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Frank Trough

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    Home: Bournemouth (Iford) Work: Eastleigh

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  1. Sort of, although had some of the mean charts that showed robust heights and the talk of highs shuffling around at high latitudes converted into a memorable cold spell then we would have all been in the regionals measuring our snow this week. snow for some but overall a fairly standard cold snap for what is the heart of winter. we then have 7/10 days (minimum) of westerlies with euro heights to take us into the last knockings of proper winter.
  2. That looks GFS/ICON. Arpege joins UKMO in saying no. I think the arpege is quite good normally. still, I think there is hope. Let’s see what ECM reckons. I guess then FAX charts will come into play soon too.
  3. GFS also further north with a glancing blow this isn’t over yet Edit - but fair to say UKMO says “no”.
  4. The mighty Icon brings the precipitation further north again with it glancing the coast. It still has a very marginal feel along the coastal strip to it for me though. I wasn’t expecting that - having seen things generally trend south I was assuming that would be that. see what the others make of it - it is just the icon
  5. I think the precip will end up south mid week if I’m honest. I’ve been hoping for that in the hope that digging the cold south will keep us dry longer. Sort of true but unfortunately it looks like a meek breakdown to rain anyway a couple of days later anyway. Mrs Trough will be sharpening her pencil ahead of putting my jobs list together for 22nd 23rd
  6. ECM Looks like the GFS 06z op at t168. That little nose of high pressure - but will be quickly pushed aside as Atlantic pushes in. possibly. Maybe.
  7. Only a 20% risk of it being north enough to deliver rain IMBY…….let’s see. I’ve been convincing myself (from experience) that if we do see the precip far enough north it will be too marginal for subtropical Iford. The met office clearly disagree with me awaiting ECM…….
  8. this season has been so much more enjoyable than the last of couple of years in the Prem. Can't believe people still haven't warmed to RM!! Anyway......on to the 12zs later beginning with a bit of ICONNERY again. Seems like there is growing uncertainty within ECM and GFS about the midweek low next week (according to a much more knowledgeable post on the mod thread) so that will be interesting to see how it plays out later. I'm with UKMO from this morning all day long
  9. i too am a Saints fan i was remembering the same event - i didn't watch but Saints won (i think). I walked with my mates along Ryde Seafront to seaview in the snow. Think it melted the next afternoon.
  10. i think i remember the 1994 (i grew up on the Isle of Wight) one. There were a couple around then but things seem to have gradually gone downhill since then for the most part. Even in that ECM set up you probably wouldn't have to go far inland from here to see a bit of snow
  11. it may just be my perception, but is this lobe of high pressure starting become more of a feature? i guess maybe just GFS. Would like to see that undercut edit - beaten to to it!
  12. i was quite surprised at the ECM this morning - i looked at UKMO/GEM/GFS first and all had the precip further south so i was sort of expecting ECM to keep it away. Interesting - but experience tells me that it would probably be mostly rain for here. edit - 06z GFS keeps precip south as well.
  13. Water temps have taken a real hit. the ECM is nearer UKMO so that’s good. Keeps the rain at bay that little bit longer and keeps us in the cold game longer
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