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johnny1972

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Everything posted by johnny1972

  1. 32 cm in Buxton with much bigger drifts. Little if anything moving and abandoned vehicles everywhere. Local villages also cut off. 20230310_083827.mp4
  2. The issue isn't just one run it's also been shown by the GFS but members didn't want to recognise the Gfs as it didn't show what they wanted
  3. The met office have reflected in their latest 30 day outlook what the ECM is showing which is a return to milder weather. It amazes me when in this day and age we can't get a forecast correct for a week in advance how on earth the met office can even consider preaching about 2050. The weather is so complex it clearly isn't fully understood and the drivers behind it. If it was forecasts would be much more accurate than they are. Just my opinion
  4. The constant from many on here has been looking at charts 9 to 10 days plus. OK for trends but anyone setting their stall on verification will on most ocassions be very disappointed. I learnt this on here a long time ago.
  5. I said a number of days ago the issue was the HP sitting in the Eastern med and the trough sitting over iberia. There was no energy in the southern arm of the jet to push the trough through. It has remained a problem and now has pushed so far north this will be a 2 to 3 day event at most.
  6.  Good evening guys. Been a long time since I have been on here having joined in 2008. Missed the model watching and I see the usual suspects are still here. Looking at the chart below the issue I see with the position of the trough is it continues to source its upper air from SE Europe rather than the east. Hopefully that will change with a slight switch east to support the scandi high and bring in the colder uppers from Russia from than greece
  7. Sleet / hail on the coast. Strong wind from the E/SE. -4 during the night with a heavy frost but +1 now both temp and dew point.
  8. The met 16-30 day outlook today is a downgrade there's no doubt. I think the effects of the SSW this year haven't been as favourable to our location (UK/Ireland) as many would have liked, hence the constant uncertainty in the forecasts. I'm not saying they can't be wrong but they have been very bullish for a number of weeks about February whereas the latest update drops the very cold more to cold and closer to a normal winter month. Pity.
  9. Unfortunately the met office are saying this front will introduce milder weather
  10. It's always amazed me when the showers are of rain they have little difficulty reaching the east coast no matter what direction they come from. But when the weather turns colder and showers are of snow they die out before reaching east coast.
  11. Not from what i have seen on any charts but i suppose its open to change even this close to the day.
  12. Fair point. I think Dec 2010 spoilt us when we had 8 inches. It can be done given right conditions. Even the easterly was poor last year so was hoping flow from NW with no sea track might do the trick.
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