[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Let's just hope it's not a dirty high. 

I don't think I could cope with a couple of weeks of anticyclonic gloom, not after such an awful winter so far 

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

Another rubbish day here today, the models are a complete washout in the reliable, and I have a nice, clean motorcycle in the shed which I have no intention to ride in the rain this winter (after 28 years of riding daily to work and back)  can we just please have a couple of sunny days???    please???

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

On 24/12/2023 at 13:57, rain_shadow said:

Larch leaves usually drop in November, yellow or golden and sensitive to wind, that's why I thought this is Taxodium distichum or Metasequoia glyptostroboides 

Show off!!   Mind you, I do the same in horticulture, I just never liked conifers enough to learn :-p

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

2 hours ago, SunSean said:

Saw this pair on my dog walk lol. No idea what trees they are but lovely colour! Coupled with the temperature, it's reminiscent of Autumn

Most probably Larch trees, they are deciduous 

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

11 minutes ago, Mucka said:

 

And so it came to pass

that Christmas was alas

not white as I'd forecast.

 

there's still a chance......do you have a lamb to slaughter to the gods??

[Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards]

The Hinckley hailstorm!   

 

[Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards]

just remembering the supercell storm in my hometown in 2012.  it was rough! I think it was the same storm that dropped almost cricket ball sized hail on Hinckley. For years afterwards you could see dented cars driving around!

There was flooding too, but what makes this weird is that this video is filmed at the top of a hill!

 

 

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

That is one vicious storm on the 22nd!!

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

Is it just me or is this one of the bleakest winters you can remember.

Even my houseplants are really struggling due to the lack of light?

Fingers crossed, later this week, high pressure will come over the UK and we should have sunny, but very cold and frosty weather.

But knowing how awful the weather has been determined to be recently, it'd probably be a cloudy high and we get stuck under leaden skies and temperatures of 4'c night and day!

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

4 minutes ago, Josh Rubio said:

Looks like it’s going to be a very wet day for most of us tomorrow ️ 

Make a change from never having weather warnings in this area now :-p

[Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion]

At least there will be some interesting severe flooding about??

It's rained here for 48 hours now, and I've got to ride to head office on my motorbike shortly :-(

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

I'm confused??

My weather station says minus 1.9'c???

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

Around 1cm here, but thawing quickly, even though the temperature is  minus 1'c???

Looks good for later tonight again though :-)

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

9 minutes ago, matty40s said:

Last 24 hours here, under zero the whole time, down to -3.1 for quite a while, but the canal has stayed ice free, strange as it froze the previous night and there were still ice patches.

The dewpoint has stayed 0.1 or 0.2 lower than the actual temperature the whole period.

I have never seen the water as clear as it is today, the whole bed clearly visible.

It's probably dew to the shear amount of ground water influx to the canal over the last few weeks, it's cleared the water?

Not sure why it's unfrozen though? that is odd?

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

4 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

I’ve just ask my daughter for a quid out of her money box, she asked me what it was for, when I told her, she told me to clear off as dad you’ve told so many times it’s going to snow and I wake up to now’t

….she said “whoever cyclonic happiness is, I agree with him

Lol!   The tragedy is that the the temps are just below minus two here again now! ><   But I suppose freezing rain is slightly interesting? isn't it???  (who am I kidding!)

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

11 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

On the radar the perception doesn’t look much atm, but the forecast is for it to peep up as it moves east ….time will tell

currently now, I’m at -1.1c and dew points at -2.1c

so defo snowfall it’ll be, if it gets here that is

lol! you watch the dew points sneak up to around 0.2'c just as the snow gets here!  I bet you a quid!

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

The 0z run is always a kill joy. If the 18z was the party, the 0z is absolutely the hangover.

Still, as the above said, it's still a pretty decent spell of cold, with night frosts, and in a slack flow, it could produce freezing fog too and rime frost, which is better than wet snow any day.

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

Plenty of convection and showers, pushing on from the north sea. 

 

Bodes well for later in the week

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

46 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

Lol… I’ve got continuous sleet symbols all day Thursday via the BBC app

Back to today though, cloud and damp’ish…..haven’t got above 5c

It's a thoroughly miserable day today, bleak as anything.

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

33 minutes ago, Ramp said:

If there’s a way for it to fail, the uk will find it.

it'll be a shortwave, which diverts the cold air east of us at the last minute.....it always happens

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

IF that slack easterly were to come off next week, it would more than likely just pull a load of low cloud from the north sea, with temperatures of 4'c day and night an horrid, cold drizzle.

I'd rather stick with Atlantic weather!

[General Volcanic Activity Thread!]

43 minutes ago, toggerobz said:

A video taken yesterday inside Grindavik before today's immediate evac of the town, at least the Icelandic Authorities are now actively monitoring the emissions of SO2/CO2 and can use the data to build a better picture into their model-runs depicting where and how close the magma is to the surface. I've heard estimates of 5km, 800m, a few 'tens of meters' etc but in reality all anyone can do is wait and see.

 

Maybe they'll be alright? :-(

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

1 minute ago, sheikhy said:

Oh yes and i forgot to add the storm is pretty much non existent which suits me pretty well here in the midlands!!!ecm never really had that storm anyway!it was more a gfs thing as always lol!

Doesn't bode well for reliability. Also, there was a nice big high plastered over us next weekend last time I checked, that's flipped to low pressure and gales.....meh!

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

I see the storm for Thursday has totally disappeared 

[Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn]

another exciting week of weather coming up. That storm on Thursdays, looks pretty serious for the Midlands and South!!