Mark Bayley
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
Mark Bayley replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Copied from the Yorkshire thread. Another a wet day here. Using Church Fenton as a proxy for an average here. To date every month since June last year has seen above average rainfall. July 2023: 150.2mm vs average of 52mm. 188% more than the average August: 72mm vs average 62mm. 16% more than the average September 65.4mm vs average 56mm. 16% more than the average October 144.6mm vs 58mm. 151% more than the average November 101.2mm vs 58mm. 74% more than the average December 150.2mm vs 58mm. 158% more than the average January 2024 78.2mm vs 48mm. 62% more than the average February 86.5mm vs 42mm. 104% more than the average March 65.6mm vs 41mm. 58% more than the average April 59.4mm vs 43mm. 38% more than the average Lets hope May breaks the current cycle. -
Another a wet day. Using Church Fenton as a proxy for an average here. To date every month since June last year has seen above average rainfall. July 2023: 150.2mm vs average of 52mm. 188% more than the average August: 72mm vs average 62mm. 16% more than the average September 65.4mm vs average 56mm. 16% more than the average October 144.6mm vs 58mm. 151% more than the average November 101.2mm vs 58mm. 74% more than the average December 150.2mm vs 58mm. 158% more than the average January 2024 78.2mm vs 48mm. 62% more than the average February 86.5mm vs 42mm. 104% more than the average March 65.6mm vs 41mm. 58% more than the average April 59.4mm vs 43mm. 38% more than the average Models suggest it turning more showery as we head into the second half the month, so hopefully a little drier. Will May finally break the cycle?
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A rainy start to April according to the GFS - but at least it will be mild / close to average, so nice in any sunshine. If anything close to the 0z, we may at least be the least wet part of the country! On the plus side i can feed and reseed parts of the grass without having to worry about watering..
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April 2024 C.E.T. and EWP contests
Mark Bayley replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
9.7c please -
March 2024 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Mark Bayley replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
7.9c please -
A good 3cm now where snow originally stuck with roads and pavements white over. Will head out around 4pm given it will be gone by morning! Should remain as snow into the early evening. Will be interesting to see whether the precipitation moving WNW out of Liverpool maintains intensity, reaches north Bradford / Leeds and falls as snow.. High res suggests marginal from 18:00, but given it is already slightly overestimating dewpoints and temperature we might get an extra few hours..
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Temperature now down to 0.3c and a dew point of -1c, slightly lower than the high res suggested for this time (around 2pm to 6pm). Snowing light to moderately though still struggling on pavements. Radar and models suggest an increase in intensity around mid afternoon which should help snow stick everywhere, especially if the temperature can drop a little more. All being well, it might remain as snow into the evening before turning back to rain again around late evening.
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DevinW Can confirm its turning more to snow in Roundhay which is a similar elevation - and starting to stick on grass, bins and cars. Temperature 1.4c and dew point of 0c. If the temperature can drop a little more, and we maintain some intensity (which is what the models suggest for the afternoon) then I may have a slushy covering my the end of the afternoon (yay..!).