Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Stu Robinson

Members
  • Posts

    82
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Stu Robinson

  1. Roger, I think that we lost the anvil level winds...

     

    We were in Broken bow and was on the first radar blip but we were then pulled over by the police! We were just over the speed limit and let off with a warning - however 20 munities had passed so we were behind the storm.

     

    skip forward many hours and we were investigating the then tornado warned tail end cell south of  Loop city, NW (09:00pm). Impressive structure and at 09:30pm we observed a 2 minute tornado south of Farwell.

  2. Hi all – We (Alistair chapman and I) are not streaming this year as we have a limit on the data card and we are on a budget!

     

    We pick up severe  cells around Lemasa, TX quite early (14:30) and followed them down to Sterling City, TX of the next 7 hours – we saw impressive structure (again!) and also a brief but confirmed rope tornado out of Sterling city, We also observed a large dust crown north of Garden city (was reported as a muti-vortex) but with out any visible condensation.

    We will target West Texas today – if I was younger I would be hauling up to North Dakota to set up for tomorrow – but that is a 21 hour drive!

     

    post-9322-0-30073300-1401194647_thumb.jppost-9322-0-94046500-1401194732_thumb.jppost-9322-0-58781900-1401194739_thumb.jppost-9322-0-41141700-1401194746_thumb.jppost-9322-0-37790200-1401194754_thumb.jppost-9322-0-77498400-1401194760_thumb.jp

    • Like 3
  3. Very Sad news has emerged that Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras and Carl Young were all killed in the El Reno Oklahoma Tornado on Friday night. All of these were vertern chasers Tim (30 Years) Both tim and Carl always made of point of talking to me and were interest in UK tornadoes.

     

    I am too stunned for words to post any more.

     

     

    Attached is an image from 2006 with tim showing me his ground braking tornado probes.

     

    post-9322-0-57331100-1370187668_thumb.jp

     

    • Like 4
  4. I am late to add my forecast for today but given your starting location (Childress, TX) I am working what is doable for your selves driving wise J

     

    The SPC have SE NE with a 5% (tornado) but I am interested in an area just a tad South and West of there. I do expect storms to form on the North side of the Johnson Mesa and then track North East towards Lamar to Cheyenne Wells , actually quite early around 22Z. HRRR backs this up as well with a solid signature for a convective bomb  over Lamar to Cheyenne Wells.

     

    I would be tempted to sit in Cheyenne Wells so that you can pick up any developments to the south and allow them to pull you north.

     

    If you can spend the night on I80 then all options are open for day2 and 3

     

    Edit- I would hold in Lamar or better Granada. SPC have also just latched on to this setup and have moved the 5% to this area!

  5. 15z HRRR blows up a huge supercell near to Turkey by 20z. Storms will be slow moving but given the general south East motion I would be tempted to position just a tad further south of Clarendon. Looking at surface Obs the area Turkey to Plainview   looks like a sweet spot with strong wind convergence and upslope occurring. The whole area still looks capped as per SPC MESO analysis but I expect this to erode…

  6. My first forecast after Monday… But today has me interested in Severe storms forming over the Texas Panhandle

     

    Target: Groom, just East of Amarillo, TX

     

    Should be an 3-4pm show with storms firing along a frontal boundary – the exact final location of this boundary will be critical to today’s final target but I do expect it to be within 50 miles of Groom. Storm motion will be South East. Forecast hodographs actually don’t look too bad (Pampa to Shamrock)  on the nose of a moist plume being pulled North West and up over the cap rock. I am expecting Supercells and a window of opportunity for tornados 5 – 8pm.

  7. Tornado rated as EF5 from NWS Oklahoma.

     

    Fast Facts

    • [*]A rating of
    EF-5 has been given to the tornado that affected the Newcastle, south OKC, and Moore areas in McClain and Cleveland Counties. [*]The tornado had.a path length of approximately 17 miles and was on the ground for approximately 40 minutes from 2:56 PM - 3.26 PM CDT. [*]The preliminary maximum path width is 1.3 miles

    SURVEY SUMMARY: EXPERTS SURVEYING IN MOORE HAVE DETERMINED DAMAGE IS
    EF5 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OVER 200 MPH. FOUR SURVEY TEAMS CONTINUE TO
    INSPECT DAMAGE FROM THIS LONG TRACK TORNADO. INITIAL DAMAGE WAS
    FOUND AROUND 4.4 MILES WEST OF NEWCASTLE...SOUTH OF TECUMSEH ROAD
    ALSO KNOWN AS NW 16TH STREET AND EAST LAKE ROAD. THE TORNADO TRACKED
    NE TO THE INTERSTATE 44 BRIDGE OVER THE CANADIAN RIVER AND THEN TOOK
    A MORE EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH MOORE. TORNADO DAMAGE ABRUPTLY ENDS
    0.3 MILES EAST OF AIR DEPOT ROAD AND N OF SE 134TH ST.

×
×
  • Create New...