Long range weather forecast
This long range forecast for the UK is updated once a month. Using the latest long range data from the NCEP and then run through custom software here at Netweather it is on the cutting edge of technology for long range weather forecasting. It is important to bear in mind that forecasting at this range is still in its infancy so can effectively be considered experimental.
Autumn and Early Winter 2014
Updated October 1st 2014
We've seen a dry, warm start to Autumn with September expected to be the driest since 1910, and also the 4th warmest since 1910 too. Will the remainder of Autumn and start of Winter follow suit?
For a forecast for the next 4 weeks, please take a look at the monthly forecast
The air pressure anomaly currently forecast for November may be a very interesting one to those looking out for colder weather, as it shows northern blocking in place with pressure higher than average to the north of the UK, and lower than average to the south. This forecast model does suggest this will be a fairly weak anomaly, so on the ground a fairly average month is expected with both temperatures and rainfall close to the seasonal norm.
November Air Pressure
That northern blocking is still shown to be in place into December, and that equates to forecast temperatures that are close to or slightly below average across the UK. Rainfall amounts are forecast to be near to average generally with western Scotland, Northern Ireland and a good deal of Ireland currently expected to be slightly drier than average. Please note that confidence at this range is currently very low though.
December Air Pressure
Next Update To This Forecast Late October
Full Winter Forecast Issued During November
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Useful Weather Forecasts For You
The long range weather forecast displayed on this page is based on data from the Climate Forecast System from the NCEP (USA), run out to 9 months in advance and are updated once a month. The raw data is sent daily to Netweather, our systems then average and further process that data to produce the forecast you see below. The average figures you see on the forecast are not the standard 1971 to 2000 figures you may often see, instead they are rolling averages, currently from the period 1980-2008.