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Sunspot Number: 0

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 3 days
2019 total: 280 days (77%)

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 72 sfu

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4 days blank, 281 for 2019, 77%

Solar flux 72

Thermosphere: 2.65

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So we end the year with 281 sunspotless days 77%. Anyone who guessed that figure I salute you.

Anyone want to put a punt on 2020?

Happy new year everyone.

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3 hours ago, Minus 10 said:

So we end the year with 281 sunspotless days 77%. Anyone who guessed that figure I salute you.

Anyone want to put a punt on 2020?

Happy new year everyone.

Tomorrow's is our final figure.

We have hit third place.

2020 will probably rank somewhere between 3rd (this year) and 15th (2018).

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8 hours ago, Minus 10 said:

So we end the year with 281 sunspotless days 77%. Anyone who guessed that figure I salute you.

Anyone want to put a punt on 2020?

Happy new year everyone.

I hope it's above 200, would be happy with 250!

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On 29 December 2019 at 05:48, CreweCold said:

This winter has been killed by the Pacific, nothing more and nothing less. 

The LAST thing you want to see in winter is a warm N Pacific allied to a near neutral ENSO

Aren't we missing an elephant in the room? What about the Indian Ocean dipole? 

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12 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Aren't we missing an elephant in the room? What about the Indian Ocean dipole? 

I think we need several things to shift for next year!

 

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Adjusted Flux 68.6

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Solarham has not counted the small sunspot 7  and they have the sunspot number as 0

Solar-Terrestrial Data 01 January 2020 1346

Sunspot Number: 0

Solar Flare Index: 72

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On 02/01/2019 at 17:33, drgl said:

If only today's spot had arrived a little earlier!! Not a bad guess 😄

 

I wonder what 2019 will bring?? I'm going for 260-280 spotless days....

For 2020 I'm going for 295. Good luck and happy new year everyone. 🙂

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40 minutes ago, drgl said:

For 2020 I'm going for 295. Good luck and happy new year everyone. 🙂

I doubt 2020 will be quieter than 2019. Already we have seen several cycle 25 spots.

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1 hour ago, drgl said:

For 2020 I'm going for 295. Good luck and happy new year everyone. 🙂

I believe the first 6 months will be very quiet with spotless days between 85 and 90% before we start to see an uptick in activity in the second half.  A count between 285 and 290 is my guess

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16 minutes ago, jonboy said:

I believe the first 6 months will be very quiet with spotless days between 85 and 90% before we start to see an uptick in activity in the second half.  A count between 285 and 290 is my guess

I think you might have stumbled upon a possible new NW competition, jonboy? I'll go for 278!:oldgood:

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The cycle peaking in 1913 is the only one which saw the third top 25 year go higher than the second although 2009 almost managed it. Odds strongly suggest a spot between 2018 and 2019 (210-280) although the last two quarters averaged in excess of 90%.

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Oh dear, another cycle 25 sunspot has emerged.

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16 minutes ago, karyo said:

Oh dear, another cycle 25 sunspot has emerged.

Is that as well as the earlier sunspot 7?

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9 hours ago, Don said:

Is that as well as the earlier sunspot 7?

No, the same one. I just saw it when spaceweather updated. I think the new cycle is starting to pick up as we had 2 other sunspots last week.

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Spaceweather.com has not updated from yesterday and counted yesterday's sunspot to be 11 higher than SILSO which only recorded it as 7.

Solarham.com has the number 2755 shown on the image of the solar disk but has not recorded it  as it still has today's sunspot count as zero.

Solar-Terrestrial Data 02 January 2020 1320

Sunspot Number: 0

Solar Flare Index: 72

It is all very confusing.

 

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I will be unable to make a guess of what the sunspot count will be, until approximately June or July.  Before then I will have no idea.

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