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Jason H

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    Bexleyheath (south), Kent

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  1. So midweek then? I'd imagine there will be storms embedded in the rain up the Eastern side Tomorrow.
  2. Logs on, waiting for posts about storm shield and other such conjecture. I think this plume destabilising, so those west of Kent are still in with a shout. Look here.. https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;r=0;t=3;s=201;o=0;b=;n=0;y=50.8337;x=0.2856;z=5;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;ts=0;
  3. Just come back from Steve's part of the world, playing football indoors thankfully at Fawkham (the back of Brands Hatch). Torrential rain for an hour. Roads from Fawkham to Longfield like a stream. Longfield (just down the hill from New Ash Green) was flooded. That line of convection just South of the Thames has been there for about 2 hours.
  4. ITS NOT THE CASE. It's not going to be like this all night in here?
  5. I think I'll add screw zone to my "up the snorter" list! Give it time for gawds sake!
  6. I think people are getting ahead of themselves. This is in no way going to be near 2010. South Downs could get a moderate dump. The Estuary will not fire tonight or tomorrow. Please, nobody mention snow-shields either. That one gets right up my snorter!!
  7. Based on the evidence presented earlier in the month, why wouldn't you have predicted it? It's hardly been warm. Unless you're psychic, how would anyone know it wouldn't turn out as cold as you expected? It's not a competition on here is it?
  8. So, you're basing this on historical ensemble behaviours? OK. Nothing scientific? I think I'll wait for this evening runs before I comment. No denying that the models in the 7+ day range have trended away from the very cold based on the latest runs though.
  9. ECM192 is a great chart. Look at those heights building. It's only going to get colder from that point. Good charts this evening.
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