Snow Watch Thread For Midlands & C Southern England

[Stoxs]

Says a quick hi to Stoxs

If you had shouted a bit louder you wouldn`t have needed to post LMAO

hope you are well , nice weather!!

[laheymichele]

Might need to change that 'snowless Hampshire' bit after the last few days. Got to admit I wasnt expecting anymore than rain for tonight but have a nice little covering again now, only trouble is the roads are suffering, think tomorrow moring could be another interesting one for the journey in

hi everybody!!! is there still any chance for the north midlands?(stoke on trent) because the gfs have it over my area at 6:00am till around 12:00pm and the meto have a warning but no flash warnings on their site!!!so confused now and after all have got my hopes up xx

[jy]

YES will have to change my location title now mind you 18 years is long enough of the old one

[A.J]

Ok.....I 've had a good look at the Gfs18z, and thought, 'what the hell...time for my first ever public forecast'

My take on the snow event is as follows:

An area of rain/sleet currently developing over the South Western parts of the country will push north, turning to snow as it does so....Areas affected in the overnight period will include mid-wales, Gloucestershire, Worcestshire, Shropshire, Staffs and part of Cheshire...For areas south and east of a line say from Cardiff and Nottingham , conditions look marginal for snow and the further south one goes, rain is the more likely....Conversley, a frontal occlusion currently over Scotland will make steady overnight progress SSEwards, the area where these frontal boundaries meet is where the potential for significant snowfall is greatest....Tomorrow.....The area for marginal precip will push slightly further north & west....Areas south and east of a line through worcestershire to East Staffs will probably see a transition from snow to a sleety mix during the daytime/evening hours on Thursday into friday daytime....Friday evening, the whole area of precip starts to slip South Eastwards with cold air undercutting the back edge of the retreating front causing any precip to turn to all snow during the evening period....The areas, in my eyes, likely to be affected the most by snow, naturally, will be areas to the north and west of these 'transition zones' My guess being mid/north Wales, Cheshire, Staffordshire, Shropshire and North Worcestershire....

Phew, my fingers are ready to drop off! .....and there you have it, my first ever forecast.....Feedback would be appreciated!

Cheers

AJ

A quick edit....A lot of members seem concerned about the current rain down south to be missing us...I'm pretty much sure that this is not the precip area to be worried....The snow event for the West Midlands area has not developed yet, and will not develope until the occlusion from the north,and the warm front down south meet

Edited February 4, 2009 by ajpoolshark

[wallopweather]

If you had shouted a bit louder you wouldn`t have needed to post LMAO

hope you are well , nice weather!!

LOL, True. Loving it! best I've seen round here in years and it's snowing even heavier now. Only hope it's still there in the morning!

[toonarmy32]

well good luck to you all in the east hope you enjoy your snow have fun

cher

x

[andy_leics22]

For those in the West Midlands that are worried that they won't see snow.. Trust me it's on it's way and it's heavy. West Midlands looks set for some heavy snowfall in the next 2-3 hours, maybe blizzard like conditions.

Lets not jump the gun guys and assume things, the PPN is right on track for the West Midlands and Central Midlands and it looks moderate to heavy.

[conor123]

Oh great..how typical.

We get forecast heavy snow and what happens, it goes east straight into areas rich had the 20cm on Monday

Not pleased.

[MKN]

For those in the West Midlands that are worried that they won't see snow.. Trust me it's on it's way and it's heavy. West Midlands looks set for some heavy snowfall in the next 2-3 hours, maybe blizzard like conditions.

Lets not jump the gun guys and assume things, the PPN is right on track for the West Midlands and Central Midlands and it looks moderate to heavy.

you not expect it to die down a touch to mainly greens and yellows on the traditional scale by the time it reaches central regions? the weather on the 10oclock news seem to suggest it would for most apart from further west

[snowhope]

Hope your right Andy,

Down here we have missed out so far this week. Everything Crossed in south worcestershire, gonna be a long, late night!

Anyone have a direct link to the 10pm weather update btw, cannot find it on BBC, still showing the earlier one from today

THanks

Edited February 4, 2009 by snowhope

[MKN]

its closing in, snow/sleet line bit to close for comfort though if its true

[Cornflake Girl]

Hope your right Andy,

Down here we have missed out so far this week. Everything Crossed in south worcestershire, gonna be a long, late night!

Crossing them with you!

[tom_f123]

Expect it to start moving in that direction soon...

Still looks fine for west mids and east mids

[ISAAC]

mark my word, just watch the western flank of thhat band extend and intensify... it always happens doesnt it andy?

