Grimsby Snow Lover
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Posts posted by Grimsby Snow Lover
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4 minutes ago, Tinker Bell said:
I expect to see some good pictures on here tomorrow - Shame it can't keep pushing across to the east coast. I wait in anticipation for a proper beast from the east - think I will have a long wait !!!
I share your frustration tinker bell, the Beeb did show showers moving down the coast after midnight so you never know. Having read the metoffice update earlier we might get lucky as we head towards February. Finger crossed for you guys in the west tonight.
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31 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Thanks for the link, I had to laugh when the frame froze just as the forecast was about to begin. It looks like an interesting week coming up. Some of us look like seeing some decent falls of snow....fingers crossed.
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I'm watching those showers edging southwards down the east coast. Woukdnbe great to see even a dusting of snow before the milder weather arrive.
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Heavy wet snow here now. Current air temperature 1 degree. Not settling yet though.
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3 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:
Just to add further to my earlier post - the forecast for the AO increase is far more dramatic on the ECM than the GFS and we can see another view of the u wind (mean zonal mean wind) from the following chart. This demonstrates the positive AO seen throughout most of the winter - the increased sections between 100 -1000hPA in December. This then gave way to the early January trop/strat disconnect following the Kara ridge formation. The strat then connected back with the trop and now we see the forecast of the pre warming strengthening and what I expect to occur after.
What exactly could we expect to see in the models over the next few weeks chiono? Sorry to ask but I struggle to understand what you mean lol.
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5 minutes ago, Kieran said:
Most if not all models now showing a breakdown of this cold pattern so not much hope from me. Even todays UKMO shows the cold will hang on an extra day or 2 before the warmer air returns. Thursday seems the best day of the bunch with snow chances for most areas. Such depressing charts compared to the ones we were seeing 4/5 days ago
You may well be correct mate, but worth remembering that the cold spell hasn't even begun yet and past history has shown that cold air at the surface is quite hard to shift even if the upper temperature are on the rise in fi. With the spread shown on the gfs ensembles and the ukmo showing a quite different scenario i feel it is too early to believe the end games shown by the gfs or ecmwf are a done deal yet. The output could flip tomorrow. You never know. Let's just enjoy the cold this week as us collies have been waiting months and months for this.
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2 minutes ago, dragonfalls said:
Hi is there any other model up dates today and what time thanks
The gfs 18z run begins at 9.30pm if that helps.
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5 minutes ago, Spah1 said:
A couple of days ago someone posted the AO graph with the value dropping off the bottom. Anyone got the latest graph. Still very negative???
It could look a lot worse and to my untrained eye still looks negative for the most part with a few ensembles staying negative
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4 minutes ago, heccygabber said:
So who thinks these cold charts will verify? I doubt it.
It's a wild goose chase, over and over again
Agreed, it is. That's what makes this time if year so addictive on his forum. I for one look forward to this time of the year and finding these gorgeous looking cold charts the models churn out now and again. Stranger things have happened.
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8 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:
Nick, I know its way out in la la land, but have you ever seen zero scatter on the precipitation ens like what the GFS12Z is showing for mid Jan? (don't think I ever have)
To add to your post there seems to be quite a pressure rise towards the middle of the month so perhaps that's why. We might even get the odd air frost!
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1 minute ago, swilliam said:
Short ensembles out - not much support for the OP again
There is some support though which is a relief, at least these balmy temperatures should disappear soon.
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Let me guess... Number 7 by any chance?
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Just having a really heavy hail shower here at the moment,..I can now add this to the one frost we have had so far this winter haha
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34 minutes ago, Greenland1080 said:
Perb 19 looks like a great white sharks head coming through water to swallow the pv
...slightly less technical than GP post34 minutes ago, Greenland1080 said:Perb 19 looks like a great white sharks head coming through water to swallow the pv
...slightly less technical than GP postCan I just ask what the black holes are on the charts posted above. Thanks
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Could someone explain what the wave 2 activity posted above would mean for our winter weather. I'm a complete novice when it comes to the strat.
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Had a few heavy sleety showers recently here, even a bit of snow but nothing settling. Current temperatures around 3 degrees.
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One thing that has been missing in recentt years is a very long fetch unstable northerly during the winter months. Really hope to have that set up this winter as it can lead to great radar watching if snow showers are your thing.
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Earlier this afternoon we had a really heavy hail shower which gave a temporary covering on grass and roofs.
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Still a covering in a few areas around here which Is pleasing to see. Areas literally a few miles nearer the wolds still have around 60% coverage. Hopeful for another coverage tonight.
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Still a covering here but only in areas that were shaded. Pleased the dew and air temperatures are falling, currently around 3 degrees with dew temp of 1.5
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That's interesting as our temperature is continuing to slowly creep up.
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Another light snow shower here, looking at the radar though it will be short lived.
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Stopped snowing about half an hour ago. Temperature around 0.7 with dew point around -1.8
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Another really heavy snow shower here at the minute with 50p sized flakes.
...slightly less technical than GP post
Yorkshire and Lincolnshire - Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
Send some my way guys. Just a dusting will do.