The met 16-30 day outlook today is a downgrade there's no doubt. I think the effects of the SSW this year haven't been as favourable to our location (UK/Ireland) as many would have liked, hence the constant uncertainty in the forecasts. I'm not saying they can't be wrong but they have been very bullish for a number of weeks about February whereas the latest update drops the very cold more to cold and closer to a normal winter month. Pity.