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Andy_Calafell_Sheffield

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Posts posted by Andy_Calafell_Sheffield

  1. Pepping up again here in Sheffield, temperature of 0.2oC and dropping, struggling to settle on the roads (I am at around 190m asl btw). Not sure what people are expecting in terms of settling on the roads right now, if you had actually looked at the charts you would have notice that the highest ground and 850hpa temperatures were progged for early afternoon so ties in well with that ... it was from the later afternoon onwards that these begin to drop and settling will become much easier!

  2. Guys just to clarify as Im whizzing around the regional threads-

    HC is correct - there is 2 fronts, the first one is showing its hand in the SW now & is visible on the radar, that will push through & should reach the NE overnight & into tomorrow-

    The NAE 24 -36 shows this well arriving in your area-

    What people are referring to in terms of 'southerly' corrections is where the secondary front stalls out-

    Initially this looked like being good for the NE - running from East anglia up to manchester & borders across Scotland-

    This was the prognosis of the GFS ( Mainly ) 2 days ago- however this zone was forecast by some ( me / TEITS/ SK ) & a few others to be a LONG way further south- infact if people had just followed the ECm this has never been North.

    we are now at around T48 & the models have retreated that snowline right down to London across to Wales- with more southward corrections possible-

    So your 'fun' as it is needs to be arrive in the form in this front coming up today & hope it doesnt decay to much-

    Tomorrow the second front MAY make it up to the south Yorks borders so the further south you are in this region - the better.

    What I would say is ignore the frontal zone & look towards convective snow showers Mon-weds- they could be very beefy under -11c air & sub 532 heights

    S

    All very true, there have been southwards corrections of the second front but looking at the GFS accumulative PPN charts, these consistently show the highest totals being in N Wales and N.Midlands/S.Yorks with less the further north and east you go.Even with further slight corrections I cannot see these areas changing much, and most especially being corrected far enough south to see the SE taking the brunt of any snowfall.

  3. Oooooo Supa where were those pics taken ?

    scrub that last sentence just seen Ryder point god I'm so dum lol

    I'm originally from Bakewell and went to lady manners we got loads of good snow up there .

    I wasn't born in 1975 either so have never seen snow in June either ... lots of rain but no snow sad.png

    The ECM is showing more blocking and cold at 10 days out I think it needs to stay like that with not too much downgrading from now until then then were in for a shot .

    Really hope so ... That would make me a very happy girl x

    Is Lady Manners an all school? ...Sorry to go off topic but I think my uni friend went to that school! :)

  4. Can't rely on snow showers! If we miss the main event then that will be a drab waste of time. I said last time out that the easterly wouldn't bring snow showers in and it didn't! Can't see this any different.

    Obviously showers can be hit and miss but it is different to last time, a much stronger easterly flow with slightly lower uppers will bring better convective potential than the last one. Stop stressing.

  5. Not sure why people are complaining of a thaw. Granted at very low lying levels and towards the coast temperatures will be above freezing, but anywhere inland and especially with slight elevation should still be around, or below freezing (it is here). You can expect icicles forming, there is alot of heat being generated from your house! It is a good sign the icicle is forming because if it was much above freezing there wouldn't be one at all ....

    You also have to consider roads and pavements where cars are heating the area and people are compacting the snow and spreading around grit from their shoes etc.

  6. Its quite common under frontal snow for Leeds to see snow while nearby areas (Sheffield etc) seeing rain or sleet.

    Must be that we are further north.

    Not in this instance .... Just finer (so may look like sleet) here as we are receiving lighter precipitation ... Temperature still -2.1 here in SE Sheff albeit I'm at around 190m asl but still a relatively urban area.

  7. The 12z isn't a great run for snow prospects for most of us from midweek onwards ... However, let's wait for the UKMO and ECM as the 12z GFS is quite different to the 06z with the low to the SW of the UK at T+93 being 16mb lower (992 to 976). Be interesting to see what the ensemble say about this too.

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