JamesL

In the middle here of a streamer! IMG_6687.MP4

No amber but I wouldn’t be surprised if one was issued over night into tomorrow

My feelings are that Kent’s and Sussex’s best chances will be later tonight and tomorrow as winds turn more NE Ironically this is the time I think an Amber warning would be more pertinent for this area Let’s see how it plays out but I’m thinking proper deep convection here with slower moving cells Dont get me wrong my parents have seen around 5-6” in N Kent over the last 2 days but I think that could be beaten in 24 hours over the next day or so As always where these streamers set up will determine where the heaviest falls will be.

Drifts this morning between Lenham and Doddington in N Kent

Think this says it all latest met office forecast

She was still using yesterday’s data sadly

I’d love more than anyone to see an extension. They have also moved away from a snowy breakdown too in the west (for me) which is the worst of both worlds! But it looks like some of you in the SE will get a decent snow event over the next 2 days!

This will change today. Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back So enjoy the next 2-3 days!

Sublimation or a faulty thermometer and it is actually melting lol

See my comment above

This could be due to very dry air and low dew points Causes “sublimation” or in layman’s terms turns solid to gas Just a thought Happens after snowfall with temps below freezing and the snow just appears to vanish

My 76 year old father snow blading today in Newnham, Kent. They’ve had around 4” over the last 24 hours. Temp is -0.8 there right now V jealous indeed as I look out over green fields in the valleys, S Wales Oh well we’ve done ok for snow so far here so glad the SE are joining in! IMG_6659.MP4

Thank you

This must be the first time in weeks that no one has posted the ECM charts lol Could somebody post them up for those of us (of the older generation) that have zero tech skills please Thank you

Just had a video sent from my father. Heavy snow and blizzards in N Kent this morning! This week (apart from the odd flurry) looks pretty dry We may get some disturbances running east to west, just a case of keeping an eye out on fax and radar End of week we may get some but the way things are heading it may not even reach here as a high builds to our NE So a nice cold dry week coming up which makes a nice change tbh

Although I now live in the Valleys of S. Wales, I lived in N Kent through the 1980’s-2010 We had some epic snowfalls on the N Downs where we lived between Sittingbourne and Lenham My parents still Live there and I’m really jealous looking at what potentially may fall over the next 48 hours there. Looks like they are right in the sweet spot for that 25-30cms Here in S Wales we’ve had falling and settling snow for the last 3 weekends so I’m delighted you guys are going to get your fill this time. Already today the hills above my house are white from earlier snow which wasn’t forecast this early! ENJOY!!

Hills above Cwmdare and Hirwaun I can see from my lounge window, are now white. Looks like snow has been falling and settling above around 750-800’ this morning Certainly a surprise Way colder than modelled for sure

Latest 12z UKM shows the low at 120 further west and south in the Atlantic and the Scandinavian ridge further west and south than the 0z output There is a long way to run on this yet. More forcing in coming runs could disrupt this low further

Good afternoon Looks like winter is about to hit my parents in N Kent on Saturday night/Sunday Looks fairly benign for most of Wales Maybe some transient snow on sat night for eastern Wales and the odd snow shower in the early part of the week Best chance are lows sliding in from midweek onwards. This is certainly not nailed at this point and as always expect the cold to hang on longer than modelled right now I’m hopeful of some battleground snowfall at some point. Whether this is meaningful will be decided in the next 2-3 days Until then let’s kick back, relax and enjoy London and the SE grinding to a halt At least it gives those living there a little excitement in an otherwise boring lockdown Vaccinations will of course be effected for a few days but nothing too meaningful I hope and here in Wales it should be business as normal Always the chance of a trough with more organised snow moving east to west and I’m sure the radar will get a hammering over the coming week! Look out for the elderly and vulnerable too Hope everyone has a great weekend!

I’d pretty much agree with that going on what we know thus far. Reminds me of the old Countryfile summary at the end of the forecast ??

Bearing in mind the UKM has been rock solid for days and the GFS has been woeful in the run up, I’d be putting the operational firmly in the bin then setting fire to it Anyone panicking, chill. It’s every model against the GFS with the ECM still to come UKM at 96 or GFS at 96?!?!? Come on guys, get with it! It was only 2 days ago the cold spell had NO SUPPORT on the ens, only to totally flip in 12 hours GFS is a joke model in these situations

Hmmmm we had the coldest March day on record at -5 in Tredegar with drifts up to the guttering Pretty historic here lol

Just up above Aberdare with my boy loving life!!

And while we all ponder on where we will be in 7 days, I write this with heavy settling snow falling in S Wales a nice surprise of which there will be a lot of over the next 5-7 days countrywide! Bring on the heavy hitters of the 12z’s!

This is a good point! Precip will prob be around 5-10 miles behind the echoes