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shotski

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Everything posted by shotski

  1. The only problem is, looking at that spread at t-168 only 4 or 5 members show some form of undercutting for the uk.
  2. That ECM charts shows a south to south e'ly flow for the uk ? nothing like what is on the forecast map IMHO
  3. Having read through this mornings posts and viewed the current output the only outlier in here appears to be your post Rory
  4. Not thunderstorms, but I do have a panic attack everytime the mother-in-law pulls up the drive
  5. But if that corrected south & west I would be dancing a happy dance as it would mean snow for most.
  6. I wouldn't worry about that low at 9 days out john, did you ever read my end of winter forecast posted about 6 weeks ago ?
  7. Well well well, what have we here ? Interested to see how this one pans out. CFS has been showing this now for a long time and the 500mb anomoly charts are showing spring could be a long time coming.
  8. Just been down to the end of the garden with torch in hand and seen the first few frogs returning to the pond. Lets hope they don't get caught out by this coming milder spell.
  9. I think so to crewe but this would fly in the face of what the Meto are currently thinking. They go for the high to drop SE in time, we will see.
  10. Could it be that the JMA is picking up on a signal that the other models have not latched into yet ? Looks very interesting at t-192 and out of kilt with the other models.
  11. Bland Run my foot, Epic run come t-240 IMHO. lets see.
  12. Nail on the head, But quicker than is currently progged. No way do I see this HP shifting Se, Nw is where its heading.
  13. And your point is ? Where in my post did I mention the word pressure ? Is this a strong enough height anomaly for you ?
  14. As a liverpool fan I look forward to Man U losing the Premier league.
  15. No not yet (on this run anyway) JMA Long range ensembles that have been spot on the money so far this winter would seem to suggest retrogression at some point.
  16. The 500mb Anomoly charts would seem to back up ECM & UKMO evolutions. Large anomoly to the north of the UK.
  17. Fantastic runs tonight from ECM & UKMO, I'm sure John Pike will be climbing up the walls. De Bilt ensembles are amazing for days 8,9 & 10, have you ever seen such a cluster that far out. 500mb anomoly charts also looking sexy with a big anomoly north of the UK. Don't put the sledges away yet folks.
  18. Thanks Lottie I'm sure Ive seen it done on other threads ? Any mods please ?
  19. Hi Gaz Would obviously hinge on the exact position of the high and from what direction it was pulling the wind in from. I would say if it was to sit over us as predicted it would give cold nights -5 or possibly lower and daytime temps of around +7.
  20. Hi all Just a question How can I Quote a post from a previous thread Thanks
  21. What ECM run was you looking at ? 12z ECM looks fantastic to me in FI if you like cold and blocked.
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