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Everything posted by Gypo
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There's going below 528 and then there's taking the you know what!! Amazing charts
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Tomorrows ECM 12z says 'HOLD MY BEER' As far as I remember from the charts and as a poster has mentioned above, we were always looking at around the 14th/15th for any real cold spell to materialize once the HP had set in place. Flip flopping is something we are used to, just like disappointment, so let's not get ahead of ourselves just in case the usual happens and somehow a more zonal pattern takes hold.
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I am probably wrong but I'm sure displacements lead to greater polar cap warming? This looks like a displacement-split, with sister vortices ending up over western Europe/Canada and then Russia/Mongolia/China unless my map readings terrible?
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Gypo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Just getting the first rumblings of thunder now to the north between crewe and nantwich -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Gypo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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28c just outside of Crewe, absolutely lovely!
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Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Gypo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No point looking at snow charts just quite yet given the current wobble model wise. UKMO needs to show ECM the light and guide it our way! -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Gypo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Let's just see what the 12z & 18z have to offer up before we go into meltdown mode. I know the mornings output wasn't great after such a good run the past few days, but there have been plenty of flips and turns model wise over the years and there will be more. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Gypo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Make your mind up...good run...bad run..good run. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Gypo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Still too early to start placing bets, decent run again but plenty of time for corrections. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Gypo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fascinating model watching currently! I'm liking the incursion of 850s on the UKMO on Christmas day, GFS pits us with a battleground scenario? -
Model output discussion - Christmas approaches
Gypo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Yikes The Winking Man | Webcam WWW.WINKINGMAN.CO.UK Please ask for permission to post images from this webcam or Camsecure/website COPYRIGHT © 2015 THE WINKING MAN, UPPER HULME. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Please don’t constantly view the camera...
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Winking Man webcam has shown some form of precipitation but it's not clear enough to see what exactly
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Nothing to report from Stoke or Crewe yet!
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Snowing in Ellesmere near Whitchurch too.