Frosty.

LOL I agree, whats more important is what mogreps shows, unfortunately, we don't have access to that in the public domain but of course, a finger in the air works every time.

Awesome 18z next week, another cracker with a strong spanish plume extending north from Tuesday, and another plume tastic encore at the end of next week with 33/34c in the south east. Next week is going to become hot, the heat is going to be accentuated by the soaring humidity and the 18z shows a lot of storms breaking out next week, night storms are the best and there looks like being plenty. So....Lots of hot sunshine, watching those towering thunder clouds grow, Wimbledon, BBQ..ice cream, have a week off work and enjoy it

Gavin, he's avin a laff

We, well most of us have waited so patiently for so long for a spell like the 12z output is showing, the Ecm 12z shows spanish plume conditions from Tuesday and it stays hot, at least across the southeast until next Sunday. The time has come to cash in or as Alan partridge would say, cash back..and enjoy a very continental week ahead. The ukmo 12z is potentially even better in terms of longevity. The only disappointed people are the ones who hoped things wouldn't warm up, so, unlucky for them but great for the vast majority on here, I love the buzz created by this upcoming heat, hope we get lots more in the next few months.

I'm sure that will change, it was only 5 days ago the models were showing an Atlantic trough feeding cool air across the UK for next week...oh how things have changed

Not according to the experts, they say generally above average temps, especially further south where it looks very warm at times so I'm not buying a return to the cool west / north westerly dross in july. I think the Azores high will have a strong influence next month, at least across southern Britain.

Remember when we were stuck under unseasonably cool north westerly winds for weeks and weeks, especially northwest UK, charts like these were a distant dream but now it's reality. Stonking week or more coming up, turning hot and sultry from the south, becoming very hot in the south east, we will all have long periods of strong hot sunshine and scattered severe thunderstorms, nights look very uncomfortably humid with some areas not dropping below 72F. The ukmo 12z shows the hot spell could extend into week 2.

It wasn't long ago when the models were showing the plume missing the UK to the east by some distance but how things have changed, quite a dramatic turnaround with a full on spanish plume event incoming. The GEFS 6z mean shows this well with increasing heat and humidity +15 plus 850's..564 dam thicknesses pumping northwards across all areas, there is talk of conditions becoming very hot across the south eastern half of England with temps between 30-34c later next week but generally across the rest of Britain we are looking at 26-31c range from north to south. I regard this upcoming hot spell as a bonus because for a long while it looked like the Atlantic trough would be too close to the UK. It's a great outlook, lots of hot sunshine but with high uv levels, and a growing chance of intense thunderstorms being triggered by the heat, some storms at night too...The further outlook is for the warmest and most settled weather across southern UK with potential reloads of hot weather from the south and the most changeable in the northwest corner but still with fine and warm spells too.

The Gfs 6z looks fantastic next week with increasingly hot and sultry continental conditions spreading to all parts of the UK with lots of strong sunshine and a growing risk of scattered intense thunderstorms breaking out and pushing N/E. Just when it looks like the heat is subsiding, the 6z produces an encore with temperatures soaring even higher in the S/E to 33/34c 92F. Next week looks great, Wimbledon starts, we have a spanish plume, BBQ's and ice cold drinks..pretty good I think.

The Gfs 00z has been described as a massive downgrade and a wobble but looking at these charts and comparing them with the cool, unsettled Atlantic dross we have had in the last few months, the gfs 00z still looks very good with by far the best spell of the summer so far. The reason we don't get 33/35c on this run is due to more widespread thundery showers across the UK, with less storms and more prolonged Sun, the south and east will get into the 90's F.

Hot off the press. If you will pardon the pun, the Ecm 12z ensemble mean shows rock solid support for a hot and humid spell next week with a risk of thunderstorms, we are on course for a heatwave.

No worries aj..Looking forward to the heatwave...and on the subject of heat, the Gem 12z is looking hot and sultry next week, I can't believe there are still a few on here not buying it, the evidence is stacking up for a nationwide hot spell.

He's avin a laff nick, next week is all about the heatwave.

I love extreme weather and in terms of summer heat with T-Storm potential, I don't think we could do much better than the Ecm 12z shows, these are insanely gorgeous charts. I tried to resist posting these again but the force was too strong. BBQ and cold beer heaven next week!

No storms showing? I can see some

The GEFS 12z mean is even hotter than the 6z, the plume looks stronger and extends well north into scotland. The thing that pleases me the most is that all of the UK is going to feel the effect of the hot spell..next week looks incredible.

Indeed, fantastic spell coming up, a full on spanish plume..what could be better?

The ukmo 12z is an upgrade on previous runs, I get the feeling the upcoming heatwave is going to be more intense than first thought and perhaps longer lasting, it's a full on spanish plume event and definitely not a glancing blow..really pleasing 12z output.

The GEFS 6z mean is looking fantastic next week..and beyond, becoming very warm across all parts of the UK and hot across the south and east as a spanish plume extends northwards into the uk. There is talk of very hot conditions developing in the south / southeast with low to mid 30's celsius. With all the strong sunshine, heat and humidity, there will be an increasing chance of thundery showers. We have waited patiently for this, we have had to endure a lot of cool unsettled atlantic dross in the last few months but the wait is almost over.

The Ecm 12z ensemble mean this evening indicates an increasingly very warm / hot spell next week, hottest across the south and east with humidity levels rising considerably. I expect plenty of sunshine across the board and high uv levels, the sunshine is likely to turn more hazy over time as the air quality deteriorates and I think the heat will spark isolated intense storms, I think storms could possibly become a bigger feature of our weather through the second half of next week, especially during the breakdown phase towards the end of next week although I'm actually hoping the hot spell will stick around for some time since I think we have seen enough cool north westerly dross so far this spring / summer..bring on the heatwave

The Gem 00z didn't even show a heatwave next week but the 12z is going for a full on spanish plume, very much like the gfs 6z. I don't think there's any doubt things will hot up next week. The potential is very exciting, there could be plenty for storm enthusiasts with the growing heat and humidity triggering intense T-Storms and also a threat of thundery weather spreading up from France. Lots to look forward to...roll on next week!

The GEFS 6z mean is painting a very summery outlook, not just next week, further ahead too, especially across the south with at least +15 T850 hPA making inroads from the south by next midweek and even across the north and west there is widespread +10 850's which converts to mid 20's celsius. The south and east are likely to reach 30 celsius plus, actually, if the ops continue being so bullish about the upcoming hot spell, I think the south and east will have low to mid 30's c later next week.. low to mid 90's F. I think a heatwave is going to happen, there will be lots of hot sunshine, increasing humidity and a growing risk of intense storms, both home grown and imported from the near continent, exciting times.

The Gfs 6z shows a full on Spanish plume event next week with temperatures soaring, by later next week as high as 33-35 celsius in the south, the heatwave comes in two parts and there is also a lot of thunderstorms breaking out. If anything like the 6z verifies we are in for a nationwide heatwave with plenty of dry and sunny weather and intense storms with very high humidity, longevity wise, I hope the heat becomes entrenched beyond next week...bring it on I say!!

The Ecm 00z says we are going to have a Spanish plume with heatwave conditions for most of next week, what a great start to the day. So good that I'm showing these again from aj's post last night..roll on next week!

That's one of the funniest posts I've seen on here, great stuff aj.Looking at the Ecm 12z ensemble mean, growing support for a very warm / hot and increasingly humid spell during next week...hoping for more sizzling op runs, can't get enough of them.