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jayb1989

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Everything posted by jayb1989

  1. jayb1989
    Still a chance of the odd transitional cold spell, but those of us after sonething half decent like 2010 might as well draw stumps. See you all next winter.
  2. jayb1989
    Dire output for coldies this morning
  3. jayb1989
    Really is shaping up to be a very mild period as we head towards new year according to the ECM. The flowers will be thinking it’s spring time. Think we are more likely to be reaching for t-shirts and shorts than gloves and scarf.
  4. jayb1989
    Really not a good sign, will be into February with the sun getting stronger before we know it. Leaves little time for a decent cold spell that isn’t over in a couple of days.
  5. jayb1989
    MOGREPS 1.5m temp chart. A few members have parts of the south east nudging the 14 degrees mark. Impressive for the time of year.
  6. jayb1989
    Some solid consistency now for a mild new year. Well above the average for the time of year. Should feel spring like in any sun.
  7. jayb1989
    More likely to see desert sand on the ground than snow judged by this chart..
  8. jayb1989
    We obviously have a different opinion on what is classed as cold.
  9. jayb1989
    Essex will be mild for Christmas day, that is almost certain.
  10. jayb1989
    If this was to verify, would bring spring like conditions in, would be rather pleasent for the time of year.
  11. jayb1989
    Unfortunately, even some trained meteorologists suffer from confirmation bias when it comes to reading models. Let alone the hundreds on here who will cherry pick data to show a solution they want. It’s very difficult to stop emotion getting invovled.
  12. jayb1989
    Well, it’s been an interesting watch over the last few days. Still a chance of some snow in certain places with some transient cold around boxing day. However, if like me you don’t find that exciting and are after a proper cold spell, where snow falls and hangs around for 3 or 4 days and temperatures don’t rise above freezing, you might as well forget it anytime soon. Hopefully we can get something more positive as we move into January.
  13. jayb1989
    Back to day 10 cold hunting.. love it.
  14. jayb1989
    I think people always getting carried away when the charts show cold weather, but to get cold and snowy weather on the far south coast is going to take a special event.
  15. jayb1989
    Yeah but always going to be unlikely in your neck of woods.
  16. jayb1989
    That would be a good result for most the country, far south is always going to struggle.
  17. jayb1989
    Really must be true that In the land of the blind, the one eyed man is king!
  18. jayb1989
    Not a great set for the south east, looking like a toasty christmas. Let’s see if that flips tomorrow.
  19. jayb1989
    I don’t post much, but you have to laugh at how brutal cold chases tend to end for the most of the UK. It’s times like this that really remind you that to bring proper cold conditions over the UK, which stick around for a period of time, literally everything has to fall into place. 7 days ago we were worried the high pressure was going to sit too close to us to bring in the real cold air, now it’s gone too far north .
  20. jayb1989
    Snow starved Midlander dropping in to see you all enjoying the snow. Looks like most the South East is getting burried! Have fun guys!
  21. jayb1989
    There is way too much energy coming out of Canada with the extreme cold for it not to unfortunately.
  22. jayb1989
    Seen quite a few people on here mention that it’s always been borderline for the very south of the country. This has always been the case through the majority of model outputs we have seen. However, they are instantly shot downs as trolls?
  23. jayb1989
    Has been quite the trend for the Atlantic to really fire up towards the end of next week on the last number of runs. I’m guessing it’s mainly down to the extreme cold filtering down through the US that is likely driving a stronger jet stream? Disappointing in terms of getting a prolonged cold spell, but i guess we can’t really complain with a decent 4/5 day cold spell.
  24. jayb1989
    Yep looks a wet one in the south east.. starting to see some consistency now withing the 12z runs to model the low further north. Some northern parts are going to get buried.
  25. jayb1989
    Would be quite toasty in the South East.. drawing in air from the Med.
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