Norrance

You are under that blob that has made it down to Highland Perthshire too. And it did intesify as it came South across the Monadhliaths.

Maybe not too long before Glenshee also

I do hope that the mid range is not suggesting high pressure setting up to the East or South East after this week.

Yes we had a light snow shower a little while ago. My daughter said that it was slightly heavier over at hers in NE Dundee. Not that often we get more than a flurry on a northerly but we can hope Just enough to give her a wee skiff on the ground. 80067136-7477-489E-AD23-D6D050D88145.mov

Warmer today here too with the frost slowly lifting but not gone completely and hard underneath. Briefly reached 5C and now back to 3.5C with a light northerly breeze.

I do hope that comes off but fear that it will end up a 100 miles or so South. Still frost in the ground this morning with temp up to +2C

You are correct. Was confirmed by John Holmes I think. Has to be under zero though am not really too bothered. Still a pretty cold day though but now back up to -0.4C so on the rise. Just checked again and now +0.8C so a rapid rise in the last few minutes and making any argument about 0.0C irrelevant. edit. Just as I have been typing it has gone up again to 1.5C. Wow!

Still -2C here just now and can still see stars through a haze but milder air not far away I think. Could still make an ice day if you count a max of 0.0C as ok

I just wish it was like Feb 2021.Here with 36cms the deepest snow since Dec 2010 (or 2013 on slightly higher ground locally) and the lowest temp since early December 2010. Sadly at least for those south of the Highlands and Grampian it doesn't look likely at least for snowfall. Having said that once the cold is in you never know and after a warmer blip plenty signs that there could be more to come, hopefully some from the East for imby and through the Central belt.

Interesting that where you were that it was not very cold. We had -20C and numerous ice days despite the cold coming from polar maritime air. It was however a month with a huge differential for snow and cold north to south. From Trevor Harleys records January. A westerly month, but it was very wintry in the north.The month was very wet: the wettest January since 1948 in England and Wales. Snowy over Scotland and Northern Ireland. A violent gale in the Midlands on the 11th, and another on the 13th gave a gust of 104 mph in the NE England. On the 13th, the north suffered prolonged snow showers and strong winds. There was a destructive tornado in Doncaster on the 14th, and lightning in Leeds. It was very cold in Scotland: there was a minimum of -23.6C at Grantown-on-Spey on the morning of the 20th, and -20.6C at Aviemore, followed by a maximum of only -8C at Tummel Bridge the next day. More snow in the north on the 21st. On the 23rd snow lay 65 cm deep in parts of Scotland, with many places cut off. Snow lay for 30 days of the month at Kindrogan, 20 days at Glasgow and Edinburgh, but only 6 at Manchester , and just one in London. Another tornado, with large hail, hit Teignmouth on the 26th. It was milder than average in the south.

1984 by a country mile from when I lived in Highland Perthshire. Frequent and heavy falls of snow from mid month with drifting. 2 feet level snow that lasted for four weeks. From that era 1978 and 1979 were also stand outs. By 1987 I was in Dundee and experienced blizzardy snow at -6 to -7 for a few days with drifting down to sea level so that was memorable too. Since then can't really think of any really severe January spells except perhaps Jan 2013 which had around 45 cms in my home area of Perthsire and similar near me in Dundee but only above 159 mtrs asl. Early Jan 2010 and 1982 were also very snowy.

Max temp here just at edge of Dundee was 0.0C so far today before the cold arrives! Just hope when it does that there is something that will bring precipitation to this part of the country. My daughter up in Aberdeen looks odds on though for at least some snow. Here after a cloudy morning the sky cleared in the afternoon with a slight WNW breeze. Feeling raw out there.

We are still under zero now at -0.5C from a min of -3C despite the cloud. No measurable wind though. edit just checked and up to -0.1C now.

Dull here too. Temp still just below zero at -0.4C

That would certainly tie in with the Met O long range and is one possibility from several from the models.

It has been bright but cold here today with frost lingering. Coule be colder next week in some places if this is correct?

Yes, this is the newest version on mine mentioning the milder conditions next weekend and different from yesterdays.

Think that it looks more like a trough which was moving South but may stall rather than a streamer bringing in a succession of showers from the North Sea. Anyway getting a wee bit imby so we shall leave it here please.

Because it derails this thread which is for model discussion. Please use the contact the team thread if you wish to discuss further as this is also derailing this thread. Thanks.

Please use the Met O thread to discuss their updates. Any more will be removed. Also remember to use the regional threads for will it snow in x? type posts and reminiscences of previous falls. Thanks

The wind has backed a bit more toward the North so the gloom that has been with us here for the last few days has lifted leaving us with a sunny and frosty morning. Looking East though the cloud is not too far away. Temp has gone up a couple of degrees since breakfast and is now 1C. edit that should have read backed to the North.

It has been updated on the Met office thread. Please go there to read it and discuss. Thanks

Remember that there is a thread for Met and BBC forecasts etc. Plese use it or posts will go missing. Ta.

Yep, gfs has joined the party big style. Just for fun