BornFromTheVoid

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About BornFromTheVoid

  • Birthday 28/03/88

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Newcastle Upon Tyne
  • Interests
    Climate and weather, music, Formula 1, rugby, a few other sports and sciences.
  • Weather Preferences
    Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms

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  1. How horrendously busy I'm gonna be for the next few weeks. Moving country and starting a PhD leaves a lot to sort out...
  2. Hopes dashed! Still, better chances than southern Ireland
  3. I'm in Spital Tongues currently, 76m asl according to this site https://www.daftlogic.com/sandbox-google-maps-find-altitude.htm
  4. My first rainy day in Newcastle. Managed to last a week before it arrived!
  5. I'm gonna go with 11.1C for now, thanks.
  6. Min today of 9.6C while maxima look like being around 16C, so a drop to 16.2C is likely on tomorrows update. After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at: 16.2C to the 27th (16.3: +3.4) 16.3C to the 28th (16.6: +3.4) 16.3C to the 29th (17.1: +4.0) 16.2C to the 30th (12.7: -0.1) So a finish of 16.0C to 16.4C before corrections, and 15.6C to 16.4C after corrections looks likely
  7. Latest weekly sea ice extent update is here
  8. Below is the October CET from 1659-2015 in blue, the 30 year average in red and the linear trend in black The CET this month is likely to finish somewhere between 15.7 and 16.5C after corrections. The average October following Septembers within that range is 10.6C. The linear trend for the whole October record is +0.38C per century. Following this trend gives an October CET of 10.4C. The linear trend since 1850 is +1.17C per century. Following this trend gives an October CET of 11.0C. The linear trend since 1950 is +1.66C per century. Following this trend gives an October CET of 11.2C. The linear trend over the last 50 years is +1.69C per century. Following this trend gives an October CET of 11.2C. The linear trend over the last 30 years is +4.46C per century. Following this trend gives an October CET of 11.6C. Using trends since 1900, October is the 2nd fastest warming month after November. 7 of the 12 warmest Octobers have occurred since 1995. The 30 year average for October reached 10C for the first time back in 1949, and has remained above 10C since 1958. If we get a CET of 11.7C or higher this year, the 30 year average will reach 11.0C for the very first time.
  9. Plenty of blue skies and warmth today, very nice weather for early Autumn.
  10. We're hosting this Q&A session today on reddit.com/r/science. They'll be answering questions later this evening. Ye can read everything without registering, but to ask a question or vote on questions you'll need to regester. Here's the intro: ---------------------------------------------------------- Science AMA Series: Hi Reddit! We are Dr. Frank Marks and Commander Justin Kibbey, hurricane hunters and scientists at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML). We fly into hurricanes to help improve forecasts! Ask us anything! Hi Reddit! As hurricane season is in full swing we wanted to give you the opportunity to ask us any questions you have: My name is Dr. Frank Marks. I am the Director of the Hurricane Research Division at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory. I received my Sc.D. in Meteorology from MIT. I’m an expert in tropical cyclones (known as hurricanes here in the US) and serve as the research lead of NOAA’s Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP). I have been flying into tropical cyclones since 1980, and have logged over 10,000 hours on the P-3 aircraft! I’m here to answer all your questions about hurricanes and the latest hurricane research at NOAA. Ask me anything! I’m Commander Justin Kibbey of the NOAA Corps. I am a trained P-3 pilot. In March 2010, I was selected for an interservice transfer from the United States Navy to the NOAA Commissioned Officer Corps, at the Aircraft Operations Center in Tampa, Florida. My first hurricane flight was in September 2010, and ever since, I have flown about 20 flights per year! I help scientists gather data by piloting planes into hurricanes. Ask me anything! You can follow us on twitter @NOAA_AOML & @HRD_NOAA_AOML or visit our website www.aoml.noaa.gov to stay up to date with all the different research projects at the lab! I’ll be back at 1 pm EST (10 am PST, 6 pm UTC) to answer your questions, ask me anything! ------------------------------------------------------------------ Here's the link: https://www.reddit.com/r/science/comments/53ydgr/science_ama_series_hi_reddit_we_are_dr_frank/
  11. Minimum today is 10.9C while maxima look like reaching about 19C, so a drop to 16.7C is likely on tomorrows update. After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at: 16.7C to the 22nd (15.5: +1.7) 16.5C to the 23rd (13.1: -0.4) 16.5C to the 24th (15.6: +2.8) 16.5C to the 25th (15.9: +3.2) 16.3C to the 26th (11.9: -0.9) 16.1C to the 27th (12.5: -0.4) 16.2C to the 28th (17.5: +4.3) 16.3C to the 29th (18.3: +5.2) 16.2C to the 30th (13.3: +0.5) Warmth continuing overall but the chances of beating 2006 (16.8C) now growing quite slim, while odds are probably against a top 3 (16.3C) finish overall too. Top 5 seems a more realistic bet (16.0C), and top 10 is almost certain (15.3C).
  12. Steady increases over the last week or so. The pace of ice growth usually accelerates from now until about mid October.
  13. Cheers! Given how much further north it is I was expecting it to feel a little bit cooler. Other than that, there probably won't be a great deal of difference. Southern Ireland isn't nearly as warm as southern England.
  14. First day here and I've already got the broadband set up, good times! Weather was quite nice too, some sunshine and comfortably warm for me at least.
  15. Hey folks. Moving to Newcastle today, so time to update my location and start posting here. Looking forward to a winter with much greater snow potential than I've been used to in southern Ireland!