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Everything posted by shotski
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Spring Model Discussion 17/3/13 6PM onwards....
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The only problem is, looking at that spread at t-168 only 4 or 5 members show some form of undercutting for the uk. -
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 17th March 2013 18:00>
shotski replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Lets hope so, just missed out on the snow today- 846 replies
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Spring Model Discussion 17/3/13 6PM onwards....
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That ECM charts shows a south to south e'ly flow for the uk ? nothing like what is on the forecast map IMHO -
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 13th March 2013
shotski replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Hi Guys Has anyone got a link to a good (Free) snow/rain radar ? Thanks- 795 replies
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Spring Model Discussion 18Z 9/3/13 onwards....
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Having read through this mornings posts and viewed the current output the only outlier in here appears to be your post Rory -
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 13th March 2013
shotski replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Not thunderstorms, but I do have a panic attack everytime the mother-in-law pulls up the drive- 795 replies
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Spring Model Discussion 18Z 9/3/13 onwards....
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If you say so Buddy -
Spring Model Discussion 18Z 9/3/13 onwards....
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
But if that corrected south & west I would be dancing a happy dance as it would mean snow for most. -
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 4th March 2013
shotski replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
I wouldn't worry about that low at 9 days out john, did you ever read my end of winter forecast posted about 6 weeks ago ?- 834 replies
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South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 4th March 2013
shotski replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Well well well, what have we here ? Interested to see how this one pans out. CFS has been showing this now for a long time and the 500mb anomoly charts are showing spring could be a long time coming.- 834 replies
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Just been down to the end of the garden with torch in hand and seen the first few frogs returning to the pond. Lets hope they don't get caught out by this coming milder spell.
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Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/02/13 onwards.
shotski replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Could it be that the JMA is picking up on a signal that the other models have not latched into yet ? Looks very interesting at t-192 and out of kilt with the other models. -
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/02/13 onwards.
shotski replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Bland Run my foot, Epic run come t-240 IMHO. lets see. -
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/02/13 onwards.
shotski replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nail on the head, But quicker than is currently progged. No way do I see this HP shifting Se, Nw is where its heading. -
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/02/13 onwards.
shotski replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
And your point is ? Where in my post did I mention the word pressure ? Is this a strong enough height anomaly for you ? -
Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/02/13 onwards.
shotski replied to phil nw.'s topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter Model Discussion 18Z 12/2/13 onwards.
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
No not yet (on this run anyway) JMA Long range ensembles that have been spot on the money so far this winter would seem to suggest retrogression at some point. -
Winter Model Discussion 18Z 12/2/13 onwards.
shotski replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The 500mb Anomoly charts would seem to back up ECM & UKMO evolutions. Large anomoly to the north of the UK. -
Fantastic runs tonight from ECM & UKMO, I'm sure John Pike will be climbing up the walls. De Bilt ensembles are amazing for days 8,9 & 10, have you ever seen such a cluster that far out. 500mb anomoly charts also looking sexy with a big anomoly north of the UK. Don't put the sledges away yet folks.
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Hi Gaz Would obviously hinge on the exact position of the high and from what direction it was pulling the wind in from. I would say if it was to sit over us as predicted it would give cold nights -5 or possibly lower and daytime temps of around +7.
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Winter Model Output Discussion - 06Z 09/02/13 onwards
shotski replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What ECM run was you looking at ? 12z ECM looks fantastic to me in FI if you like cold and blocked.