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Everything posted by jimben
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Met Office now suggesting that light snow will start in my area as early as 8pm tonight and be pretty well continuous albeit light throughout Wednesday daylight hours. Therefore, much more hopeful of at least a covering now.
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Fom a glass half full perspective the UK Met Office are advising of a wintry mix including snow for the next five days, any forecast after that time frame is just not worth considering unless disappointment and depression rock your particular boat, but even in the extended time frame at the very least, includes freezing fog, severe frosts snow etc etc. Notwithstanding that at 11:08 today a level 3 out of 4 cold weather alert has been issued By the Met Office for some parts of the midlands and level 2 for other parts. I would therefore contend that for the next 2 weeks at least but most probably longer a seriously wintry outlook is unfolding. Do not understand that just because GFS suggests it otherwise, then is must be so. Off to fetch skis and ice climbing gear out of the loft and pour over maps of peak district, lake district and Snowdonia. Enjoy
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Although from a glass half full perspective the UK Met Office are advising of a wintry mix including snow for the next five days, any forecast after that time frame is just not worth considering unless disappointment and depression rock your particular boat, but even in the extended time frame at the very least, includes freezing fog, severe frosts snow etc etc. Notwithstanding that at 11:08 today a level 3 cold weather alert has been issued for some parts of the midlands and level 2 for other parts. I would therefore contend that for the next 2 weeks at least but most probably longer a seriously wintry outlook is unfolding. Do not understand that just because GFS suggests it otherwise, then is must be so. Off to fetch skis and ice climbing gear out of the loft and pour over maps of peak district, lake district and Snowdonia. Enjoy
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Temp now 4.8c the lowest it has been all day. Had rain off and on for the last hour. Dewpoint is 2.7c
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Overnight low of minus 2.4c, everywhere white & crispy albeit with no snow
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Can you forecast UK/Eire White Christmas?
jimben replied to Jo Farrow's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
London Heathrow - No Belfast - No Cork - No Aberdeen - Yes Edinburgh - Yes Liverpool - No Manchester - No Cardiff - No Norwich - No Newcastle - Yes -
Mild and windy overnight but dry with temp climbing to high of 11.9c at 05:12. Still very windy now with temp of 11.0c and overcast
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Convective / Storm Discussion - 21st May 2014 onwards
jimben replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Possible bow echo forming north east of Oxford?- 1,032 replies
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Convective / Storm Discussion - 21st May 2014 onwards
jimben replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Not much in the way of lightning in this part of Northants (Moulton) but continual rumbling of thunder for almost an hour- 1,032 replies
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Convective / Storm Discussion - 14th May 2014 onwards
jimben replied to Jane Louise's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hearing thunder in Northants at the moment- 1,179 replies
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- thunderstorms
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Convective / Storm Discussion - 1st May 2014 onwards
jimben replied to Nick F's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Sun breaking through here in Northants and some towering clouds to the south west, fingers crossed -
Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards
jimben replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Considering what has been occurring this winter synoptically and meteorologically, noteworthy, is about as accurate description as one could use -
South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/02/14
jimben replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
I saw that too. I was rather hoping he was going to let go of his oversized waterproof trousers, that he was keeping a firm grip of, and show the nation exactly how he felt.- 787 replies
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No let up from current pattern I fear and therefore, 5.2c from me
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Thunder, window rattling, lightning mostly cc, hail blown sideways, torrential rain, very dark, street lights on, those that remain came on in a word Fantastic !!
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Sorry very difficult to read your posts must be my old eyes, any chance you can increase the size of your font. Thanks
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Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.
jimben replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking good for some skiing on Raise in the not to distant future -
heavy rain Heavy Rainfall and Flood Watch February 2014
jimben replied to ZONE 51's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I noticed this too. Currently 2.9c in this part of Northants.cold but not freezing rain at surface level. -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
jimben replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The weather being dynamic will I am sure teach us another lesson and any change will be swift and unforeseen. Which, I guess is why we have models .... to try and second guess the weather. -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
jimben replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Click on your username and then choose manage ignore prefs. I have 3 pages of ignores which makes the whole forum a lot more pleasant -
Did/do exactly the same myself and never got close to calling for MRT, here's hoping for a winter to remember in the hills
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Haha, an older climber once advised me that if I wanted to know the local mountain weather then "look up", however I doubt even he would do that in the region I specified with today's advances, many still of course do and pay a heavy price. Of course the jet stream is modelled I was just expressing my preferred indicators when the viewing the models. All the best
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One of the most telling remarks in recent hours and days and one that should be borne in mind above all others come from Gibby and the direction of the jet stream. The charts can be as wintry as you like, upstream, downstream and over the back of Bill's mother weather patterns can show what they like but it is not going to happen unless the jet stream is favourable. At present this is showing no inclination to do so. I have always understood that it is the jet stream that drives weather systems. Clearly other factors may contribute but certainly not to the extent as the jet stream and gulf stream. For climbers the positioning and movement/forecast of the jet stream over mountainous areas such as the himalaya is critical. I have always looked to our south west, the prevailing direction for our weather and the positioning of jet stream saves a lot of heartache and hopecasting.
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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 22nd July 2013 onwards
jimben replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Monday 8th July 2013 - Weather and General Chat
jimben replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ditto here in Moulton. Looking at the radar we are right on the edge of the cloud that has rolled in from the north sea. I am sure that a couple of miles to the west there will be sunshine.