Mark Bayley
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Posts posted by Mark Bayley
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Copied from the Yorkshire thread. Another a wet day here. Using Church Fenton as a proxy for an average here. To date every month since June last year has seen above average rainfall.
July 2023: 150.2mm vs average of 52mm. 188% more than the average
August: 72mm vs average 62mm. 16% more than the average
September 65.4mm vs average 56mm. 16% more than the average
October 144.6mm vs 58mm. 151% more than the average
November 101.2mm vs 58mm. 74% more than the average
December 150.2mm vs 58mm. 158% more than the average
January 2024 78.2mm vs 48mm. 62% more than the average
February 86.5mm vs 42mm. 104% more than the average
March 65.6mm vs 41mm. 58% more than the average
April 59.4mm vs 43mm. 38% more than the average
Lets hope May breaks the current cycle.
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Another a wet day. Using Church Fenton as a proxy for an average here. To date every month since June last year has seen above average rainfall.
July 2023: 150.2mm vs average of 52mm. 188% more than the average
August: 72mm vs average 62mm. 16% more than the average
September 65.4mm vs average 56mm. 16% more than the average
October 144.6mm vs 58mm. 151% more than the average
November 101.2mm vs 58mm. 74% more than the average
December 150.2mm vs 58mm. 158% more than the average
January 2024 78.2mm vs 48mm. 62% more than the average
February 86.5mm vs 42mm. 104% more than the average
March 65.6mm vs 41mm. 58% more than the average
April 59.4mm vs 43mm. 38% more than the average
Models suggest it turning more showery as we head into the second half the month, so hopefully a little drier. Will May finally break the cycle?
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Saturday looks nice though, albeit windy!
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A rainy start to April according to the GFS - but at least it will be mild / close to average, so nice in any sunshine. If anything close to the 0z, we may at least be the least wet part of the country! On the plus side i can feed and reseed parts of the grass without having to worry about watering..
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9.7c please
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Has been an okay week so far - tomorrow to Sunday also looks quite nice away from the showers. The strength of the sun means it still feels pleasant. More in the way of cloud and rain for Easter Monday. We seem to be doing better than other parts of the county!
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I have booked next week off for garden maintenance - weather looks pretty horrendous.. Still, i won't need to water any of the new plants in!
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My hopes for a drier February never materialised. Just shy of 85mm currently. GFS suggests I might hit 90mm by months end, so at least not another 100mm plus month, but still above average. Lets hope for something drier in March..
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Reminents of snow on the grass and cars this morning. No doubt gone by lunchtime. Rather miserable with light drizzle
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Definitely for high ground - I'd think 250m to 300m plus (somewhere like Queensbury!). Temp over 1c now and drizzle.
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Thawing now with temperature rising to 0.8c. With the rain it should have at least melted from pavements by the morning...
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Coming down a bit heavier again. Now up to 5cm with 6cm on the car. Temperature risen to 0.3c!
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Turned to snizzle now. Temp still at 0.2c. Ended up with about 4.5cm, which is 4.5cm more than I expected yesterday evening! Shame it will be gone by tomorrow. Not the best snow event but given the crap winter better than nothing!
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Now up to 4cm of snow and still coming down nicely. Temperature has remained at 0.2c for the last few hours. Looks to turn heavier again around 4 before turning lighter and no doubt drizzle as temperatures begin to climb. Should just about make 5cm by early evening..
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A good 3cm now where snow originally stuck with roads and pavements white over. Will head out around 4pm given it will be gone by morning! Should remain as snow into the early evening. Will be interesting to see whether the precipitation moving WNW out of Liverpool maintains intensity, reaches north Bradford / Leeds and falls as snow.. High res suggests marginal from 18:00, but given it is already slightly overestimating dewpoints and temperature we might get an extra few hours..
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Sunny_AS I think the heaviest precipitation has now passed - probably Harrogate to Rippon faring best. Still, should be heavier pulses on and off as we head into the evening for Leeds south, before a turning to rain as we move through the late evening
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Coming down nicely now and settling everywhere. 2cm of snow on the bins and shed. Temp at 0.2c. 3 to 5cm on the cars and bins seems likely now, a little less elsewhere. Good call @Scott Ingham. As you noted, models slightly overestimated dewpoints, which made the world of difference.
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Snow intensity finally starting to increase - and good to see the heavier precipitation has reached Sheffield and progressing north. Fingers crossed for the afternoon. Settling on the Yorkshire Stone paving now - just tarmac to go!
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ChezWeather Looks like the heaviest precipitation is about to hit - should get CM or two if it maintains intensity / snow..
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Temperature now down to 0.3c and a dew point of -1c, slightly lower than the high res suggested for this time (around 2pm to 6pm). Snowing light to moderately though still struggling on pavements. Radar and models suggest an increase in intensity around mid afternoon which should help snow stick everywhere, especially if the temperature can drop a little more. All being well, it might remain as snow into the evening before turning back to rain again around late evening.
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Temperature has now dropped to 0.7c and a dew point of -1c. Sticking everywhere bar pavements. Though no real intensity- hopefully that comes by lunchtime. On your wager yesterday, dare I tempt fate
@Scott Ingham
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DevinW Can confirm its turning more to snow in Roundhay which is a similar elevation - and starting to stick on grass, bins and cars. Temperature 1.4c and dew point of 0c. If the temperature can drop a little more, and we maintain some intensity (which is what the models suggest for the afternoon) then I may have a slushy covering my the end of the afternoon (yay..!).
Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion
Posted
mike57
Indeed - 70mm by the 19th if GFS 6z was taken at face value. Though hopefully not pushing close to 100mm as per some of the recent months!