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Lettucing Gutted

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Posts posted by Lettucing Gutted

  1. 20 hours ago, Thundery wintry showers said:

    In the long run I think yes, but I think it will be a slow and erratic process, as it would seem that for every X amount of warming in the Arctic, our northerlies only warm by a very small fraction of that amount.  I reckon we'd probably need at least another 2 to 3C of global warming, even taking into account the Arctic amplification, to make it close to impossible to get widespread lowland snow from a northerly

    Even with a "slow" warming of our northerlies, it won't take much more warming to wipe out proper cold months, cold seasons and cold years.  These are already as rare as hens teeth as it is.  Our last proper cold January was back in 2010, our last proper cold February was back in 1996, our last proper cold March was back in 2013, our last proper cold April was back in 1989, our last proper cold May was back in 2013, our last proper cold June was back in 1991, our last proper cold July was back in 2011, our last proper cold August was back in 2014, our last proper cold September was back in 2015, our last proper cold October was back in 1993, our last proper cold November was back in 2016 and our last proper cold December was back in 2010.  Our last proper cold spring was back in 2013, our last proper cold summer was back in 2011, our last proper cold autumn was back in 1993 and our last proper cold winter was back in 2012/2013 and our last proper cold year was back in 2010.

  2. Since the October 2019 CET thread hasn't been started yet, I'll start it this time.  I'll leave RJS to post all the usual averages and statistics though.

    15.5C.  :oldsad:  Last sub 6C October in 1740.  Last sub 7C October in 1896.  Last sub 8C October in 1992.  Last sub 9C October in 1993.

    200mm from monsoons and Atlantic garbage

  3. My worst months of 2010s are:-

    January 2014

    February 2014

    March 2014

    April 2014

    May 2014

    June 2018

    July 2018

    August 2018

    September 2018

    October 2018

    November 2018

    December 2018

    My best months in 2010s are:-

    January 2010

    February 2010

    March 2013

    April 2012

    May 2013

    June 2012

    July 2011

    August 2014

    September 2015

    October 2012

    November 2010

    December 2010

  4. 19 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

    Aug 97 and Aug 04 show that very warm and wet is possible though rare.

    If I remember correctly Augusts 1997 and 2004 both had a lot of hot, humid and thundery plumes which led to very warm CETs in both cases despite the near record amounts of average monthly rainfall.  August 2004s warmth and rainfall was also bolstered by an unusual amount of sub-tropical cyclones such as the one that brought the infamous Boscastle flood.  July 2010 was also a very warm but very wet Atlantic dominated month, ironically the only month with that combination of conditions in between November 2009 and February 2011.

  5. Since I love proper cold and dry crisp weather in all seasons my best eather types are any that bring clean crisp dry Arctic or Continental Polar air whether its from Northwesterlies, straight Northerlies, Northeasterlies, Easterlies or even clean Rex bloke highs.  I also love Maritime Polar Northwesterlies and Westerlies as long as they are not too wet!  Gentle showers or light rain or snow, nothing more.  Sadly Arctic and Atlantic warming has decreased the potency and frequency of all our classic cold setups.

  6. Gray-Wolf, I think we will be very lucky if Antarctic Ice Loss and Arctic Ice "only" cause a Super-Interglacial.  I fear more likely we are gonna end up in a full blown greenhouse era.  We are already on track to be warmer than at least 4C above the global 1750 average.  Even the Super-Interglacials of the Quaternary were only 1.5C-2C above the global 1750 average.

    I also think there could be more than sea level rise involved in the pole to pole melt connection.  Loss of most if not all of Antarctic Ice would reduce or even eliminate Antarctic Bottom Water production in the Southern Ocean.  With less AABW or no even no AABW in the North Atlantic Ocean, North Atlantic Deep Water production would increase bigtime which in turn would beef up the warm Gulf Stream current.  This would cause rapid warming and deglaciation of both Greenland and the Arctic Sea Ice.

  7. 2019 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET.  The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally.  This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV.  The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet.  A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV.  The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system.  The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice.  Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up!  Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters.  However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges.  I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2019 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates.  Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.

    January the warmest on record 9.5C

    February the warmest on record 10C

    March the warmest on record 12C

    April the warmest on record 14C

    May the warmest on record 17.5C

    June the warmest on record 20.5C

    July the warmest on record 22C

    August the warmest on record 21.5C

    September the warmest on record 19C

    October the warmest on record 15.5C

    November the warmest on record 13C

    December the warmest on record 12C

    2019 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.

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