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Have been told elsewhere that this is likely just scud.
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Possible oxford tornado, pictures in photography section, would be interested to hear opinions!- 2,726 replies
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Captured these shots today south of Oxford. Possible tornado? I have edited them to improve the contrast. Had a great chase but it was always difficult to keep up with the storms and they quickly out ran me.
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Wow, had a great chase today near Oxford, managed to capture a large funnel, possible tornado, pics to come in a new thread shortly. Some amazing storms for sure.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
To add to Panayiotis' analysis, ECMWF with the euro4, a touch east. Tomorrow holds a lot of potential, potential for some strong or even severe storms.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yes, looking very solid, moving quickly too. I wonder how long it has in it.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Anyone got recommendations for good storm watching spots in the south east, east sussex/kent? Looking for a good view over the channel. Not likely to be much use this evening but for future reference. Any suggestions appreciated.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
'Areas of rain, locally thundery, will develop across the warning area during Thursday afternoon, evening and overnight. This will be heavy at times and may lead to some localised disruption. Lightning will be an additional hazard, especially across areas south of Birmingham. Heavy rain may lead to localised rainfall accumulations of 20-30 mm in 1-2 hours, with some places perhaps seeing 40-60 mm in 3-6 hours. This may cause some travel disruption during rush hour this evening. The threat of heavy rain will clear eastwards later in the night, clearing western parts of the warning area by around midnight.' Don't recall the met office giving such a specific mention for lightning frequency before.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
In the absence of any other specific forecasts for the UK yesterday, and with estofex giving a no risk area, you played that very well, a superb forecast on a day with just about as much uncertainty as you can find.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Forecast from the estofex team: http://estofex.org/ Tomorrow is certainly going to be a very interesting day. *if* any cells can route themselves in the boundary layer, conditions certainly very favourable indeed.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
One rumble! This stuff is going up, ...and down... very quickly. Tomorrow is going to be an interesting day.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Have to say I am surprised there isn't much interest in this too. This looks a very nice set up indeed, lots of potential from tomorrow onwards. (even a very small chance for today up in the north!)- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
dave48 replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Can't recall a plume with 850 temps this high not providing some solid storms. GFS goes for 20 degrees at 850 hpa which is quite a high figure in the SE. A reasonable chance for many later in the week. These things are always very hit and miss but I would be surprised if this didn't deliver. Hopefully quite widespread.- 2,726 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread 25/5/16 onwards
dave48 replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
That's a great shot. Great to see people enjoying some storms. Tomorrow looks good, all the models are agreeing on a few spots, including the south east for some thunderstorms. Euro4 is in agreement too, and that model has been very conservative over the last few days...certainly a good sign. -
Storm & Convective Discussion - 1 September 2015 onwards
dave48 replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yeah that was the one, cheers for that!