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Long range weather forecast

This long range forecast for the UK is updated once a month. Using the latest long range data from the NCEP and then run through custom software here at Netweather it is on the cutting edge of technology for long range weather forecasting. It is important to bear in mind that forecasting at this range is still in its infancy so can effectively be considered experimental.

Spring and into Summer 2016

Updated 22nd April 2016
A brief look at the final month of Spring, then it's into the summer forecast...

May
To start this update, we'll take a quick look at May, but for more detail, including a week-to-week forecast for the upcoming month head over to the monthly forecast

In brief, a mixed may is expected with the only fairly clear signal being for pressure to be higher than average just to the south of the British Isles. High pressure is likely to extend further north at times settling the weather down, but overall most parts are expected to have a wetter than average month, particularly away from southern England. A warmer than average month is also expected, with Scotland and parts of Northern Ireland perhaps closer to normal.

May Air Pressure
May Air Pressure

For a more detailed forecast for the next 4 weeks, please take a look at the monthly forecast.

Summer

June
A drier and warmer than average start to Summer is currently expected for much of the UK and Ireland! The CFS model currently suggests that pressure will be above average across the British Isles, albeit with the strongest positive anomaly out west into the Atlantic. All regions are forecast to be warmer than normal, with just the northwest of Scotland bucking the drier trend to potentially see close to or slightly wetter than normal rainfall.

June Air Pressure
June Air Pressure
June Rainfall June Rainfall
June Temperature
June Temperature

July
Confidence really drops away into July, with no clear signal in terms of the pressure pattern. There is a weak indication that the trend from June of higher than normal air pressure may continue but with the anomaly less strong at this stage. That would lead to a drier than average month for much of England and Wales, but becoming increasingly wetter compared to average further northwest. Like June, temperatures are currently forecast to be warmer than normal.

July Air Pressure
July Air Pressure
July Rainfall July Rainfall
July Temperature
July Temperature

Next long range forecast will be issued mid-May, with the first look at summer as a whole.

Subscribers to Netweather Extra can access daily and weekly detailed long range forecast updates and charts.

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The long range weather forecast displayed on this page is based on data from the Climate Forecast System from the NCEP (USA), run out to 9 months in advance and are updated once a month. The raw data is sent daily to Netweather, our systems then average and further process that data to produce the forecast you see below. The average figures you see on the forecast are not the standard 1971 to 2000 figures you may often see, instead they are rolling averages, currently from the period 1981-2010.

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