Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Solar and Aurora Activity Chat


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    1 minute ago, karyo said:

    This sunspot is going to waste several days! 😞

    '[W]aste several days' of what, exactly?:unsure2::oldgrin:

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 7.9k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

    From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

    More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester
    50 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

    '[W]aste several days' of what, exactly?:unsure2::oldgrin:

    Any sunspot day is a wasted day as we can't add days to the spotless count.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 70.4

    Adjusted Flux Density 72.6 = low

    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 71.4

    Adjusted Flux Density 73.6 = low

     

    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    It's not overly a problem, we only need the second half of the year to average around 66% spotless to jump into the top 10 spotless years again with their beautifully cold statistical bias during winter. 

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
  • Location: Ludgershall, Wiltshire
    10 hours ago, Weather-history said:

    3AtZfvs.jpg

    Squeeze the little blighter!

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 71.4

    Adjusted Flux Density 73.7 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 71.8

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.1 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 72.6

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.9= low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 72.0

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.2 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 72.3

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.4 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 72.0

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.1= low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 72.7

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.9 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Horrid although all producing fairly weak stuff so I think this is just a twin spot and hopefully the southern one goes.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 72.7

    Adjusted Flux Density 74.8= low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
    23 hours ago, karyo said:

    We have a third sunspot emerging! ☹️

    Yes 3 spot groups now, all higher latitude = Cycle 25.

    There is now little doubt that solar minimum has passed, and in time will be formally recognised as having been in December 2019. Need a few more months data to be 100% sure, but I would be extremely surprised now if this was not the case.

    Early cycle progress will almost certainly be slow - the likely size of the cycle will probably be about the same (or maybe slightly larger) then the last one.

    We will still have some very quiet periods this year and into next, and the spotless days count will continue to rise, albeit probably not as quickly as in the last 2 years or so.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 73.0

    Adjusted Flux Density 75.1= low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth

    I should add to my last post that assuming we are past the minimum now, average solar activity will very likely continue at little above rock bottom for the next few months - for example, I think it will be into 2021 before we see daily solar flux levels climbing above the 70s for more than the odd day at a time.

    • Thanks 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 73.4

    Adjusted Flux Density 75.6 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
    5 hours ago, Uncle_Barty said:

    I should add to my last post that assuming we are past the minimum now, average solar activity will very likely continue at little above rock bottom for the next few months - for example, I think it will be into 2021 before we see daily solar flux levels climbing above the 70s for more than the odd day at a time.

    Aye, consistent slight uptick, still low but not overly so

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 73.1

    Adjusted Flux Density 75.1 = low

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Observed Flux Density 74.0

    Adjusted Flux Density 76.0 = low

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    If we can get rid of this sunspot (mid strength - C class flares right now) then it looks we should go quiet on the north side of the sun. There's a chance we may get one on the south side though. 

    spacer.png

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...