Polar Gael

So, this week for the long-awaited pattern change. No 2009/10 on the first shot, but the set-up's timing at the very start of winter has teed everything up nicely should we go into a 'stuck' pattern (aka the rinse and repeat scenario). Rainfall here now north of 250% of the normal November monthly average - not a month to be repeated. Even settled, a little chillier and grey skies would do for now. In saying all that, we did see the Big Yellow Thing in the Sky for a few hours this morning. Almost fainted with shock. Bring on the blocking...

1.2°C and 60.2mm for me please.

A dreich day. 'Only' 26.5mm of rain in the end and a max of 10.1°C. Meanwhile, the latest Met Office long range forecast is well worth a read. It's a-coming from the end of the month. Probably. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/long-range-forecast

Evening, kilters. Back from estivation (and a very decent summer) for another season of chasing the cauld and snaw. Only one air frost here to date (4 Nov) and stupidly mild (and wet) for what seems like weeks on end now. November's monthly average rainfall total has already been breached and 75mm is forecast for us tomorrow. Lovely... However, looking ahead, the charts now starting to recur in the mid-range are not without interest*. Reminds me a lot of November 2009 and we all know what happened when that pattern switched. If the blocking comes to pass, it may not lead to the muckle cauld on the first shot, but it has been notable how we have been 'stuck' in recurring patterns of late and were that to happen, then it could become very interesting indeed. All that said, am torn re winter this year: whilst I'm a snawchaser to my core, am acutely mindful of folks who will struggle to pay the heating bills anyway, let alone if a big freeze proper hits and given the current shower of sh*te in Westminster couldn't pour the water out of a boot if the instructions were on the heel, I'm not sure this is the winter when we want to see deep cauld hitting these shores for weeks on end. But, as ever, the weather will do as it likes. Would be good to have something a bit more seasonal over the festive period at least. So, let the chase begin! *This is not a ramp as such. More of a mini-rampette.

O/T: Re signatures, have these now gone or am I just being an old fogey re the tech as unable to see/edit sig? On-topic: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/3moutlook-ndj-v1.pdf (h/t BruenSryan) Get the cold in first...

7.3°C and 103.5mm for me please.

11.3C and 112.3mm for me please.

15.3°C and 40.2mm for me please.

RIP, Puffy.

17.0°C and 92.5mm for me please.

Tues 19 July: 32.0C - Borders

18.0°C and 55.0mm for me please.

15.6C and 50.2mm for me please.

UK long range weather forecast Sunday 22 May - Tuesday 31 May On Sunday and into the start of next week, southern parts of the UK likely staying mostly fine and dry with light winds. Still a chance of showers, and a low risk that some of these will be heavy at times. Further north it is likely to be cloudier and breezier, particularly around coasts, with showers that could merge into some longer spells of rain. Temperatures close to average, but perhaps below average in the northwest, though it will still feel warm in the sunshine. Towards the end of next week, rain or showers are possible, most likely in the northeast by this stage, where it will be breezy. Drier further southwest with lighter winds. Most areas becoming mainly dry through the end of May. Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 17 May 2022 Wednesday 1 Jun - Wednesday 15 Jun Into June, temperatures are likely to be above average across the south but closer to average further north. Toward mid-June it may turn less settled across the north of the UK, bringing rain or showers, while the south may remain largely fine. Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 17 May 2022 https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

12.6°C and 77.4mm for me please.

Farewell, keep well and thank you for everything.

10.4°C and 61.2mm for me please.

8.0°C and 56.2mm for me please.

6.3C and 120.1mm for me please.

Merry Crimbo (and Festive Boxing), fellow kilters. A cauld, bricht Christmas Day here, and now, cauld rain for Boxing Day afternoon and evening. Currently around 3°C. Looks like a much milder blip incoming for New Year and then...who knows? However, am sure we'll get a decent cauld spell at some point as we head through January and February. Hope everyone is keeping well and enjoying the festivities. ??

7.0°C and 142.8mm for me please.

Storm Arwen postscript: worst impact we've had from a storm since we moved here back in 2014. Power (and internet and mobile phone signal) off from early Friday evening until just after midnight on Monday morning. The wind sounded genuinely dangerous from 6pm on Friday through to the early hours of Saturday morning. Trees down all around the village and extensive damage and debris. Some poor souls in outlying areas are still without power. Wet snow on Friday evening and then further light snow on Saturday and overnight into Sunday. Milder blip yesterday and today, then looks like it's turning cold again for a while. A lively start to the season. Am very much hoping that the storm component of it begins and ends with the letter A. Hope all well and safe.

4.0°C and 100.2mm for me please.

6.4°C and 75.2mm for me please.

12.8°C and 121.4mm for me please.