[Model Moans, Ramps and Banter]

36 minutes ago, Evening thunder said:

I think it's very hard not to build up some kind of hope and expectation reading the MOD thread, especially when the most highly respected members we have were gunning for cold again (not blaming them)

Perhaps there's a lesson in there for me.

Just borrowing this post from the MOD thread to illustrate my point

Does this ever happened the other way round?

What never ceases to amaze me is the "ability" of the models to flip flop to such an extent over such relatively short periods. So, what is it? Are the models basically flawed or is it our interpretation that is an issue.

Case in point - the Finance Director reports to the Board that his department's forecasting models projected a £10m surplus in two weeks time and then on the next run this disappears. What about "lessons learned" etc?

[Winter Thoughts & Hopes 2016/17]

I would like to echo the comments from stewfox above. This is truly the best and most informative forums. It is especially enjoyable as we approach Winter. Every year at this time my own excitement builds and then the rollercoasters commence! What an experience to see the forum going into meltdown in the expectation of another repeat of 2010!

So, what are my expectations for this coming Winter? Well, being from Dublin, I can only repeat the sentiment expressed in that ad for a certain dark drink - "in the home of the black stuff they still dream of a white one"!

[Netweather Winter Forecast 2015/16]

Many thanks to you guys for what has to be one of the most informative and best presented forecasts I have ever seen on this site!

 

I would regard this as a sheer Masterclass in terms of data gathering and deduction - well done to all concerned, the amount of learning material that you have supplied to novices like myself is fantastic indeed.

 

Roll on the rest of our Winter!

[Model Output Discussion; into 2015]

Where there's a will there's a way!

That fat lady is still singing for us all.

As an uneducated lurker may I say to all of you who make this site to interesting to all of us....Happy New Year.

And remember, here in the home of the black stuff we still dream of a white one!

[Winter Model Discussion 18Z 13/1/13 onwards.]

I get the impression that despite some quite mouthwatering charts for you guys across the water that we on the East coast of Ireland are somewhat too far westerly to see some snow action.

Would any of the more experienced and learned among you see any possibility of the battleground scenario delivering for us?

Cheers.

[Rjs And Bftp Winter 2010/11 Lrf]

Thank you both RJS and BFTP for your insight and very informative forecast. For some of us it truly "opens the latch" on the door into Christmas and Winter itself!

Well done indeed - now for the hard bit............the waiting game, the rollercoaster rides, fingernails bitten to the quick, "ramp" signs being erected on forum replies.........all part of what makes this Netweather forum site so interesting.

Good luck and steady as she goes!

Incidentally, some serious cold pooling now appearing over NE Europe and Scandanavia.

http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.html

[Isolated Frost Presents: Great Britain December 2010 Forecast]

Looking forward to your Dec-March forecast IF. It is people like you that make this Forum so interesting as Winter approaches. Keep up the good work!

[Winter 2010/2011]

Can I ask when folks expect the Netweather Winter 2010 forecast to be available - another piece of the (snowlovers) jigsaw being slotted into place!

Thank you.

[Ireland Cold Spell Discussion]

Lads,

Can you all fill your lungs and blow south please!

We are severely bereft of snow cover on the east coast and the greater Dublin region.

But........we live in hope,.........in the home of the black stuff, they dream of a white one!

[Ireland Cold Spell Discussion]

What hope has the East coast of Ireland and in particular the greater Dublin area seeing some snow activity over the coming weekend?

[Cold Spell Discussion 5]

So what is the state of play now? Has there been the dreaded downgrade? or, are we still in line for a potent blast from the east?

Here's hoping Azumin - don't know if the East Coast of Ireland will get something like January 1982 but as the Guinness ad says..........in the home of the black stuff, they wish for a white one!

p.s., if Snowaddict or John Cox, January Snowstorm, Stormforce 10 have any views, please share............

[Cold Spell Discussion 5]

What about the East coast of Ireland and in particular, Dublin? I remember very well the fantastic snowfall here in January 1982 that practically paralysed the entire country. Does anyone know if this could be marginal or a full blown event? I have been following the evolution of this event closely over the past two weeks and cannot believe that we could possibly be about to experience such seasonal snowfall! Can anyone put my mind at rest please!

[Tropical Storm Danny - Are We In The Firing Line?]

Just noticed track of Tropical Storm Danny from The National Hurricane Centre as W - E 50 - 55 DEGREES with sustained winds of 70mph for next Wed. Should we be worried?

[METO Winter 08/09]

I'll continue to keep looking at this:

http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.html

and hope that blue swathe continues to build and move westwards over the coming weeks!