[andy_leics22]

well good luck to you all in the east hope you enjoy your snow have fun

cher

x

cher you sound like you are a bit disapointed that we are going to get more in the East of the Midlands... We aren't... The heaviest is still on a B-Line for Birmingham and surrounding areas. There is moderate to heavy stuff on course for the Central and Eastern Midlands aswell but Birmingham looks in line for some heavy snow in the next few hours, heres the latest radar picture and I have drawn an arrow to show where the PPN is heading...

[Stoxs]

its closing in, snow/sleet line bit to close for comfort though if its true

the sleet line is atleast 50 miles further south than that chart shows at the present time!

Still snow here at the moment

good luck

[MidlandsSean]

I believe it will snow quite heavily for us in the west midlands.

I'm just dissapointed that it will become sleet in the late morning/afternoon (or whatever time it is) I guess it would be unusual for a perfect event haha

[wallopweather]

Got to agree with Stoxs, sleet line is too far North for some on that image, heavy snow here, now 2cm covering from this fall so far.

Edited February 4, 2009 by wallopweather

[A.J]

Have posted an experimental forecast, but its already been lost under the amount of recent posts...If anyone wants a look,click Here

[toonarmy32]

cher you sound like you are a bit disapointed that we are going to get more in the East of the Midlands... We aren't... The heaviest is still on a B-Line for Birmingham and surrounding areas. There is moderate to heavy stuff on course for the Central and Eastern Midlands aswell but Birmingham looks in line for some heavy snow in the next few hours, heres the latest radar picture and I have drawn an arrow to show where the PPN is heading...

Andy to tell you the truth i was a little dissapointed but Im not that sort of person to begrudge anyone anything when i said enjoy your snow I meant it whole heartly honest in the weather some you win some you lose and who ever gets it i wish them all the luck and enjoy it

cher

x

[phil nw.]

For those in the West Midlands that are worried that they won't see snow.. Trust me it's on it's way and it's heavy. West Midlands looks set for some heavy snowfall in the next 2-3 hours, maybe blizzard like conditions.

Lets not jump the gun guys and assume things, the PPN is right on track for the West Midlands and Central Midlands and it looks moderate to heavy.

Hi Andy,

You stayed up then?

Yes looking at radar Percipitation getting more extensive and could cover quite a lot of the Midlands with Snow.

Chaos in the morning as councils round here only gritting main routes due to shortage--ridiculous!

[wallopweather]

Have posted an experimental forecast, but its already been lost under the amount of recent posts...If anyone wants a look,click Here

Best of luck with the forecasting but probably not prevoked much reaction as it goes along with similar forecasts on the forums here IMO

Edited February 4, 2009 by wallopweather

[Snowman15]

Don't get in a paddy about it!!

Still light rain here which unfortunately is melting away the heaviest snowfall ive seen in years. Oh well, 4 nights in a row of heavy snow. Can't argue with that, im happy

[toonarmy32]

Ok.....I 've had a good look at the Gfs18z, and thought, 'what the hell...time for my first ever public forecast'

My take on the snow event is as follows:

An area of rain/sleet currently developing over the South Western parts of the country will push north, turning to snow as it does so....Areas affected in the overnight period will include mid-wales, Gloucestershire, Worcestshire, Shropshire, Staffs and part of Cheshire...For areas south and east of a line say from Cardiff and Nottingham , conditions look marginal for snow and the further south one goes, rain is the more likely....Conversley, a frontal occlusion currently over Scotland will make steady overnight progress SSEwards, the area where these frontal boundaries meet is where the potential for significant snowfall is greatest....Tomorrow.....The area for marginal precip will push slightly further north & west....Areas south and east of a line through worcestershire to East Staffs will probably see a transition from snow to a sleety mix during the daytime/evening hours on Thursday into friday daytime....Friday evening, the whole area of precip starts to slip South Eastwards with cold air undercutting the back edge of the retreating front causing any precip to turn to all snow during the evening period....The areas, in my eyes, likely to be affected the most by snow, naturally, will be areas to the north and west of these 'transition zones' My guess being mid/north Wales, Cheshire, Staffordshire, Shropshire and North Worcestershire....

Phew, my fingers are ready to drop off! .....and there you have it, my first ever forecast.....Feedback would be appreciated!

Cheers

AJ

A quick edit....A lot of members seem concerned about the current rain down south to be missing us...I'm pretty much sure that this is not the precip area to be worried....The snow event for the West Midlands area has not developed yet, and will not develope until the occlusion from the north,and the warm front down south meet

wow im impressed thats a great first ever forcaste

cher

x

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

I believe it will snow quite heavily for us in the west midlands.

I'm just dissapointed that it will become sleet in the late morning/afternoon (or whatever time it is) I guess it would be unusual for a perfect event haha

even if it does turn to sleet , its only brief trust me , temp progged at 0c in brum 2morrow at 15;00, so would readily turn back to snow in the evening time