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Everything posted by BornFromTheVoid
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July 2021 CET & EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
17.0C and 71mm, thanks. -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
BornFromTheVoid replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
That is odd. We might question whether it's a case of long term stations vs relatively new stations, but when so many have smashed their all time records (and in June, which isn't typically the warmest month), and the Canadian record has been smashed, there must be some more to it. -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
BornFromTheVoid replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
For those questioning if the <2C leap to 40C is too much for the UK to manage, something to consider... -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
Latest PIOMAS Arctic sea ice volume is out to mid June. 2021 is 6th lowest on record, with the 3rd largest drop on record in the last 30 days. (H/T Wipneus on the ASIF). It's also: 10,900 km³ below 1980s 9,000 km³ below 1990s 5,300 km³ below 2000s 200 km³ below the 2010s average Regionally, volume has dropped rapidly along the Russian Arctic coast, from 10th to 5th lowest since mid May - the largest drop on record for the last 30 days. For the central Arctic, 2021 has risen from 5th to 7th lowest, and but within a near tie from 3rd to 8th lowest. Finally a comparison between this year, last year and the 3 other lowest volume years across all Arctic regions in Mid June -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
Latest slow sea ice animation. Russian side clearly taking the lead, while concentration drops around the CAA suggests melt ponds are forming there. -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Latest projection for June The chances of finishing: Close to average (14.2C to 15.2C) is to 6.8% (5 days ago was 8.4%) Above average (>15.2C) is to 93.2% (5 days ago was 91.6%) Below average (<14.2C) remains at 0.0% (5 days ago was 0.0%) The period of the 19th to the 24th is forecast to average 13.8C, 1.3C below the 91-20 average -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Latest projection for June The chances of finishing: Close to average (14.2C to 15.2C) is to 8.4% (4 days ago was 18.5%) Above average (>15.2C) is to 91.6% (4 days ago was 81.5%) Below average (<14.2C) remains at 0.0% (4 days ago was 0.0%) The period of the 10th to the 15th is forecast to average 16.3C, 1.4C above the 91-20 average. -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
Latest slow sea ice animation. Losses clearly accelerating, as is expected at this time of year. More substantial open water forming in the Beaufort, CAA and Chukchi Sea. The Laptev open water continues to grow too, remaining at record levels. -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Latest projection for June The chances of finishing: Close to average (14.2C to 15.2C) is to 18.5% (2 days ago was 28.1%) Above average (>15.2C) is to 81.5% (2 days ago was 71.5%) Below average (<14.2C) is to 0.0% (2 days ago was 0.4%) The period of the 10th to the 15th is forecast to average 17.8C, 3.6C above the 91-20 average. -
10th June 2021 solar eclipse
BornFromTheVoid replied to Weather-history's topic in Space, Science & nature
A mixed affair in Newcastle, periods of cloud and then some breaks. Have the phone out doing a time-lapse but, given the lack of settings options, a thin cloud cover would probably work best for me -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
2014 has a larger single continuous open patch, but 2021 has two large open areas that are bigger combined than 2014. This is reflected in the record low area and extent for the region. But yeah, looks like Kara is getting hit with heat this weekend, then the dipole pattern return early next week. -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
The already record large open water area in the Laptev Sea has grown substantially yesterday and so far today. The record low extent values there should remain or even grow in response. -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
Extent in the Laptev sea continues to go further into record territory, now 48,000km2 below the next lowest year. Conversely, a slow start to the melt season in the Canadian Archipelago, now 14th highest for the time of year. -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
From the projections earlier, about a 12% chance of being within 0.5C of 17.2C before corrections. -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Latest projection for June The chances of finishing: Close to average (14.2C to 15.2C) is to 28.1% (2 days ago was 38.6%) Above average (>15.2C) is to 71.5% (2 days ago was 56.2%) Below average (<14.2C) is to 0.4% (2 days ago was 5.2%) The period of the 8th to the 13th is forecast to average 17.7C, 3.6C above the 91-20 average. -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
Latest weekly animation. Mixed changes in the Barents Sea, but steady widespread losses along the ice edge elsewhere. -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Latest projection for June The chances of finishing: Close to average (14.2C to 15.2C) is to 38.6% (4 days ago was 37.3%) Above average (>15.2C) is to 56.2% (4 days ago was 45.8%) Below average (<14.2C) is to 5.2% (4 days ago was 16.9%) The period of the 6th to the 11th is forecast to average 17.0C, 2.9C above the 91-20 average. -
June 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
First projection for June The chances of finishing: Close to average (14.2C to 15.2C) is at 37.3% Above average (>15.2C) is at 45.8% Below average (<14.2C) is at 16.9% The period of the 2nd to the 7th is forecast to average 16.6C, 2.8C above the 91-20 average. -
Arctic Sea Ice Melt Season 2021
BornFromTheVoid replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Climate Change
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May 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
10.1C makes May 2021 the 61st coldest on record, and Spring (MAM) the 132nd coldest on record. Compared with 1991-2020 average, 24 days were below average and 7 days were above. No daily mean records were set and no days reached the top or bottom 10 on record. -
May 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Says 10.1C on the monthly ranked page: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt -
May 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
BornFromTheVoid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Confirmed as 10.1C. Congrats to @I remember Atlantic 252