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Southern Storm
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Posts posted by Southern Storm
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2 minutes ago, pinball wizard said:
Portsdown Hill
2 minutes ago, Cyclonic Destruction said:
Thanks everyone with your recommendations, Portadown hill looks like a good shout, I'm gonna give it 10 minutes before deciding
It's looking Very dark to my west, the light levels are dropping so fast it feels ominous
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I'm really struggling on whether to stay local, or head towards Portsmouth way, I'm feeling it go either way
Any recommendations for locations north of Portsmouth?
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5 minutes ago, Cyclonic Destruction said:
I’ve been more of an observer on here for a few years now. What amazes me is the lack of knowledge of storm chasers. Granted many want to learn, however, I’m 55 and have been studying weather since the age of 7. I started off with the Ladybook of weather followed by the Osborne weather book. Both excellent reads and it amazes me that so many cannot even read the sky. Computer models are fine but the real basics come from reading the sky, the clouds etc. Animals do and yet so many wannabe weather spotters think the latest PC run dog biscuits is the holy grail of information.
In essence start understanding the basics and one will know when a storm is approaching. The set up this morning was a joke. There was no way a storm was going to smash the south coast and yet so many got their hopes up over a computer model and yet nature said NO!
While to some extent you are correct, the models have been all over this convective spell for around 5 days, could you enlighten us all on how you can forecast by reading the clouds 5 days from T0, we'd all love to know !
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This could be nothing but what are the chances of storm firing around the are at the top let of the line I drew?
Looks like a front to me
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Just now, convector said:
silliness. its far from over
Exactly
I can recall Many occasions when people were posting that it was a bust, when in reality everyone was focusing on the wrong drivers.
Let's wait and see, there will be some great footage on here come tomorrow afternoon mark my words
Some will win and many will lose that's storms for ya!
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3 minutes ago, SouthwestChaser said:
Probably clutching straws but, any chance those Brittany cells will reach us? It's been RUBBISH so far. I NEED A GOOD STORM.
Certainly better than it being out in the North sea, one to keep an eye on
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1 minute ago, ChannelThunder said:
It's been something of a mystery ever since I started following stormy weather! Don't tell the tinfoil hat brigade - they'll use it as evidence that the North Sea is home to some kind of HAARP machine or something...
Don't be silly, it 5G
Edit, just to be clear I'm not calling you a clown
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6 minutes ago, WeatherArc said:
The UKV would agree with you
Ooh la la, I think it's time to start scouting some locations with decent views, It all comes down to this evening to salvage 2023, we need to make this count
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The more I look at the two areas of activity in the channel the less worried I'm becoming, as others have said, they don't appear to be eating up too much fuel, and I believe the higher CAPE levels will arrive later onto the evening
All to play for if you ask me
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4 minutes ago, Snowkissedtwice said:
Total protonic reversal sounds amazing! What does that mean? Also, where will you go with your camera? We are thinking Poole?
It does sound amazing, but I was just joking
It's a Ghostbusters reference and not really relevant when it comes to the weather, even though you could say it's been a ghost storm season when it comes to central southern areas, so sorry, I'm just getting a giddy
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Just now, Azazel said:
Faint hints of a shelf there. Very nice
I think you're right, Well spotted
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Total protonic reversal if these two meet..
Just topping up the camera battery before I head out for the 3rd time today
it's almost like a proper storm season.
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5 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:
Need 'em all to slow down just a tiny bit! Got a roast to cook, and the sun doesn't set for another 3 hrs 15 mins!
I know, you might just squeeze a nice golden hour storm, but the one I mentioned isn't hanging about.
This still might not be the main event so there is that, but I might be totally wrong
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A new cell has just developed leaving the Cherbourg peninsula
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Just now, Lu. said:
Will take a drive to Milford on sea, seeing this could be the last one it’s worth the effort
I thought you'd be heading east, I'd say there's a much better chance between IOW and Kent later in the evening, especially if you're intending to photograph the storms, but Milford on sea is not a bad spot either way, good luck
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6 minutes ago, Alderc 2.0 said:
My thoughts
I wonder if they are bonus storms or if that's our lot once they pass through.
Answers on a postcard
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2 minutes ago, Azazel said:
Yes I think we will be too far west sadly by the time these make landfall
Are these the storms that were originally showing on yesterday's runs? I thought 7pm onwards was when storms were expected to develop.
The ones that are heading towards CS areas will be here way before the sun goes down
Give me strength
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I'm currently sheltering on Barton on sea clifftop, it's mostly thundery rain, with the odd CG thrown in
It's better than nothing I guess
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2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:
I can’t speak a word of French so I don’t know what any of it says but I imagine it’s something along the lines of
”Another day of heavy thunderstorms, straight ahead. Ooh la La. Cloud cover at the marketplace. Will it ever stop? What time is it? One ticket to Paris, please. Possible hail. Yes, of course. No, just two loaves of bread. There’s a potential for severe gusts. What is your name? I live in England. Showers will continue after midnight. Please.”
Merci translator
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UKv 6z now showing something better for central southern areas, we need this trend to continue, I really don't want to drive too far tonight
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11 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:
Absolute troll of a model. It's completely removed any chance for us tonight, so I'm back to feeling justified in throwing in the towel on Friday!
Yeah, it's a bit of a letdown this morning, I'll wait for todays convective discussions/forecast to be released before deciding if it's worth travelling further east this evening
There was one night earlier this year where I thought about heading towards Kent, but there was a risk of the storms not hitting the southeast so I didn't bother, it actually was quite a decent spell for many parts over that way, I think Eagle Eye did well that evening, I don't want to have the same regret so I'm really hoping for some positive updates today
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2 minutes ago, Alderc 2.0 said:
UKV is a disaster after this mornings round, nothing apart from a tiny Kent clipper.
Oh dear, the 00z was the same.
There appears to be a lot more messy rain following on behind the main band coming out of France, I wonder if that is what is killing our chances for this evening
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2 minutes ago, Jamie M said:
Pretty saturated sounding from Camborne this morning which might explain why the electrical aspects of the storms didn't make it too far inland. Like @Ben Sainsbury said, I'm a bit surprised at just how active they were.
They were definitely recycling quite a bit, you'd have a few minutes where the cell would become very active before dying off, then around 10/15 minutes later you could see activity increase again, lovely to watch
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted · Edited by Southern Storm
So. I've decided to stay on my home patch, I can see the cells near Cherbourg flashing away every 5 seconds or so
I've been up since 4am, going for a long drive is probably not the best thing to do, especially at night and on roads I don't know.
So I'm keeping everything crossed for something local, Eastern areas should do well though, so good luck to everyone