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karyo

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Everything posted by karyo

  1. karyo
    The ICON looks better and better! Amazing run!
  2. karyo
    The updated ICON keeps the low pressure south of the UK and therefore the easterly winds continue till Sunday at least! Massive Greenland high too!
  3. karyo
    The ICON is more promising than the Aprege because it gives a larger area of the region a chance. The 12z GFS is very good for most of us!
  4. karyo
    I hope it is right but I doubt it. Anyway, the Aprege has the band of snow in a similar location to the icon, maybe slightly further south.
  5. karyo
    This is way too optimistic!
  6. karyo
    The updated Icon brings the precipitation in the southern parts of our region, in the early morning. Not much change from the earlier output.
  7. karyo
    Nice view! To be honest even if they showers were a bit more intense they wouldn't settle in the middle of the afternoon. The God awful sun is too strong.
  8. karyo
    The shortwave that will be coming down the country in the early hours has already exited southern Norway and it is travelling across the North Sea. It looks like it is travelling quite fast. https://en.sat24.com/en/gb/infraPolair In a short while we will be able to see the updated precipitation charts from the ICON, gfs and Aprege for the most likely track.
  9. karyo
    If you look at the precipitation charts of the various models, you will see that Monday was not expected to give anything significant other than a few flurries, mainly in the east. It is in the next few days that more potent showers are expected and again eastern areas getting most of those.
  10. karyo
    I can see the Berlin Wall, erm piccadilly gardens wall from my office window.
  11. karyo
    Sunny spells now. They have moved south of Manchester.
  12. karyo
    I work in Piccadilly gardens and live 5 mins walk from here towards the station. Fantastic location for settling snow - not!
  13. karyo
    Damn, didn't see you again! Yes, I went out for a lunchtime walk to the northern quarter and couldn't feel my hands when i came back to the office.
  14. karyo
    It looks like the southern part of the region is having most of the activity. The snow showers travelling west and reaching the coast. Not much happening north of Preston at the moment.
  15. karyo
    The intensity has pick up quite a bit.
  16. karyo
    Light snow in Piccadily.
  17. karyo
    I agree. Firstly, I am focusing on tomorrow morning's band of snow. Unfortunately the euro 4 has it just to the east of us but a 20 mile shift west can make a big difference.
  18. karyo
    A very pleasing FI on the 6z unless of course you like a warm March! Hopefully the effects of the SSW will continue to be felt though next month with repeated wintry attacks.
  19. karyo
    The 6z Aprege also brings tomorrows feature through the region but slightly further east than the 0z. Still good though.
  20. karyo
    Yes a small improvement from the GFS. Looking at next Saturday, the cold upper air still covers much of the country.
  21. karyo
    If it tracks north, the cold spell will end. Snow to rain doesn't cut it for me. Besides, if it tracks north Greater Manchester will be in a rain shadow so not much use unless you live in an area that is not affected by the shadow effect.
  22. karyo
    Yes, showers on Tuesday night and then a very showery Wednesday when the uppers are at their coldest.
  23. karyo
    The mighty ICON does the same.
  24. karyo
    The updated ICON takes the first low across the channel keeping the country cold up to Saturday. https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/icone_cartes.php?&ech=120&mode=0&map=0&archive=0 The 0z had the low moving to the west of the UK
  25. karyo
    Changes in the wind direction can make a big difference. At the moment it is a straight easterly which helps the shower push across the region. By the way, the little shortwave that is coming to us in the early hours is already visible in the satellite (currently west of southern Norway). Let's hope it picks up as much moisture as possible as it crosses the north sea. https://en.sat24.com/en/gb/infraPolair
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