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Posted
  • Location: Bethnal Green
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold
  • Location: Bethnal Green

    Another day bites the dust:

    http://www.spaceweather.com/

    8 spotless days in a row - another 6 weeks and we'll be up to 50 again!!

    We are sitting at 201 spotless days for the year (79%) and only need to have 66 more spotless days in the remainder of the year to beat last year, that's only 59%. Barring a sudden upturn in activity I reckon that 2009 has a chance to get into second place which is currently held by 1901 with 287 spotless days. To get to 288 requires us to maintain the 79% we currently sit at.

    I'd agree with you there, I think that's a good shout. Possibly even 300 days although I would be surprised if the rest of the year turns out like the last two months.
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    Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

    From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

    More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Coalpit Heath, South Gloucestershire

    http://users.telenet.be/j.janssens/Spotless/Spotless.html#Period

    This particular reference has now been updated. I see that SC 24 has 9 entries in the spotlessness stakes.

    2 periods for 2007

    4 periods for 2008

    3 periods for 2009 (so far)

    To be updated in January 2010.

    It's a shame that our recent streak of 50ish only reached about position 16 in this chart. I suppose it depends on who is doing the observations and numberings. :yahoo:

    ---------------------------------------------------

    On re-looking, how can it be that we only had 32 spotless days according to this particular record? Seems mighty odd to me. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/blink.gif

    We wuz robbed, innit?

    Edited by noggin
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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    http://users.telenet...ess.html#Period

    This particular reference has now been updated. I see that SC 24 has 9 entries in the spotlessness stakes.

    2 periods for 2007

    4 periods for 2008

    3 periods for 2009 (so far)

    To be updated in January 2010.

    It's a shame that our recent streak of 50ish only reached about position 16 in this chart. I suppose it depends on who is doing the observations and numberings. Posted Image

    ---------------------------------------------------

    On re-looking, how can it be that we only had 32 spotless days according to this particular record? Seems mighty odd to me. Posted Image

    We wuz robbed, innit?

    I think most people who observe the sun recognize that that count is a little picky when it comes to counting sunspots.

    Are they a spot or a speck???.

    It comes back to my question I asked earlier in the thread, why not have two counts, a modern version & the original version. Then we can compare and contrast counts.

    We have moved onto 9 spotless days by the way.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    http://users.telenet...ess.html#Period

    This particular reference has now been updated. I see that SC 24 has 9 entries in the spotlessness stakes.

    2 periods for 2007

    4 periods for 2008

    3 periods for 2009 (so far)

    To be updated in January 2010.

    It's a shame that our recent streak of 50ish only reached about position 16 in this chart. I suppose it depends on who is doing the observations and numberings. :drinks:

    ---------------------------------------------------

    On re-looking, how can it be that we only had 32 spotless days according to this particular record? Seems mighty odd to me. :yahoo:

    We wuz robbed, innit?

    if you ask me i think its a joke it was even counted but where still deep in a minimum.:drunk:

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    Posted
  • Location: Bethnal Green
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold
  • Location: Bethnal Green

    In the long run these spotless day streaks will be irrelevant. What is important is that we are still in a very deep minimum, with no sign of that changing any time soon.

    Total spotless days for the minimum and length of the minimum will be better for comparing against past cycles as these will not be affected as much by the counting of sunspecks.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    We have moved into double figures today... 10 spotless days and counting.

    http://www.solarcycle24.com/index2.htm

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    spotless day count has moved onto 11 days

    http://www.solarcycle24.com/index2.htm

    Robert Bateman posts on the SC24 forum. This is his website depicting deep solar minimum: http://www.robertb.d...eepSolarMin.htm

    A good read.

    That is a good read Mondy.

    I find a lot of stuff on the Solarcycle24 forum interesting, and admittedly a lot of stuff goes way over my head.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    what is intresting also is the longest run of sunspots this year so far is 7days.

    but there is activity happening on the farside of the sun so its only a matter of time before we will see some acivity on the earthside of the sun.

    but overall im getting rather excited and have my fingers crossed to see how long this minimum will continues for this could be very deep minimum that could last decades.

    not likely to last decades but then no one really knows for cert but plenty of people now supporting the idear of a continuation of the minimum with lots of different idears on what type of minimum.:(

    so what type of minimum do others think will happen?

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    We have moved onto 12 spotless days.

    There seems to be a lot of activity on the stereo behind image. We will have to wait until that side of the sun faces Earth side to see if it is indeed sunspot activity.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    We have moved onto 12 spotless days.

    There seems to be a lot of activity on the stereo behind image. We will have to wait until that side of the sun faces Earth side to see if it is indeed sunspot activity.

    notice the 80% has been reached for spotless days this year amazing stuff indeed theres activity but no sunspots that amazing,

    aswell and Auroras are really kicking off already the longer this continues the more intresting it becomes.

    although its only a matter of time before activity kicks off and i dont wanna put a jinx on it but i think it may well be much higher and more prolonged next activity outbreak but i hope im wrong.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) have issued a prediction that the next Solar maximum will be May 2013 with a predicted sunspot count of just 90. Posted Imagehttp://www.swpc.noaa...kly/Predict.txt

    Well if that turns out to be correct, then we are certainly looking at a deep deep minima

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) have issued a prediction that the next Solar maximum will be May 2013 with a predicted sunspot count of just 90. Posted Imagehttp://www.swpc.noaa...kly/Predict.txt

    i thought 90 was medium level of activity.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    i thought 90 was medium level of activity.

    I don't think 90 is the amount of sunspots for a year, but over the coarse of a full cycle. Which means about 8 per year.

    Is that right Mondy????

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    For a comparison only, check the sunspot count for one single day in July 2001 (solar max was around then)

    http://www.spaceweat...th=06&year=2001

    yeah i see wow that is some prediction im even more excited now cheers for pointing that out.

    so indeed deep minimum.:D

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    Posted
  • Location: Larbert
  • Location: Larbert

    There looks to be a spot emerging on the Stereo Behind images:

    Posted Image

    Same region (or area) as the last spot counted - looks intact - see if it's given a number this time if it stays in shape)

    Edited by Mondy
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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    i should of kept my mouth shut perhapes now ive started a higher than predicted solar ctivity hope not lol.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    i should of kept my mouth shut perhapes now ive started a higher than predicted solar ctivity hope not lol.

    It should take 10ish days for that area of activity on the stereo behind image to face Earth, by that time the activity may have gone

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    Another day bites he dust

    13 Spotless days and counting.

    http://www.solarcycle24.com/index2.htm.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    There is talk of activity on the non visable side of the sun. When it comes into view in couple of days time, we might be staring at sunspotsPosted Image .

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    Posted
  • Location: frogmore south devon
  • Location: frogmore south devon

    There is talk of activity on the non visable side of the sun. When it comes into view in couple of days time, we might be staring at sunspotsPosted Image .

    space weather say that the other side of is sunspot free

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