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Posts posted by Dorsetbred
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Sunday 1 Aug - Tuesday 10 Aug
Changeable conditions continuing to dominate for the start of August, with a mixture of sunny and dry periods, showery periods and the chance of longer spells of rain. At first the south is likely to see the most showers, with the north remaining the driest, but by the end of the period the south and southeast will possibly be the driest and the west and northwest the wettest. There remains a chance for any showers or rain to produce thunderstorms. Temperatures are most likely cooler than average for this time of year, trending to slightly cooler than average or average through the period, with the south and southwest having the best chance of seeing average temperatures.Wednesday 11 Aug - Wednesday 25 Aug
As is typical for this time of year, confidence is low for this period. However, there is a tentative sign of more settled conditions developing with higher pressure becoming slightly more likely. This means drier conditions may become more prevalent, although there is still the risk of showers or thunderstorms at times. Temperatures likely to trend to above average, with an increasing chance of hotter spells developing as the month progresses.- 1
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18.3°C at: 13:26, I was just talking on a call with folks in South Africa (Johannesburg) and they are saying its SOOOOO COLD, and the temperature is 16°C .........come on now people...
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Morning All a misty start after overnight rain..currently 15.6°C
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1 hour ago, jtay said:
Paul S just pinged this through from Torro...
2021/024
Convective Discussion–
15:36 BST Sat 24 Jul 2021 – 22:00 BST Sat 24 Jul 2021
Areas affected
Parts of southern England
Parts of SW England
Parts of S Wales
Hazards
Isolated brief tornadoes
Heavy rain
CG lightning
Gusty winds
Discussion
Cloud is breaking to allow spells of sunshine to develop across southern Britain. This should allow several hundred J/Kg of CAPE to develop, perhaps 700-800 J/Kg in a few places. One or more low-level convergence zones should develop, mainly due to sea breeze boundaries. With low cloud bases and decent low-level convergence, any showers or thunderstorms which develop along or close to these boundaries will have a chance of producing a few funnel clouds, and perhaps one or two brief/weak tornadoes.
Gusty winds and locally heavy rain will be possible, with a few thunderstorms possible too bringing CG lightning.
Activity should wane through the evening.The Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO)
WWW.TORRO.ORG.UKTORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and IrelandAll inland I suspect...and to a lesser degree than suggested as the heat disappates rapidly from the day..
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21.4°C at: 15:24 with RH70%
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51 minutes ago, Wiltshireweatherwatcher said:
I mentioned this in the Storms and Convection thread and was basically told to disregard it which is fair enough.
Wasn’t thinking it would bring any t-storm activity with it but was wondering if the rain did reach the south coast whether it could pep up. Very pleasant but muggy afternoon here.
Oh well at least you asked!
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1 hour ago, snowysouth said:
Looking in the channel there's another band moving up. Will it get here you think?
Looking at it , suspect some time around 7pm, but not looking stormy on the coast just some additional rainfall
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Good to have some cool weather, now maybe indoors will cool off, still at 26.2°C with the windows open BUT the lack of any breeze is not helping to shift the hot air ..
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Very different view to last weekend, after early morning mist has risen, and light patchy rain seems the order, but little like has been forecast with suggestions of up to a 100mm in places, not yet... and I suspect storms this afternoon will be land based rather than feeding in off the channel.
Rainfall over 24hours pans out like this
Stations:Precipitation
MoD Boscombe Down 25.0 mm
Middle Wallop 25.0 mm
Isle of Portland 19.0 mm
Larkhill 18.0 mm
Bournemouth 12.0 mm
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Morning All, a useful 13mm of rain overnight, with the overnight low still hovering around where it’s been most of the week, and the surfaces outside drying rapidly, with little sign of heavy downpours in the immediate….
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53 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
It's too cold to sit out there with that wind! Brrr!!
So 20.3°C with no windchill, and it's cold.... best get your winter warmers out for next week then..
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9 hours ago, Dan Clow said:
Don't go in the model thread if you enjoy sunshine. Talk about depressive reading! Ridiculous for the time of year!
Good to see the MOD thread keeps a consistent approach even in summer,..
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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:
A max of 30.7°C today. Currently 28.4°C. More of a breeze this evening.
A max of 30.6°C today. Currently 28.4°C.
I think we will call it a tie today!
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Another cigar today 30.6°C at: 12:58, RH51%
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The local rag is on a roll...
HEAVY rain, thunder and hail is being forecast for the weekend in Dorset.
The Met Office has warned of potential flooding and transport disruption, with 100mm of rainfall predicted in some areas of the county.
It comes after the county has basked in a heatwave, with temperatures soaring into the high 20s, which is expected to continue until Friday evening.
A yellow weather warning has been put in place from 00.01am on Saturday until 11.59pm on Sunday.
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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 08 Feb 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
After an overnight low of 13.3°C at: 06:05, currently 17.3°C and partly cloudy with RH75%
The beachcam says it all!