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Skullzrulerz

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    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

    in SW and CS England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

    A quick scan across a range doesn't suggest DP at that price. 

    favicon-weathershop.ico Weather Stations UK Models | Weather Shop ® UK

    WWW.WEATHERSHOP.CO.UK
    Huge Range & Low Prices on Weather Stations. Buy with confidence from Weather Shop – the UK’s largest Weather Instrument Specialist.

     

    I was looking on Amazon, still can't find any sadly.

    Is there a general comparison that anyone can make about the northern extent of this snowfall this evening?

    • Like 1

    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

    in SW and CS England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Some snow and ice causing travel disruption in places.

    Issued: 10:15 (UTC) on Tue 13 Dec 2022

    Intermittent, mostly light, snow across southwest England on Tuesday afternoon may become a little heavier and more widespread into Tuesday night, before clearing southwards on Wednesday. Near some coasts sleet is more likely, especially at first, but this brings an ice risk. Strong winds may cause drifting and poor visibility, especially over Dartmoor and Bodmin Moor where the snow is likely to be heavier. Here, 5 to 10 cm snowfall may accumulate above 200 metres. Towards the north and east of the warning area small amounts of snow, mostly no more than 1 cm, seem likely.

    Regions and local authorities affected:

    London & South East England

    Hampshire

    Isle of Wight

    South West England

    Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole

    Cornwall

    Devon

    Dorset

    Plymouth

    Somerset

    Torbay

    Could contain: Chart, Heat Map

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    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

    in SW and CS England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, festivalking said:

    Yes very useful. Try and get one that records dew points as thats the one that tends to scupper snow in the south west.

    Dew points? I'm looking at some between £30 and £50 but I'm not sure if that's included.

    Yellow Warning Snow And Ice just issued 

    Just now, Skullzrulerz said:

    Dew points? I'm looking at some between £30 and £50 but I'm not sure if that's included.

    h_lnxvxlqrdqb2kyrixw3lmmul7n-abrzjuzyvzd

    UK weather warnings

    WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK
    Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings.

     

     

    • Like 3

    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

    in SW and CS England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, festivalking said:

    Interesting really to see how the warmer air interacts with our current cold airmass in terms of inroads or skirting along the channel. Feels like a nowcasting sort of 24 hours coming up.

    It's a shame that this could arrive later into the night, it will just be a tad too warm for snow here at the moment.

     

    I'm hoping to get a weather station in the coming days so hopefully I can get better readings.

     

    Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    So what we're looking for today is somehow getting something good out of a bad situation.

    There have been some minor changes in a few models runs yesterday but it doesn't change the general outlook.

    Generally less cold/milder from this weekend (depending on location)

    Then around or before Christmas a cool down to around average? 

    The jury is still out what happens afterwards...

    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

    in SW and CS England Weather Discussion

    Posted

    13 minutes ago, AWD said:

    Morning UKV similar, if not slightly more expansive;

    Could contain: Land, Nature, Outdoors, Plot, Sea, Map, Rainforest, Shoreline, Atlas, Coast

    One more opportunity for some to see falling snow before the likely return to midler conditions return for the weekend, for our region.

    Too early for IMBY specifics, but current broad brush analysis suggests southern coastal counties are best primed at this stage.  Wouldn't be surprised if the whole lot stayed in the channel though.

    This is probably Cornwall's last chance of getting snowfall in this cold spell.

    Looks promising but don't count on it yet.

    • Like 1

    Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, Mark Smithy said:

    The danger here is cherry picking what we want to see versus the empirical reality of how the main model outputs are trending. There is definitely a signal to mild 6-7 days from now.

    That doesn't mean it's a done deal. Judging by the ensemble spread on the GEFS for instance I'd say it's somewhere between 70:30 and 80:20. Whilst the 0z operational is on the mildest side there are only a couple of members which don't trend mild at the key point:

    Could contain: Plot, Chart, Line Chart

     

    It's definitely the favourite outcome what ever you like or not.

    That's been the case for some time, we can cherry pick all we want but it the models are coming to a general outcome then that's that.

    In the mean there will be plenty of opportunity for snowfall surprises which we have seen in recent days.

    It's not also to mention that maybe the models will backtrack somewhat on the less cold/milder air?

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    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion

    in SW and CS England Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Skullzrulerz

    Had a bit of mixture but it's nice to see looking somewhat like a winter wonderland just on the hilltops near St Austell 🙂

    Could contain: Road, Spoke, Gravel, Alloy Wheel, Car, Wheel, Tire, Tarmac, Coupe, Path

    Was the best photo I was able to take! Sadly besides our little road and such the main road/pathways barely had anything besides rain/icy at points.

    Be careful driving today!

    • Like 13

    Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, LRD said:

    Why is this GFS run taking so long to get out?

    FI is going to be minging (for cold) but there are signs in that run that mild is not inevitable

    It's currently on strike 😂, so I been reading some of the comments on the model discussion, as things look by the end of next week less cold air/milder air will be moving onto the UK?

    But would a Atlantic ridge/high pressure or wedges be able to delay that?

    Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    Never really believed this 'saying', suppose more reliable for parts of Scotland, but not a low level central area

    snow often falls more reliably here, in setups like Storms Arwen and Cristoph, and Jan 5th 1998,

    Eh, I think most of the time the saying is somewhat true, so far luck hasn't been on our side just yet.

    7 minutes ago, DanStormUK said:

    Usually the best sticking snow comes after a good run up of a few weeks of cold. 

    I can't see this cold spell lasting a couple of weeks, I think this cold spell is going to be our best chance of anything widespread in terms of snow.

    Doesn't look like January or February will be as favourable.

    • Like 1
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