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keithlucky

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Everything posted by keithlucky

  1. keithlucky
    Strat warming normally lasts a a couple of weeks,the very cold air will be pushed south across UK around 14th lasting until February .
  2. keithlucky
    East Wales look favored atm but let's see what happens.
  3. keithlucky
    From nick on model thread showing a small disturbance increasing the snow possibilities Monday night
  4. keithlucky
    Strong stratospheric Warming underway ,driving cold air southwards ,westwards linking up high pressure over Greenland to HP over Canada.Becoming very cold from North.This graph shows a strong warming underway.
  5. keithlucky
    Possible upgrade on precipation for Monday. Just goes to show snow forecasting is nowcasting let see what develops on radar Monday night.
  6. keithlucky
    Slow building perfect build blocks in place ,Perfect set a big Greenland High affecting our weather that as rare as Hens teeth!! And you stop playing a devil advocate Lol! Model thread has become full of them.
  7. keithlucky
    Brisk easterly wind turning colder and colder bitter winds fetching snow showers across Wales on Monday.Showers possible any time radar watching for the rest of next week. Winds switch to northerly. around the14 th of January with heavy snow moving down from North. THIS is not a normal UK shot cold spell .Another stratospheric warming is happening towards the end of month winds from the east then the north dominating until end of month severe cold spell on it way.
  8. keithlucky
    Very simular to the sensational winter of 1962/1963.
  9. keithlucky
    Despite all the doom and gloom in the the mod thread,that strat warming has failed it hasn't. The vortex has spilt. One section causing zonal wind reversal.Resulting in large High Pressure over Greenland.As a result become cold next week becoming very cold the end of next week as colder air arrives from the N east.
  10. keithlucky
    Mostly dry ,from Sunday scattered snow showers ,More snow showers Monday as a cold east wind,moves snow showers across UK.
  11. keithlucky
    Yes let's hang in there Dry by Friday!
  12. keithlucky
    So the Gfs has cold locked in for 10 days longer term ,GFS has USA and Northern Europe both affected with northern blocking,lasting to the end of January. With both continents to be affected is a rare occurance
  13. keithlucky
    Map confirming with country file latest met forecast in agreement with .
  14. keithlucky
    Met settling on a HP settling North with a bitter East wind so let's move on from constant negative comments.
  15. keithlucky
    So colder weather is almost set in stone by next weekend.Friday HP over North UK dragging a biting cold easterly wind.So dry for most getting colder and harsh frosts at night as, wind drop and freezing fog becomes persistent as wind eases.
  16. keithlucky
    Severe cold becoming entrenched across Europe haven't seen this for many years .Thursday-,Friday when temperatures at night could hit -20c
  17. keithlucky
    Lol snow always been as rare as Hens teeth.
  18. keithlucky
    Brutal cold heading west out of Scandinavia.End of next week.(-30c Stockholm ).
  19. keithlucky
    Brutal cold heading west towards the NEast UK end of next week (-30c Stockholm)
  20. keithlucky
    Signs are for 2nd week of January EPS showing cold entrenched across Europe.
  21. keithlucky
    Due to the strat warming could well end up colder January than forecasted .
  22. keithlucky
    It' should be mentioned that another storm hitting UK Saturday with bombogenisis forming on the cold front.
  23. keithlucky
    Yes unusual to see rain to snow event in the forecast, As you said they must be seeing pressure building to the North.
  24. keithlucky
    Long way to go but met office starting to agree with strat warming.
  25. keithlucky
    True but nobody mentioned strat warming in December. Strat Warming is rare event ,and this has even been mentioned in met office .
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