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Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester
    1 hour ago, SteveB said:

    31 days blank, 268 for 2019, 77%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 3.19

    Well we have equalled 2008, with 16 days still to go. Amazing that we ha done it style, with a 30+ day blank stretch too.

    Indeed! Also impressive to have such a low solar flux in December.

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    Just a few pics from early this morning at West Sands, St. Andrews  First one was 100iso eq @ f1.8 and 10 sec exposure, strong moonlight about midnight with the faintest of hint of an aurora.

    More shots here from Scotland last night. Fingers crossed again tonight as there is another predicted Kp7 ☺

    From Salon on the Isle Of Rum & The Isle Of Lewis tonight. Credit; Martin Keivers and Emma Mitchell.  

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Galway
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost hail, ice.
  • Location: Galway
    1 hour ago, SteveB said:

    31 days blank, 268 for 2019, 77%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 3.19

    Well we have equalled 2008, with 16 days still to go. Amazing that we ha done it style, with a 30+ day blank stretch too.

    sorry to correct you steve, but we have actually 17 days to go.

    we seem to be steam boating ahead with sunspotless count, maybe solar cycle 25 we could reach over 300m if not cycle 26 will definitely do it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
    1 hour ago, SteveB said:

    31 days blank, 268 for 2019, 77%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 3.19

    Well we have equalled 2008, with 16 days still to go. Amazing that we ha done it style, with a 30+ day blank stretch too.

    We haven’t equalled 2008. The 2008 number is the SIDC count so you need to use the current SIDC count  if you want to compare. The number you are quoting is the Boulder count.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    As far as I'm concerned,  we have equalled 2008, that's the count the we have been using all year.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
    56 minutes ago, Minus 10 said:

    sorry to correct you steve, but we have actually 17 days to go.

    we seem to be steam boating ahead with sunspotless count, maybe solar cycle 25 we could reach over 300m if not cycle 26 will definitely do it.

    Yep, 31 days in December, my bad!

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    Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
    2 hours ago, SteveB said:

    As far as I'm concerned,  we have equalled 2008, that's the count the we have been using all year.

    Yep Spaceweather use the Boulder too....so I agree with you we have equalled and will surpass it
     

    BFTP

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
    8 hours ago, SteveB said:

    31 days blank, 268 for 2019, 77%

    Solar flux 69

    Thermosphere: 3.19

    Well we have equalled 2008, with 16 days still to go. Amazing that we ha done it style, with a 30+ day blank stretch too.

    Adjusted flux 66.9...

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    32 days blank, 269 for 2019, 77%

    Solar flux 70

    Thermosphere: 3.15

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Adjusted Flux 68.8

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    33 days blank, 270 for 2019, 77%

    Solar flux 71

    Thermosphere: 3.17

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Adjusted solar Flux 68.3

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    Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL

    Worth keeping an eye on this table now:
     

    SC25_periods.png

    SIDC.OMA.BE

    Regular solar observers have noticed that since mid-2016, the Sun has occasionally been devoid of sunspots. These spotless disks will gradually become a familiar feature as the solar cycle is heading for...

     

    Currently the second longest streak in over 70 years.

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    Posted
  • Location: just behind Epsom Racecourse and the center of York
  • Location: just behind Epsom Racecourse and the center of York
    3 hours ago, Yarmy said:

    Worth keeping an eye on this table now:
     

    SC25_periods.png

    SIDC.OMA.BE

    Regular solar observers have noticed that since mid-2016, the Sun has occasionally been devoid of sunspots. These spotless disks will gradually become a familiar feature as the solar cycle is heading for...

     

    Currently the second longest streak in over 70 years.

    And we know that our runs have been broken by the fleeting sunspot with the lowest count of 11. You have to wonder if some of the runs noted in the table would have achieved the same number under today's observation methods?

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
    1 hour ago, Crepuscular Ray said:

    Still no record-breaking snowfalls and minimum temperatures, though.

    Have you not seen the news? The worlds on fire mate!

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    Posted
  • Location: Netherlands close to the coast
  • Location: Netherlands close to the coast
    4 hours ago, Crepuscular Ray said:

    Still no record-breaking snowfalls and minimum temperatures, though.

    It's usually not coldest at midnight but right after dawn, there is still a lot of retained heat from many many intense solar cycles

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    Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
    6 hours ago, jonboy said:

    And we know that our runs have been broken by the fleeting sunspot with the lowest count of 11. You have to wonder if some of the runs noted in the table would have achieved the same number under today's observation methods?

    Certainly yes. There’s a much more extensive observer network now, so more likely that those short-lived spots get, er...spotted. That’s why I’m always banging on about using the SSN as a better measure, because that is adjusted to account for those differences.

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    34 days blank, 271 for 2019, 775

    Solar flux 70

    Thermosphere: 3.22

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Did we not hit 36 days earlier this year.

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    Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
    3 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

    Did we not hit 36 days earlier this year.

    Not by the SILSO count (which is the one used in the table above). Boulder might have done though.

    But for a very short-lived spot on the 13th Nov, the current count would be 43 days which would have been the longest streak in over 100 years.

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
    8 hours ago, SteveB said:

    34 days blank, 271 for 2019, 775

    Solar flux 70

    Thermosphere: 3.22

    Adjusted flux 67.4

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    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL

    Not sure if this would be the place to ask this, but given that this seems to be a notable solar minimum, is there any correlation between previous lengthy spotless periods and cold winters? 

    I mean is there data to suggest that there is a connection either synchronous or delayed? I know we have LIA associated with Dalton Min etc, but wondering about a typical time lag if one exists?

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    Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
    4 minutes ago, JeffC said:

    Not sure if this would be the place to ask this, but given that this seems to be a notable solar minimum, is there any correlation between previous lengthy spotless periods and cold winters? 

    I mean is there data to suggest that there is a connection either synchronous or delayed? I know we have LIA associated with Dalton Min etc, but wondering about a typical time lag if one exists?

    I was under the impression it was the winter following the minimum that is usually coldest (or has more chance of being). We saw this with the last solar cycle to an extent. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

    I see this winter as equivalent in the solar cycle to winter 2008/9 which was a cold one in the UK. 

    Looking at things as they stand now, I will be surprised if this winter turns out anywhere near as good.

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    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    I'm already looking forward to next years winter.

    Eqbo and coming out of minimum lolol.

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