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sabrewulf

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Posts posted by sabrewulf

  1. to see the sun like this, STILL after 2 years is quite worrying! ...

    as a kid growing up in the 70s/80s and with a big interest in astronomy, it was guaranteed that anytime you tried to project your telescopic image of the sun onto a white piece of paper, you would see sunspots. They were so common that this method of viewing them was in every kids book on astronomy. And I used to keep a daily sunspot diary , with my own sketches and observations.

    I can confirm that no sunspots is extremely unusual.

  2. An MCS of historic proportions may be developing and moving into a large part of southeast England. Neil's obs combined with a recent report of 1 cm hail in northern France and east wind gusting to 40 mph at Langdon Bay combine with continued pressure falls to 1013 mbs suggesting meso-scale low is forming and transferring energy from Thursday's meso-scale low that tracked east across northern France (and has recently filled).

    Given the widespread nature of the lightning and the climatology of MCS systems, specific energy peak now to 0230 for this one, I would say it is all going to spiral in towards London and create a memorable if not monster storm for the southeast tonight.

    This is capable of producing 75 mms of rain and near-continuous lightning, 2 cm hail and local wind gusts (most likely east except possibly SSE with the western flank) to 50 mph. Not too many people will see those wind gusts or get the hail, but don't be surprised if you do ... a lot more people will get the rain and the frequent and intense lightning.

    Eventually I expect the two clusters to rotate around a fixed point in the southern North Sea and move back out to the northeast tomorrow morning. The main cold front will be sheared but one or two moderate cells could develop along that (being dragged along behind the MCS) but further north the front will not be dragged in and it may weaken and then redevelop in northern and eastern England tomorrow. Meanwhile that blob approaching Ireland from the southwest is yet another potentially heavy thunderstorm complex developing for Ireland tomorrow and the UK Friday night or Saturday.

    Other than that, nothing much happening. (here)

    thanks for the write up. appreciated.

    sounds like a monster headling my way , hopefully.

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