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smich

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    Barnet, North London

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  1. Much lighter snow now in Kentish Town but the damage has been done. Highgate gridlocked
  2. Good news son! We were only ever going to be on the fringes of this event though, we will have to be satisfied with a few cms at best this time.
  3. Quite heavy snow in Kentish Town, settling quite readily
  4. Morning all, from a bright and brisk Kentish Town. My feeling is that the shower activity will build as we go through the week; I must say the fax charts look very complicated (ie interesting) for the arrival of the low in a couple of days. A stalled front usually means someone hits the jackpot....
  5. smich

    Model Output Discussion 01/09/17

    Seeing the jet buckled to this extent - very unusual!
  6. smich

    Model Output Discussion 01/09/17

    Indeed! Possibly the most reliable forecasting tool we have at our disposal.
  7. smich

    Model Output Discussion 01/09/17

    Early doors but an encouraging chart with the 2 disparate vortices over Canada and Siberia. Are there any other forecast models that are particularly useful with regards to the PV?
  8. smich

    Hurricane Ophelia

    Looking very impressive for a Cat 1 now...
  9. smich

    Hurricane Maria

    Most likely to be trochoidal motions, usually caused by uneven distribution of convection within the storm and/or changes in structure. NHC will use up to 24 hours motion for forecasting.
  10. Hi all, Not sure where to post this, mods feel free to move as you see fit. My son has always been mad keen on his meteorology, especially the severe stuff as you might expect. He's noticed something. It would appear that if the Pacific has a quiet hurricane season, then the Atlantic will have a busy one and vice-versa. He's been back through the last 30 years and with just a couple of exceptions this theory holds true, see the graph attached: Is he on to something here? Has the correlation already been spotted and studied? It seems to be glaringly obvious I must say. And what would we conclude? Is there a finite amount of energy available during any given hurricane season? And what implications does this have with regards to the "drivers" (eg. Solar energy, SST's, moisture content)? He's done a good job researching this and I'm inclined to suggest he looks into it further. Any thoughts? Steve M
  11. smich

    North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)

    Wunderground currentlyshows Lake Havasu City at 56C!! Must be a mistake?? Steve M
  12. smich

    Hurricane Matthew

    None, obviously. SB is pointing out - quite rightly - how impressive the system looks.
  13. smich

    Super Typhoon Haiyan

    Hi all,I'm wondering....why such a strong storm - for that matter why such so many strong storms this season in the Western Pacific? I haven't seen anything in the SST anomaly charts to indicate lots of warm water for "fuel". Steve M
  14. smich

    Make us laugh

    A fireman is cleaning his fire engine at the fire station one afternoon when a voice suddenly says, "Do you like my fire engine?" The fireman peers into the garden next door and sees a little girl with a cat which has a large piece of red cardboard taped to it's back. He also notices that she has tied a long piece of string around the cats gonads. "If you tie that string around your fire engine's neck to pull it, don't you think it will go faster?" asks the fireman. The little girl thinks for a second, then replies, "Yes, but then it wouldn't have such a good siren".
  15. Oh! I thought pics had to be on the web somewhere... Thanks Paul - I really must try to keep up with modern technology! Smich
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