Southender

Very pleased with those. GFS clearly on one from the 18th and in the top half dozen milder options. Below 5c for 10 consecutive days in london is not to be sniffed at. Should it verify of course...

Unfortunately for those of us that have been on here for a number of years, these switches happen every single winter. If a proper cold spell can go wrong and 1 model starts sniffing out a spoiler, the rest usually follow as we are seeing here. Wouldn't it be nice if the models for once showed raging SW'lys then they all flipped to show a raging E'ly within +144. Unfortunately the other way around is a common occurrence for us. We still fall for it every winter though

For a while yes and HP drifts in bringing up Southerly winds. Will be much drier and probably feel quite pleasant in any sunshine. However this is not what I want in January!!

GFS will have us in shorts and Tee's by next weekend with winds sourced from Morocco/Algeria

My mood right now. Hey ho, we have a good 4-5 days of cooler weather to look forward to and it should become drier at least. But the hunt for proper cold and snow moves on...GFS again kicking us in the balls. But when it smells a rat unfortunately its usually correct.

Not a good set of 12's thus far. GFS singing the same tune as this morn and the UKMO showing signs of singing the same song. Cue toy overload in 3...2...1......

Door closing on Greenland @114

Yes, some decent cold clustering out to around 18th/19th. The OP and Control go off on one from 16th. Can't be discounted but a more extreme milder solution, that is unlikely to verify IMO. If the Op and Control didn't go off on one, the mean would remain around -5 for a good week or so. In a disturbed pattern that is ample for last minute features to pop up and bring snow to some. I will happily take that right now!...No need for panic and toy throwing just yet. Chill and let the models adjust to the pattern change for a couple of days.

Better to my eye. Azores LP further South and a renewed blast of energy trying to ridge back up to join the Greenie HP

Well I don't think we can really ask for better charts at this stage for our little island. The odds on what is being shown today actually coming off must be quite remote, a watering down is probably enivitable, but lets hope not too much. Will the METO be getting the tippex out later? I would love a guest appearence from Ian Brown right now with a classic "WTF" one-liner....Ian....are you there?...

Luvvly jubbly. Look at the WAA go.

We are now starting to be shown a bit of consistency in the output. Different variations, but on the whole much colder and certainly the best chance of nationwide wintry weather this winter. We now need to see this theme maintained for the next few days. Specifics I don't care about, we can nail that down nearer the time. What I don't want to see is any of the models starting to abandon ship now. We have seen it loads of times in winters past, so I for one will not be dusting off the sledge for a while yet. But, I think we can safely say it will be more "seasonal" as we go through next week. About bloody time as well.

Bring back Rob -

I don't know. As I haven't seen a flake of snow for 3 winters, I would take even a 1 day dusting with both hands and run!

Hello all. Back from summer hibernation! Something of interest brewing from mid-month perhaps?http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015120406/gfs-0-300.png?6http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2010/Rrea00120101218.gif

Well, you can't blame a man for trying.... http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015120406/gfs-0-300.png?6 http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/2010/Rrea00120101218.gif

Excuse my language, but bloody hell have you seen the predicted rain totals for tomorrow afternoon/evening? Widely an inch and up to 3 inches in some spots in EA/SE. This must be an ex-trop depression with those totals?.....dangerous totals as well falling on rock hard ground. Expect flooding and poss tree damage with sodden ground and trees in full leaf up against gales... Get building an ark people, this looks like about as close as we get to a Typhoon in this country!

Wow several inches of snow overnight from a Thames Streamer which kicked off around 3am. A winter wonderland out there. Then I woke up.

Lol.

Shame really as the conditions are almost perfect for settling snow. Uppers low, wind flow good, air and dp temp low, ground icy. Just pressure too high. Typical that the best setup all winter is spoilt by HP moving in.

Certainly no convergence zone over my house. Radar dead. Night y'all.

Agreed. Not sure what they are seeing. I bow to their superior knowledge though and hope for the best. That tweet was made at 6pm though so a lot may have changed since to be fair.

Well if there is to be a proper Thames Streamer tonight, I will be the first to report it! Got to be a very outside shot though. Like 50/1. Just been outside and it just doesn't feel like "Thames Streamer" territory. Paul will know what I mean, you get that feeling in your bones down here when it feels right. You can smell it. You can breathe it. Almost connect with it. I'm going off on one. Perhaps its just me.

Can confirm we have snow falling at the mouth of the Thames. Just a teeze or are we on to something.

LOL http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-31146535 Someone shut down the Gulf Stream. Please.