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Christmas Forecast 2023

Will there be a White Christmas?

Final update for 2023 - 23th December

And so, here we are - the final update for this year. As I type, I've consumed more mince pies than I should have and I can hear Home Alone in the background on the TV - it's definitely Christmas Eve. I hope you've enjoyed following the Xmas forecast as much as I've enjoyed writing it this year. It's been a kind-of near miss in terms of the snow chances - a week or so back it was at least looking potentially interesting, but that faded, and having just had one of the mildest Christmas Eve's in the last 25 years or so, it's no surprise that the majority will see a green one this year.

Santa Shaker!

Choose your location from the menu to give Santa a shake and find out your chance of a White Christmas.

White christmas forecast

A look at the details tomorrow, again using the UKV model to illustrate, shows a very similar picture to the one we looked at yesterday. That leaves just the North of Scotland in line to see anything in the way of snow, with the higher ground best suited, although later on, there may be a flake or two a bit lower down. Elsewhere there'll be showery rain moving into southern and central England, a reasonable gap into northern England and then showers north of that, mostly affecting Scotland.

UKV animation map for Christmas day

Temperature wise, away from the chillier far north, it's going to be mild. Probably not quite record breakingly so (15.6c is the temperature to beat for that), but still up to 12-13c in the south.

Temperatures on Christmas day

And that's it for this year. Thank you for following along - Santa has been updated with the latest if you want a final shake for 2023. Beyond that, all there is left to add is to say Merry Christmas, and see you in November 2024. Have a great one, whatever you're doing.

Keep track of the latest forecasts across Christmas and the New Year here.

Christmas Day Weather Facts

  • Deepest Snow - 47cm in Perthshire in 1981
  • Last 'proper' White Xmas - 2010 was the last widespread White Christmas with over 80% of the weather stations reporting lying snow on the day.
  • Coldest - -18.3 in Gainford, Durham in 1878
  • Warmest - 15.6c in Devon in 1920
  • Wettest - 165.8mm in Shap, Cumbria in 2015

Next Update: November 2024


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