NorthYorksWeather
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Current conditions here: Temp 3.3c Dew 2.2c Still a long way to go for anything of a wintry note here near Malton. Seen as we are talking cars heres my snowplough, 4wd VW Golf with 4 winter tyres. Only problem is its on 35mm lowering springs so not much ground clearance, here she is ploughing through about a foot of snow last month above Helmsley on North York Moors.
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Further west yes we could see snow down to lower levels by then. In the east it wont be till after midnight until we see -10 850s and below.
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Ventus W830 from Weather Spares.
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This is literally my life for the next week. Hope there are some beefy showers heading our way.
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Just wondered what everyone is doing in preparation for the snow/cold event? I usually stick a table or chair outside in garden to measure the daily snowfall amounts, somewhere nice and open to the easterly wind so its accurate. Below pic from 2012: My CCTV (weather cam) is going to get a wipe and a check over today, along with my weather station. Below pic from 2018:
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Ah what a great day that was Craig! Non stop beauty's packing in off the North Sea.
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Pocklington nicely placed for easterlies. You should so well providing the current synoptics shown come to fruition.
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I’m afraid for low lying eastern areas it’s another bust. The way the models are shaping up you could well be sticking 2s up at those in West and South Yorkshire with your foot of snow this time next week.
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0.2c here with a dewpoint of -1.6c which bodes well for morning.
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I think York will see snow falling but it will be very marginal and may not settle.
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Aye no complaints from me this morning on the models. Seems like all routes lead to cold, how quick we get there seems to be what the models are trying to work out. As bradowl mentioned above though plenty of time for it to go baps up.
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GFS 18z at 138hrs That'll do just nicely. 156hrs
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EC ENS mean brings in the easterly as early as Friday showing that the det run is once an outlier with regards to how far north the low goes. Friday: Saturday: Sunday: Here's the EC pressure ensembles for Malton showing it being out of kilter with the rest of its suite, especially in the mid range.
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Here's how Tuesday morning is looking according to the 12z NMM.
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Short GEFS 12z for Malton Mean 850s around -9c with some slight scatter. What could go wrong?
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GFS still showing widespread snow across the region Tuesday morning but snowfall amounts look minimal away from Dales/Pennines, especially for those further east.
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UKMO 850S at 144hrs are out. Coldest air not there yet but would be flooding in shortly after.
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12Z GFS 144hrs Strong easterly with v cold 850s starting to filter into our region from the east. By 162 hours we have -12c 850s across much of the region.
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UKMO 12Z 144hrs Takes its time clearing that low south eastwards but it gets there eventually. 850s chart not available yet but one would think they'd be a bit chilleh.
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First out the bat on the 12z is the ICON. That'll do just nicely.
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Some more good news is that the GFS 6z was an outlier for the end of this coming week with regards to how long it takes for that low to sink south allowing the cold 850s to then flood in from the east. Here are the 6z GEFS for Malton showing the Op was an outlier as many other members drop much earlier and seem to cluster around the -10c line. Now when was the last time we saw a mean of -10c!!! Surely we cant miss out this time, fingers crossed 12z EC backs this up.
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Sorry southerners but its a big YES from me for the 6z GFS. Its very knife edge between NO AND SNOW but we really do reap the rewards of the cold/mild battle.
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Few light snow showers here earlier this morning, nice to see the Moors had a slight covering of snow from these. Tuesday morning still looking OK as per NMM few posts above, thought id just add GFS snow accumulation chart as well. Central and western areas, especially with elevation set to fare best.
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Blimey even Hull, the most snowless place in Yorkshire could see some sleet from that! Covering of snow above 250m at work on the North York Moors this afternoon and it looks like the hills of Yorkshire will see some more snow later this week. The painful wait for snow in low lying areas in the east of the region continues so lets hope the 12z GFS has it nailed!
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A slight covering here first thing before it turned back to rain. Very similar to Thursday in fact, our first proper covering of snow still managing to evade us here.
