feb1991blizzard
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Posts posted by feb1991blizzard
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WOWZERZ.
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Absolute corker coming up here. look at the airmass to our North!
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That would surely be a huge anomaly in SW EIRE in Jan, never mind April!
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Quite, and i still don't think its perfection (its good) for bringing cold to uk, i must admit i've come to the conclusion you need a far and wide split with a ridge from Canada to Scandinavia with poleward flux to override everything and guarantee a belter, although didn't 2013 deliver with a wave 1 initial setup? if anyone's got the geop. height charts from 6th -13th Jan 2013 for 10-30mb, i'd like to see them please.
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Some reversal this - but we could have done with it flatlining for a bit longer.
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Yes, split vortex signature showing up nicely now, a few more runs before the nosediver flatliners show in quantity on the graph.
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Very good split in the 6z.
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In fact tell a lie, that would be something special once every 10 years in Jan in SW England.
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Now that would be special for time of year.
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ECM 12z joins the party.
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Of course pie in the sky but this ens member just proves it is still possible to get ice days and blizzards deep into spring.
And if a clairvoyant were to tell me this was going to happen next winter and asked me to guess between December or March, i would pick March.
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how about this wild fluctuation on eps.
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I think effects will start to show in the modelling once the split is within the reliable, its D10-15 now.
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One things looking sure now, this one is properly going to destroy the vortex, every GFS bar one of the last 5 or 6 (to varying degrees) does this and its ticking down, it starts at D10 now and eps mean showing it as well.
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corker in-bound.
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Respectable GEFS, nothing -10 and blizzards yet but steady as she goes for the opening gambits of spring, setting up something more cold and snowy as we get further into spring.
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Yes, just to add insult it blows into a full blown low at 240, only one result from here, the same one we've had all winter.
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It would have been without that shortwave near Iceland.
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I don't think it will be the outcome but if we could get a proper cold pool it would still deliver snow, i remember snow in may in Kent once in the early 90's, yes it wouldn't deliver as good as Early Dec.
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Upper SPV is gorgeously split now - looking more and more like a showery cold late March / Early April with a biting cold wind.
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GFS strat split backed up by eps which must have a majority cluster showing it.
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April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
11c and 95mm please