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The Eagle

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Everything posted by The Eagle

  1. The Eagle
    For salt water surface temperatures should be sub circa -1.7c to start the freezing process. Not in bad shape so far this ice season relatively speaking. Hopefully a pick up in formation next few days.
  2. The Eagle
    The best way I can describe the mid term 6 - 12 days out look is that it's becoming ever more normal really. Wind potential aside neither particularly cold nor mild. Just run of the mill deep depressions.
  3. The Eagle
    ECM looks good at 120 just about. It's VERY close though at 96 hrs. A nudge here or there and it's the UKMO/ICON.
  4. The Eagle
    The GFS control run is, if anything, even more awesome than the op.
  5. The Eagle
    00z GFS is great but overwhelmed really by poor ICON, UKMO, GFS(P) All down to the ECM. Depending on which way that goes it will be great here later or absolutely appalling.
  6. The Eagle
    Quite a snow maker on the GFS op though...
  7. The Eagle
    GFS looks like it will rescue something. Impressive enough in to GL.
  8. The Eagle
    GFS may just about rescue it but the UKMO is not good. We don't want that shortwave pumped up like that, ditto the phasing.
  9. The Eagle
    If the GFS or UKMO are anything like that it's the beginning of the end really for prospects in the latter half of January in my opinion, but we'll see.
  10. The Eagle
    ICON first out. Not good. Not good at all.
  11. The Eagle
    Looks like a step toward the ECM here. More progressive off Newfoundland @ 144hrs, heights not as evident over GL
  12. The Eagle
    This really is a very disappointing temperature profile return on a regime like this for the first half of January
  13. The Eagle
    At that point it would be bringing the beast. Something much more potent if we get there.
  14. The Eagle
    On the contrary it's a fanastic run for the simple fact it isn't far away at all. It's also on it's own with that one aspect. Wouldn't be surprised if it's a synoptic outlier there.
  15. The Eagle
    The problem is day 7. Note the double vortex just off the east coast of GL. We only want one, the southern one...that's the one we need to drop down. Flimsy extensions like this just disrupt the whole play... http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2020123112/ECM1-168.GIF?31-0
  16. The Eagle
    ECM made a boo boo at 168 hrs, flips by 216
  17. The Eagle
    Extraordinary increase in ice extent over the last 24 hours. Hopefully it continues.
  18. The Eagle
    With far less ice means more moisture to pick up generally which might explain increased scope of snow accumulations in recent years. To be honest the sea ice situation looks very poor at the moment. Even looking ahead we are struggling to see the depth of cold pooling up there to really speed things up. Not seeing much sub -16c @850 hpa in the right places for the forseeable!
  19. The Eagle
    All ground to a halt in the Atlantic. No zones of interest and no new development for at least the next 5 days.
  20. The Eagle
    It can change quickly to be fair. Hoping for that soon. Just checking the Longyearbyen and Barrow web cams and not much to see yet in either. Slow start.
  21. The Eagle
    Even for the time of year this isn't a great profile within the Arctic Circle in terms of quickening sea ice formation, might even stall it a bit...
  22. The Eagle
    Snow falling there now. Better webcam https://www.earthcam.com/usa/colorado/denver/?cam=denver
  23. The Eagle
    Lovely snow falling now on the second webcam there. It's so beautiful *tear*
  24. The Eagle
    Still raining in Denver but it will turn to snow tonight for anyone who wants an early fix. Already snowing in the Rocky foothills. Plenty of webcams online https://www.earthcam.com/usa/colorado/denver/?cam=denver https://denver.cbslocal.com/cams/ Telluride which is nearly 200 miles southwest but higher elevation @ 2667m
  25. The Eagle
    Unusually early cold incursion through the mid west states in the US next few days brining ample snowfall to the higher plains and mountains through Montana, Wyoming and Colorado and as far south as northwest Texas. Denver looks the place to be.
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