Harsh Climate

It could be close in the fact that we are about to be attacked from all sides next week with a few snow events?

Also for the outlook, I am giving greatest credence to UKMO and then ECM. GFS absolute fodder in this setup if you ask me.

Huge 12z runs to come out soon, obviously won't be definitive but should shed some light on 2 possible snow scenarios next week. a. The possible slider/disturbance from the NW Tuesday. b. The potential snowmageddon from the Southwest on Wednesday. . Let's see if these scenarios are still on the table. But I see some subtle hints: a. That the feature from the NW not making it past Southern Scotland/Northern most parts of England, whilst b. The feature from the SW barely makes it into Southern England, or blows up and heads way north into Northern England. Each scenario obviously having huge ramifications on whatever your locality. Not even that bothered what the charts say after Wednesday now, as is way beyond FI in this setup, any track of Wednesday's low if it happens at all won't be decided until <T24 .

I'm not seeing it being dry at all. UKMO would deliver a hell of a lot snow Northern England northwards. I have a feeling we will have a few systems coming in from the NW - SW next week delivering a lot of snow over quite a wide area. This area is looking like being North Midlands/ Central Northern England northwards at the moment but in reality could be hundreds miles either way. Again next week looks far from dry!

Well well well the UKMO is a of a run for our region, snowmageddon, this is where we want to be! Get the dumping of snow in first, then worry about lack of longetivity after. Absolute stinker of a run Midlands south though .. I would discount the poor GFS, blows up lows all over the place like it normally does, If it can't even get the first attacking low correct the rest will be way out of Kilter too. Higher resolution models way to go at moment.

ECM is almost perfect for our region, not so much down south

Yeah certainly is, slider incoming from the Northwest!

UKMO is a peach, surely a band of sleet/snow moving south across the whole country on wednesday Cold air locked in.

Yeah, that's a good grasp on it you have there. Like I say best to get the snow early doors than keep waiting for it never to come.. Hopefully, everyone can get some snow. I would like to hear more of a hint of frequent snow showers being blown in off the sea for areas north of wednesday's possible low. Not seen too much of a hint of this just yet but usually happens in that type of setup, with a dry slot in between snow showers to NE and snow/rain to the south.

Huge scatter on the GFS 12z Essembles, some perputations don't even have that area of low pressure (wednesday) at all! Although a few blow it up way north than progged on the OP

No clean flows please unless the wind is coming in off the North Sea

Looks like GFS might try an d pull a Northeasterly in after the initial excitement of next week, seen the odd model toying with this idea now.

I think it's fair to say the exact track of Wednesday's low (if actually Wednesday) won't be decided until <24 hours would be a case of Nowcasting watching how far north the front makes it and pivots.

If the GFS was to be bang on correct it would be pretty bad for us. We just miss out on the heavy snow to the south, but we are too near that to get the snow showers from the northeast. We need Wednesday's low further north delivering us the dumping, or it much further south, hopefully bringing us into snow showers from the NE. Middle ground is no good.

I'd rather get the big dumping of snow first mate, then I would be content even if that was the last of the snow for me! Problem is you can keep missing out while same places get hit time and time again.

Used to be the case with the likes of Shropshire, Birmingham, Leictester getting all the snow in these setups. But in recent years it has been Central UK like Leeds, Sheffield, Halifax, Doncaster getting all the snow.

Just a tad further north then perfection

Let's see if we get that little runner from the NW

Cold air really digging south across the UK as early as Sunday evening Showers turning readily to snow in the north, Blizzards in Scotland. Obviously, eastern coastal regions favored.

Probably Sheffield

ECM brings almost everyone some snow, a winner!

Has it, it wasn't the ECM 00z Probably won't happen anyway

166h bit strange looking Must be a feature moving south introducing milder uppers for a short while

Looks a bit dry, but at least we get the polar air way south!

-5 850s line already into Northern England by 12z Sunday, looks ahead of schedule the cold. Should be a great run.