growing and about 5 active regions been around for a good week, soloar flux up and activities growing, maybe the minimums over?????

time to put them woolies away again dont look like the dalton but maybe still below the last cycle maybe just a blip along with last winter.

but yes i do agree i think the minimum is now coming to an end.

its also the biggest spot yet.

Edited October 24, 2009 by badboy657

[Mondy]

SFI=76, sunspot is growing, C-flares so far occured

[mettalfabrik]

hi all

have,nt posted for ages this sunspot looks like it may be a goody ,does any one know the effect of increased solar activity on hf radio propagation as shanwick radio seems to have alot of background noise but more so on certain freqs but yesterday was very good rx wise

solar flux seems to be peping up in last few months which i am told is a good indicator

bryan

Edited October 25, 2009 by blackdown

[BARRY]

time to put them woolies away again dont look like the dalton but maybe still below the last cycle maybe just a blip along with last winter.

but yes i do agree i think the minimum is now coming to an end.

its also the biggest spot yet.

Don't get to excited yet.

[Crepuscular Ray]

It does seem to be increasing in complexity, and is apparently letting off B and C class solar flares. Does anyone have a link to the article somewhere that a couple of scientists wrote about a magnetic stream under the Sun's surface that has a major effect on the emergence of spots once it reaches 22 degrees latitude? I can't find it.

[Mondy]

Try asking at SC24 forum

[Crepuscular Ray]

Try asking at SC24 forum

Is there one on here? Otherwise, could you post a link? Pretty please.

[Mondy]

http://solarcycle24com.proboards.com/index.cgi?

[OldGreggsTundraBoy]

with B class background activity increasing again, the chance of C class flares is possible, M class is still very unlikely.

Prove us wrong ma SUN!

Id be surprised if things grew much more, so far sunspots have not grown for more than a couple of days before fading.

I hope we leave the minimum now because i became interested in this stuff 2 years ago, and as im sure u all know the last 2 years have been the absolute Pits.

i want to see THIS happen people

http://www.nasa.gov/topics/solarsystem/features/halloween_storms.html

for You cold and MAUNDER lovers, you are still probably in luck, theres BOUND to be sunspots>> hell I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad we should have an average SSN of about 70 by now if things had goneas nasa planned.

sorry to quote myself but "hell I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad" << i dont remember typing that at all :[

must have been a typo my keyboards ******* ****

[OldGreggsTundraBoy]

i have been monitoring today quite closely because for once i think we have proper activity (first time in 2 years)

As of about 5pm today solar flux has soared to 81

this is an unmistakable record breaker for solar cycle 24. There has also been another C class flare [nothing big yet tho]

Edited October 26, 2009 by OldGreggsTundraBoy

[Mondy]

SFI = 81

[mettalfabrik]

evening all

SIDC PREDICTIONS for the solar flux

GEOALERT BRU300

UGEOA 30512 91027 1236/ 9930/

10272 20272 30272

99999

PLAIN

NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 27 Oct 2009 until 29 Oct 2009

PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Oct 2009 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 002

PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Oct 2009 10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 002

PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Oct 2009 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 001

COMMENT: Solar and geomagnetic conditions are expected to stay quiet

during the next 24h. NOAA AR 1029 is still producing B- and C-flares.

bryan

[shuggee]

Not had one of these emails for what seems like an eternity:

AuroraWatch alert, 11:07 UT 28 Oct 2009:

VERY LARGE increase in local activity, possible SSC.

http://www.dcs.lancs...no/aurorawatch/

A more active sun at last - hooray!

[MR EXTREMES]

Not had one of these emails for what seems like an eternity:

A more active sun at last - hooray!

is the cycle still low?

[OldGreggsTundraBoy]

i just got a red email alert, anyone know if anythings going to happen or was it just a mistake, theres a big red bar and "possible sudden storm commencement"

this is the first time ever, i subscribed about a year ago.

im currently assuming its a technical error, due to there being no CME's or corronal holes or anything.

is the cycle still low?

Still low but not very low like it has been.

[Mondy]

The solar flux reached 82.3 on Tuesday, which is slightly higher than Monday and a new record for Cycle 24. This is the highest Flux reading since March 2008 when Cycle 23 sunspots were present on the sun.

From SC24.com